Peter Zeihan: Power Struggles from Israel to the US Election
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How does the Hamas attack and Israel's retaliation change the geopolitical landscape from here? @ZeihanonGeopolitics answers...
Geopolitical strategist and author Peter Zeihan joins Maggie Lake to unpack the complex geopolitical landscape. They look at the most recent developments in Israel and how this could impact the Russia-Ukraine war, discuss where China stands amid Middle East tensions, and explore how technology is changing the face of global warfare.
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CHAPTERS
1 What Scenarios Should We Be Considering Around the Situation in Israel? 00:24
2 Is the Ability and the Will in the US to Be Powerbrokers Diminishing? 0:10:11
3 How Does This Affect Energy? 0:21:08
4 The Knock-On Effects on the Russia-Ukraine War 0:29:10
5 How Is Technology Changing the Face of Warfare?
0:36:36
6 The Financial Costs to the US and the 2024 Presidential Election 0:41:39
7 Immigration Policies and Demographics 0:48:30
8 Is China a Weakened State? 0:58:34
9 On the Possibility of Nuclear Conflict 01:03:58
10 What Are You Most Focused on Right Now? 01:10:21
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🚀 The Exponentialist - Become a charter member rvtv.io/3tQlabB 1 What Scenarios Should We Be Considering Around the Situation in Israel? 00:24 2 Is the Ability and the Will in the US to Be Powerbrokers Diminishing? 0:10:11 3 How Does This Affect Energy? 0:21:08 4 The Knock-On Effects on the Russia-Ukraine War 0:29:10 5 How Is Technology Changing the Face of Warfare? 0:36:36 6 The Financial Costs to the US and the 2024 Presidential Election 0:41:39 7 Immigration Policies and Demographics 0:48:30 8 Is China a Weakened State? 0:58:34 9 On the Possibility of Nuclear Conflict 01:03:58 10 What Are You Most Focused on Right Now? 01:10:21
00
Forget crypto
I’m Ty y un n
Please state for the record is Palestine AI (Anti Israel) or not? Would Moloch, Baal, Ra, Amen, El, and Isis approve of your manner of speech Peter?
It’s baffling to me that Peter still can’t understand the establishment can’t expect any American to support the defense of another country until ours is secure. This isn’t about being able to “find Canada on a map or understand math”. It’s about keeping our own borders on the map and understanding the math around our demographics and economy.
Hilarious that there's a pinned ad for Crypto Academy with fire next to it when Peter HATES crypto and calls it a dumpster fire. 😆🤣😂
😂 I thought the same!
Life in the big city. 🏌️
BlowHag Zeihan is paid to hate cryptocurrency and say everything else he says
Fake biz
A man’s gotta eat 🫃🏻
IF you did one of these every month and it was 2 hours long, i'd listen to every single one of them.
And you would also become also as deluded as peter. 😂
@@kth6736ironically, if you apply the thinking patterns and cautionary behaviors Zeihan constantly touts to his own presentations? He becomes startlingly-accurate. Problem is, as soon as one becomes famous and dependent on publishing for their money, their ability to maintain impartiality begins to slide.
@@kth6736great argument? Where’s your geopolitical podcast with millions of followers? I’ll give you a subscribe
@@mattdavid716 yes. Its called not to be an online bootlick of peter zeihan. Subscribe to it... totally changes the taste of your mouth.
😂
Her little laugh when he said Biden predates the splitting of the atom😂
Yeah, that's true... he is not quite as old as the pyramids though. 🙂
Maggie may well be the best interviewer in the business. She asks great questions, and spot-on follow ups...
Maggie is amazing and this interview is a great example.
She is so naive it seems like Peter is talking to a high school student.
@@jatpack3the majority understand world politics on a high school level. This is KZhead dude, not a DC think tank conference.
I’m Israeli and this man is the best non Israeli analyst of this conflict💪🇺🇸
He ain’t a fan of Israel fyi 🤣
Great interview. Lake asked exactly the right questions, this was perfect extraction of Zeihan’s PoV. Bravo.
Like the way she uses the last statement as a seguay to the next question is class.
Agree 100%! It’s great to see these guys so clearly and publicly declaring who they are: a guy who smiles while saying this is as a facinating train wreck.
Yeah! Super snappy interviewer. What fabulous skills. Bravo indeed!
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Thank you for highlighting health care cost reform as THE major problem in the US. Twice as expensive and by my experience non functional as well.
