Anish Giri provides a comprehensive analysis of the final two rounds of the Candidates 2024. Check it out!
Video: ChessBase India
#Chess #chessbaseindia #anishgiri #candidates2024
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Solid take.
Liquid take.
gaseous take
Plasma take
takes takes takes
Will nerves not play a role in this
"With black against Fabi, nobody asked Nepo what he wants" 🤣🤣 Also, Gooki 😂 I can listen to Anish all day long.
Drawnish Giri lowkey savage
I can't
That’s so true tho. If these GMs want a draw, they’ll get it
This white hoodie guy is great he should be in candidates
@@vinniexofiction2229Well you don't want to explain it literally. It's obviously a sarcasm
@@vinniexofiction2229 r/woosh
Womp womp womp
You dont know him?
Haha lol he's Anish Giri. You don't even know him and watch chess videos 😂 ..... He had participated in previous candidates 😂. iykyk
4:37 your uncle or something 😂😂😂😂 Giri's hilarious
That's Agad's line.
That's Agad's line.
That's Agad's line.
This could match the 2013 candidates in excitement The best players are all facing each other in the last 2 rounds Can't wait!
Can u explain what was going on then? I just started chess a year ago so it would be interesting to know that
kramnik and carlsen were fighting for first place. and both lost in the last round.
@@rakshitkhandelwal7556 Magnus and Kramnik were both tied for first, so they went all out in the last round. This however backfired and Magnus lost to Svidler and Kramnik lost against Ivanchuk. There was no playoff here though, and Magnus won because of the best tie-breaks.
@@rasmusjohansen6190 and others who have been in chess world for longer than I: Would you say this candidates 2024 is as good as they get? Or is this just above average?
@@RobMedellin it's hard to say if this is the 'best' candidates *can* go but it's the best candidates in decades. 2018 was Fabi asserting dominance, 2020 candidates was ruined by covid. The previous candidates was just Nepo dominating but this one's the first in years where anything could happen and it's hard to predict the winner
Hope Gukesh- Firouzja doesn't turn out like Vidit-Hikaru
I am from the U.S. listening to this. GM Anish Giri is the best person to ask these questions to. It is very difficult to figure out who is going to win right now, except the idea GM Anish starts out with that GM Fabi’s chances are better than people think. If I were from India I would be for the 17 year old GM Gukesh to win, and be thrilled he is in the hunt!
For me, I would like to see anyone but Nepo win again. Hikaru great for media/streaming, Gukesh great underdog/youngster story, Fabi is just known for always being #2 player in the world.
Yeah , in my opinion but fabi's win is not how a champion wins tbh I respect him a lot , I'm just a mere chesscom 1500 , but considering this particular candidates , hikaru made a huge comeback from 5-6 position to 1. Gukesh a underdog perfomed spectacularly. But fabi , he had only 3 decisive games and those two wins were also not that mesmerizing. P.S notice I didn't care about nepo 😅
@@DineshRajnalkar0321 😂same, not interested in Nepo Ding rematch, also true this candidates Gukesh and Hikaru shown better games.
Nepo seems to be in bad form and is still leading the tournament almost all the way. Clearly seems to be deserving the win
@@kmhong8703Yeah, For me the first is definitely Gukesh, but after him I would say Hikaru. I really want Gukesh to win though, he would create history, if he wins by becoming the youngest to do so.
@@DineshRajnalkar0321and i don’t see that hunger from fabi . Niether on the board nor in his body language.
Agreed with everything Anish said except for Hikaru wants a tiebreak. His rapid performance haven't been amazing in recent times and he himself said that rapid is his weakest time control currently. I won't deny that Hikaru may still want a tiebreak but I think he will push for a win if there's slight opportunity.
Even if that’s true. Hikaru is for choice in a faster time control versus the current candidates. I think his advantage there is greater than in classical still.
I mean compared to other players, he’s probably the clear favorite to win in rapid
of course if he had a chance to win he would try to. But he will not overpress for sure in most of the scenerios. On the other hand, Caruana has to go for a win against Nepo no matter what, even if he has to risk the draw. So Anish was saying that Hikaru will be playing for two results without risking too much
Also isn't Ian very good in rapid?
I know for a fact that Nepo-Hikaru won't end in a draw. Caruana-Pragg won't end in a draw either. IF Caruana has a chance to win he will push for a win in round 14, if he doesn't he will take the first chance he can to get a draw vs Nepo. IF Hikaru wins vs Nepo he will draw vs Gukesh, but if against my beliefs he draws he will play WILD chess to crush Gukesh with white. No matter how you look at it it will be vey very exciting.