We can fix it and bring it into line with other countries. Folks don't want to. Socialize care with Medicare/Medicaid without the social control that a full NHS-style health care would bring. All you need to do it set limitations on pubically funded health care. Put limitations on dialysis, ventilation, and cancer treatments. But let's be fair, no one is going to do that. It won't buy votes. Best chance is some uber-lefty to understand we have a great system and it's just the last year or two of life where our spending goes. So they leave the current private system and get left with just fixing the pubically funded side.
Health system is under pharma occupation. No one has the power to overthrow them
You are paying for that out of your own pocket? Sounds like very deep pockets.@@pa_2600
@@pa_2600agreed.. But our healthcare system is top three economic anchor on our necks. No idea why we don't have visible pricing in healthcare..... Would solve most problems right away.
Health care reform would not be much of an issue without the hemorrhaging of money to support destroying countries, and lining the pockets of the powerful elite.
The casualness in the way Peter says the words “locust drones” is terrifying😂
Those who listened to Peter and invested in US a decade ago are laughing all the way to the bank. Those who drank all that China rising cool aid meanwhile...😂
One thing that he continues to underestimate is the speed at which AI and robotics are growing and merging to either become major determinants in the labor force or the armed forces. Musk has begun mass producing humanoid bots. In 5 years these technologies will be capable of replacing millions of workers and dramatically reducing costs, such that the pace of wealth creations could reduce international friction and conflict
It is obvious you have no understanding of the causes of war and conflict. Please do your research and study history before commenting.@@stopper90004
@@stopper90004ill save this comment and in 5 years when ChatGTP is still a bets ill keeo laughing
@stopper90004 Robots may produce as much stuff as they like. But since ONLY US will be **consuming** such stuff, it is the US that gets to decide who lives and who dies.
everybody who believed in the chinese continoum rising never factored the lack ofany financial restraint by shi the chinese damms are moving dangerously towards fracturing and leading to ecologic disaster this puts a damper on their predicted growth they are having trouble with the belt and road contiuing also disasterous building companies
What a very important discussion! Kudos to Maggie for keeping her questions short and to the point. Thank you so much!
The flow of this interview was enjoyable. A lot to process here! Thanks to the both of you.
Peter is always such a ray of sunshine
Hahahah
😂😂😂
Maggie is a superb interviewer for Peter. You both interact with intelligence, respect and positive chemistry. May we have more of the dynamic duo.
Yes she keeps him on the pace,and on track really well
Masterful hosting by Maggie. Peter is an excellent guest too, could listen to him all day (from behind my sofa).
He fuels MSM, which is all about propaganda and gaslighting.😅
Should make this a monthly thing. Things are changing so fast.
When a Democrat is in office, the entire world makes power plays, if people don't like that then vote in someone like Trump 😂
Too fast, it's a problem.
@warfarenotwarfair5655 Trump is heading for a well deserved prison term or three.
The longer an interview has Zeihan on, the more likely I’ll watch it. He’s a fascinating speaker and as my first experience watching Lake, she’s a great interviewer
Amazing Peter can cram this much information into a little over an hour. Its like an entire semester's worth of lectures.
And it's all just CIA talking points that if you look back after a year or two will all be wrong.
But much of it is worthless
When you are making things up, it just rolls off the tongue.
Mis*
...but is he correct?
The candidness and humble nature of her follow up questions drew a perfect level of exploration and explanation from Peter in my opinion. Great discussion, bravo 👏
Love seeing these long videos with Peter.
Love seeing these long videos with your mom.
@@hibaticaburn....... Lol lol
It's really just a lot of well spoken words to state the obvious - the Middle East has been a mess for thousands, not hundreds of years. Even during the multi-century period of Ottoman rule, this part of the map was in a constant fuedal, warring mess. Without Israel.
Greatly helped by islam
Exactly. It's an unsolvable mess. They seem to enjoy it.
Excellent video! Thank you for dating the video. It makes it much more valuable.
Fascinating conversation, thanks
Peter is so refreshing to listen to, hilarious and charismatic
Fantastic discussion, and great questions from the host - thanks.
this guy is bright. So charismatic and knowledgeable. No one is able to connect the dots like Peter can -
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Great interview. Excellent questions and fantastic answers. Theses two are great together. 👍👍👍👍👍 Thanks
Best interview I’ve seen with him.
Great episode. This episode was better than all news sources combined regarding geopolitics!! I’ll be coming back for all content.