Rooting for Gukesh. ❤ Les go !
You guys always Jinx it.. these things always result in heartbreak
Hahahahahhaha
@@pundu8851 c'mon grow up. Doesn't your parents say you that you'll succeed in exams or other things ? Does it jinx your life ? There is a thing called supporting unconditionally.
One of my favourite chess channels currently. Love from Germany. Keep up the good work!
No one is thanking Pragg for not tilting and going crazy and losing, giving Ian the sole lead. Everyone should thank Pragg for being level headed... unlike some other candidates.
As someone who roots for either Hikaru or Gukesh and against Nepo, I think either of them have great chances
Chances are by the end of r14 , we get 2 people sharing the top..and there will be tiebreak
One of the two will be Hikaru and he would face Ding. There we go we have another new champ.
@@georgeray649anyone but hikaru
@@AsthmaBreather isnt that what I said
Nepo has a great fighting spirit and the experience, of course. I suppose he's capable of winning 1 more vs risky strategy.
If he beat Hikaru today he's most likely to win the candidates.
Very logical take... Best of luck Gukesh❤
Anish gave the best analysis/possibilties- of the last 2 games
Worst case scenario for me is: In round 13, all draws In round 14, Hikaru and Gukesh make a draw, and Fabi has a completely drawn position against Nepo but Fabi has no choice but to press for a win, ultimately losing and gifting sole first to Nepo.
Gukesh and Hikaru wont make a draw without waiting for Nepo-fabiano game it's 100% impossble for both of them to make a draw before Nepo-Fabiano game So it wont happen Gukesh and Hikaru dont have anything to llose,they wont make a draw
@@dereknichols4376 In time pressure, players concentrate on their game rather than paying attention to others Imagine you have 5 mins and you have to make 10 moves to reach for another 30 minutes, And could be the other way around It could be nepo - fabi waiting for Hikaru-gukesh game
Even RCB fans cant calculate the possibilities here😅
No I am a RCB fan, and I did that calculation. Gukesh have to 1 win and 1 draw and after that he will definitely win the candidate. But here is a puzzle that in round 13 Nepo and Hikaru makes a draw than Gukesh will win .
@@rb3104what if nepo wins both
@@Anonymous-8080then gukesh will have to win both as well
Ian or hikaru
@@English-to6qc that's why OP's comment that gukesh only have to win 1½ is wrong.
👇 Vote for Gukesh
Hahahahahaha
It’s an Indian channel obv they’re rooting for Guki
Hahaha, its not a reality show, Gukesh cant win by our voting.
Brother just for supporting and showing our respect nothing to hate
Don't beg for likes
I am praying that gukesh wins❤
No.
Fine this is great even being a runner up
I am also
Being in tier 1 after 12 rounds. Moreover at 17. Hats off to Gukesh. No matter whatever be the results in the final 2rounds.
I think it’s more likely than people are admitting. Yeah anything can happen but imo Gukesh is likely to beat Alireza and if he does, then Ian and Hikaru are both in very difficult must-win games in round 14. Fabi has to hope Gukesh doesn’t win in round 13 and that he can win against Pragg because unless Ian is in a situation where he must win in the final round, I think he’s going to hold.
Is there anyway to bet on chess matches? That would make the sport as popular as tennis and golf.
This is exactly the type of video I’ve been looking for, just based on the title
Great conversation!!
Great Analysis Anish. You got it right I think
Gukesh must go for the win against Firouzja otherwise it'll be tough he'll have black against Hikaru
Yeah Just imagine gukesh beats both alireza and hikaru Although it's not gonna happen
@@ShankarMupanna You never know (I am 100% Hikaru Fan) Gukesh could win both, because if he wins against Alireza and Hikaru drews, Hikaru has to risk a lot against him in Round 14, so there might be a chance that Gukesh wins both rounds
@@seife41 I'm also hikaru fan
Very rational analysis of strategies, loved it❤
Thank you Sagar for your great work 🎉 Love watching Anish 🤩
There are so many possibilities... Round 13 is pivotal for Gukesh
No matter how much we predict outcomes, Gukesh is just going to play solid and try to win if he gets chances indifferent of what is happening on the other boards. And for this reason, he will win. Pragg lost to Hikaru because he couldn't control his urge to win while taking risks in an equal position. And he termed this decision as 'horrible'. This I am telling right before ROUND 13. Mark my words.
Nepo will win
Consistently outstanding content !
Odds are gukesh will win with white against Alireza. But if that happens, Hikaru will go crazy against him in round 14
True but Gukesh can hold against him for tie no problem
he will lose against alireza
That will be amazing to watch 🤔Hikaru going all out while Gukesh going for a draw
@@mozamel8033 😂..Gukesh won
Anish delivering the spicy hot takes I’ve been looking for 🤯
14:00 What a prophecy!
It will be very interesting if Fabi beats Pragg
Pragg has to hold Fabi at any cost, only then Gukesh has a chance. Pragg is mathematically out, but it'll be great for India, if he can do this for Gukesh. As for Gukesh, I'm confident he'll hold Nakamura for a draw, but against a nothing to lose Alireza it'll not be easy to win. Gukesh must be careful against Alireza.
Pragg is selfish He will lose the match
@@redwood2119How sarcastically rude can this bro be huh ????????!,,
I CANT wait for tomorrow
@@user-qc9cd5iz3l for Gukesh to lose?
Wtf are u telling he will lose rating if he lose 😂@@redwood2119
Eyes shall really be in Pragg and Alireza' performance. They are key for the final result
as much as i love alireza, fide did anish dirty by denying him a spot in 2024 candidates. third place in fide world cup for candidates spot also feel weak. wild card spot should be reserved for most deserving player, such as Abdusattorov et al.
Most deserving player is not a genuine criteria. That'll lead to a lot of controversy with how subjective it can be.
3 spots for WC are ridiculous. The tournament with the most luck involved gets you the most spots...
@@armingleiner5292 yea. 3 for Fide Circuit or FIDE Grand Swiss is better. Preferably circuit. In grand Swiss there will probably be a lot of players tied for third.
anish games are boring with all draws, aliRizza win or lose, he plays new positions and makes chess interristing.
@@hqcart1 for the sake of this conversation ill agree with you but surely wesley or anish deserved this spot and that little tournament built for the sole purpose of boosting alireza was a bit nonsensical
Very logical take! This makes so much sense
Vidit learned a big lesson by losing to Nepo. If he wants to compete with the elites than he should speed up his calculations. His live rating has dropped to 2721 which was his approximate rating for many years. So he dropped from 2743 because he was always in time trouble. Noorul from Canada
Predictions are always meaningless (a novice can get them right and an expert wrong), but Anish's comments and explanations are very interesting.
Hikaru said he is playing better in classical than rapid
true
Hikaru is the Bullet GOAT
@@MasterInHDHikaru is the blitz goat
Hikaru mouse click god
@@falcon_224 online blitz He never win any otb wc title for blitz
Gukesh with black is scary to be honest. I always enjoy him when he has black pieces
Shocking Giri is predicting lots of draws
Excellent analysis!
I initially wanted either gukesh or hikaru to take the tournament. Anish's analysis honestly helped open my eyes on how good of a chance fabi still had despite the disadvantages. But I would be happy with any result other than nepo wining honestly. Nothing against him. It's just that I'm REALLY not interested in a rematch of 2022. He's been in the last 3 times. It's about time somebody else got a shot at the title
By experience on watching many chess tournaments, in these situations, the fear of losing overcomes the "wish to win", its human nature, so today on round 13 i predict: Nepo - Hikaru : DRAW PRagg-Caruana: DRAW (but maybe not) Gukesh: Either Wins or draw, depending on Firouzja playstyle IF Gukesh Draws R13, Then R14 Naka-Gukesh are almost guaranteed to draw, FAbi will be in a must-win situation, But Fabi on must win situations still play very sound chess, and Nepo gets very shaky when the opponent must Win and he just needs to draw (Wcc against Ding speaks for itself), then I predict Caruana wins and TIE Break between FABI, GUKESH and NAKA. IF Gukesh Wins R13, Naka will be at must win, and no Matter what, Fabi will be out, cause all 3 results of Naka vs Gukesh keeps Fabi out of 1st place. Considering that, some might say that Fabi should play for win on R13 to have more control over his destiny BUT, the risks are too big to play for win with black against PRagg, so my guess is Fabi will just hope Gukesh doesn't win against Firouzja. So basically its all on Gukesh Vs Firouzja, If Gukesh wins, Naka and Nepo are in HUGE pressure, Caruana has no more chances so he will most likely play solid with white, and the results are simply incredibly hard to predict, anything can happen. If Gukesh Draws, i believe we are most likely heading to a 3 way tiebrek (or Nepo win because FAbi overpushes). now, for me, the most interesting result for R13 would be if Caruana wins and everyone else draw, cause R14 would be just complete chaos, the 4 leaders playing each other, and most likely heading to a 4 way tie. But is not likely to happen. Imo, the most likely outcome is 1-Gukesh Wins 2-Tiebreaks 3-Nepo wins 4-Naka Wins
That's a solid analysis...
Man it is more interesting than ipl, chodo ipl yaar, chess man
Where is full video?
What are the tiebreak rules? Is it just the top 2? What do they do if there are THREE people on equal points? ty
Encouraging gukesh is nice but dont give bad comments on pragg. He is not selfish. Pragg and gukesh are very understandable . Pragg sacrifice his game for gukesh . Just encourage them
It's going to be a bloodbath, few draws. Much more risky play expected and hopefully breathtaking games!
Gukesh has the highest chance as he will face a weaker opponent Alireza. he push for a win round 13 then secure a draw in round 14. That would be enough for winning the tournament without tiebreak.
your so-called weaker opponent choke him in the first round
Alireza is never weak
Alireza not weak bro 😅
I meant a weaker opponent only for this tournament considering his points.
Everything went as my prediction!
Ian vs Naka has all the ingredients to be the game of the tournament! Nepo has to produce an opening novelty to have a chance
lesssssssss gooooooo Gukesh 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Gukesh vs Firouzja may will decide the Candidates.
excellent analysis..rooting for GUKI.
How the pairing of tie break will be decided if 4players ends in 1st pos?... and also for 3players how it happens??
It will be a round robin again, but only once this time i.e everyone plays others only once
I think high chances for top 3 to be within tiebreaks , also gukesh winning chances increases if he wins against alireza
In my opinion, Nepo really deserves the Win. Other players are good but Nepo really has an edge with his prep (except Fabi I suppose) and he is not wary of new lines. So he is not only a solid player but also creative one who can fight till the very end.
I think hikaru-nepo has a great chance of being decisive. From Ian's perspective, he knows hikaru is the favorite in tiebreak. He also knows Gukesh has a great winning chance against Reza, which would put Gukesh as a solo leader. His chance of beating fabi with black is very low, for him to catch up. Taking all that into consideration, I think he will really press for a win with white against Hikaru. Hikaru obviously wants to draw against nepo. Even if Gukesh wins, Hikaru has white against him next round. So Hikaru kinda has a safety net which nepo doesn't. And Hikaru playing for a draw instead of a win, gives nepo a good opportunity to press and win with white.
My prediction also tilting towards Guki although rooting for Fabi 🖤!"
Things are poised so tantalizingly!
Here's an unhappy thought: all draws in 13, then in 14 Hikaru draws against Gukesh and Fabiano loses against Ian after pushing the must win too hard.
I personally wouldnt want tiebreaks for Gukesh, classical is his major strength.
Very Shaky..... is too probably good ...... Nepo! Мы все понимаем, что психика Яна это .... Но это работает в обе стороны.....
Let the deserving player win ❤!
Excellent analysis
Gukesh for the win🎉❤
It's going to be an exciting two days!
El favorito es Gukesh, creo que ganará claramente con blancas a Alireza y podrá sacar tablas ante Hikaru en la última ronda. Hoy veo a Nepo e Hikaru tablas y a Fabi con Rameshbabu empatando también.
I'm cheering for Nakamura, mainly because his KZhead channel is fantastic, but it would also be exciting to see Gukesh become champion and bring a new energy to the game.
At first I was annoyed players like Wesley (my fav), Giri & Rapport didn't qualify for candidates... on the other hand different experience lvl in this tourey created an epic dynamic with drama we haven't seen in years in chess tbh... all storylines insane contender either a 17 yo, a 36 year old mega streamer, a dude who never gives up, or the only player who didnt lose to magnus in classical WC match... all players totally deserve it.
No participant (apart from Nepo) has ever lost a classical game against Magnus in a WC match ;) I understand what you mean ofc
Gukesh will upset Hikaru. It's gonna be between Ian and Gukesh.
Nope
@@dethfr491 So, what about now? 🤣
Anish considering everybody should make a draw …. 😂
😂
Kramnik looks way younger in this video.
Interesting
🤨
Where?
all in for gukesh!
Excitement🤒
Caruana or Hikaru. They can hold the nerves better than others. Gukesh also having chances. Ian may have last championship match back of his mind.
Guys we are 🤏 this close to witness the history and the history will repeat itself and Gukesh's name will be written with golden letters in the next generation's GK books.
I cant wait to know who will win the tournament
I literally read that like Anish Giri Breaks Down in the Last Two Rounds of the Candidates
Ngl I want gukesh to go through but then I see Ian’s last years final match n want him to go on revenge mode, coz if magnus decides to come back for his throne it’s a 👋
Anyone from these 4 deserves it and have great storyline from Championship.
I think Anish might be wrong that Hikaru would want a rapid tie break. He recently stated that he thinks he is now better at classical than rapid.
Thank you for these deep speculations 😅😅
Gukesh for sure 👍🏻
I think Gukesh is the favourite, followed by Hikaru. Cant see Nepo scoring more than one point in the next two games, which will not be enough. If Fabiano beats Pragg he might have a chance to tie for 1st, but I think it’s not likely.
Gukesh will win candidates and also world championship. I am having this Devine feeling about it.
Hikaru💪 must be the world championship
Gukesh or Nepo will win this for sure
Round 13: Gukesh beat alireza, Nepo beat Hikaru, Fabi draw pragg... Gukesh - 8.5, Nepo - 8.5, Hikaru - 7.5, Fabi - 7.5... Round 14: Hikaru beat gukesh, Fabi beat nepo... Gukesh - 8.5, Hikaru - 8.5, Nepo - 8.5, Fabi - 8.5... Interesting...😂
Hikaru makes substantial KZhead money every time he wins a game. And if he wins the tournament the potential monetization is substantial. And he is is playing very well. I also favor Hikaru in any rapid or blitz tie breaker. So I like his chances. But of course all four have a chance here. They may be underestimating the fact that Fabi is a half point back. He is great, but that half point is a real issue for his chances. I think it is something like Hikaru 30%, Nepo 26%, Gukesh 26%, Fabi 18%.
When is the next match guys
If Gukesh wins the Candidates it would be a sensation of historical proportion and, to me at least, more significant than the actual World Chess Championship Match itself. At the same time, that would be a huge disappointment for the players who were ranked among the top 10 in the world before the Candidates Tournament. The player who has really earned a shot at the title from my point of view is definitely Hikaru. Chances are that he won't even play another Candidates.
Gukesh at 17 is least experienced. So this could be a factor if he doesn't win the candidates. But of course we are rooting for gukesh. Since his favorite player is Fischer and if plays like Fischer then he will top the candidates. Noorul from Canada.
"Noorul from Canada." after each comment... supidity exploded
@@sattyda wheres the stupidity?
4:38 It was in this position that Anish Giri decided to become Agadmator
Gukesh beat alireza and draw with nakamura Nepo - both draw Naka both draw Gukesh wins🎉🎉🎉🎉
Hopefully
What if alireza beat him ?? Last round
@@Hazibaly.chess.Alireza is free points
@@alexeyprofi3951no he isn't , he's a super gm for a reason, show him little respect
@@aravpradosh1244 unfortunately for this tournament he hasnt pulled many upsets or any substance other than beating gukesh that one time, so at this point its much more likely he is free points.
Amish’s take on Hikaru had a few holes in it. Saying Hikaru “wants” the rapid tie break is a bit strange. Is Hikaru confident of his chances in faster chess? Yes, very likely (although he did comment about how his bullet and blitz is much better than his rapid). But you know what Hikaru wants even more than a tiebreak? An outright win! Hikaru has the white prices that game after all. Second, in terms of Hikaru having no new opening moves as white, he played QA5+ early last game, which was out of nowhere for the analysts.
Qa4+ not Qa5+and it wasn't a novelty.
Anish is completely right. He said Hikaru wants tiebreaks assuming everyone draws in next round. In that case draw for Hikaru in last round means tiebreaks and loss means losing the event. When you go for win, you also risk losing so instead of risking Hikari will rather go for lines when he has small chance of pushing but not likely to backfire.
@aliensconfirmed3498 have you not been paying attention to what Hikaru has been saying?. If he has a chance he wants to win.
@@droyal18able yep, I agree. He said repeatedly that he would rather play exciting chess than “correct” chess.