World is going to end; Peter Zeihan just smiling the whole time...
He's paid to.. Take everything peter says with the grain of salt.
@@Denver_ThugI’d say a mountain
@@Denver_Thuginteresting observation
Example: 14:47 zeihan apparently doesn't realize that Blinken is a simpleton who gets the cold shoulder in most non western nations. Especially China. Zeihans China take is ridiculous...
His most recent book is " the end of the world is only the beginning"
Maggie is on point asking the questions we all have. ❤
Listening to Peter is like drinking from a fire hydrant. Much to parse, much to consider. Excellent job in managing the interview as well! Kudos to you both.
Outstanding program - thank you
Im in infrastructure construction management have been for 30 years he is 100% right this is happening.
This guy is brilliant
What amuses me is the people that reject Peter outright because he dumps on Trump. Peter is human, and makes mistakes too - but saying everything he talks about is wrong because he doesn't think much of your political candidate? What does that say about you...
He pretty much dunks on all modern presidents which is refreshing.
It's not controversial to dump on Trump. He's the most dump-worthy guy on the scene.
Indeed. And among the people aren't outright Trump supporters, Zeihan stands out in giving Trump credit in some aspects.
@@peterfazio9306Okay War hawk. We all know you want more wars in the world and can't accept that Trump tried peace over what you want.
regardless of what you think about the 2020 election (he lost, get over it), the fact that a red wave didn't materialize in the midterm is a very clear sign that the republicans are not in a strong position at the moment. best believe that trump will galvanize the democratic party in opposition as well.
Excellent discussion, thanks maggie and peter.
Fantastic to hear PZ to speak at this length on a variety of topics.
Great interview as always!
It's worth mentioning that the topic of history, and the apparent lack of awareness of it, keeps coming up. Thank you Mr Zeihan.
Maggie is smarter than most of her peers and it shows.
No doubt. Keeping up with Zeihan is not easy and she did a great job
Great as always.
Excellent interview!!!
There is so much information in this video. It is as useful as months of "news". But it is terrifying at the same time.
Peter Z is the smartest guy in the room. Where others talk the party line, he talks realities. It’s refreshing to hear his honest, unbiased options based on facts. We need more Leaders who think like him.
Peter Zeihan's analytical abilities are rivalled only by those of Paris Hilton. They should team up.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Fantastic job Maggie. This is the best interview of PZ maybe ever. You really got it ALL out. This will be on repeat for a while. Love Peter.
Peter is very mainstream, seldom correct, and very impressed with himself
You so correct. This guy is definitely wrong. The things he says does not indicate an ability to predict things. Unless he just gets lucky.
Actually just the opposite. The stuff that Zeihan talks about are RARELY mentioned, and if they are mentioned, are rarely portrayed correctly, by the mainstream news media. His predictions are not all going to be correct, but his insights as to what is going on, and what this could lead too, far out pace the usual talking heads on CNN, NBC, or Faux News. He is very impressed with himself, that's for sure.
You are right, he is a fake prophet
You mean he’s not a Trump fan.
this is the first Ive heard him
KZhead algroithm needs to tighten up and recommend me Zeihan videos sooner.
I'm glad he explain and clarify that about China.
Thanks for the insightful updates.
Incredible interview, thx.
Would love a debate between Zeihan and Col. MacGregor.
Zeihan would never. He’s all narrative and pro west propaganda.. talking to macgregor would actually require him to listen and analyze things in real time and he doesn’t do that.
MacGregor is a petulant Colonel, a fella that never made General because he was never correct in all those postings around the world, throughout his career
MacGregor would destroy his hubris
Zeihan can't debate. He's a snobby presenter at best.. We'll see how long his state dept cheerleader-ing lasts 😮
He sounds so confident like he has it all figured out. He’s a stooge for the deep state and you would have to water board him before he would say a bad word about big pharma.
Excellent questions and sensible push back.
Thank you for mentioning healthcare reform in the context of national security discussions. -The Frontlines
What are the chances Israel had foreknowledge of the attack, and ignored it so they would have a reason / Casus Beli to exterminate Palestine?
Woul be interesting to know what Zeihan thinks of the West trying to avoid the collapse of Russia. How many years should Ukraine fight with this ongoing strategy of not letting Russia win and Ukraine not losing the war?
Korea
russia wining the usa enignereed ukraine war russia has overtaken germany as the biggest economy in europe its the usa that might collaspe look at the usa and its tent cities for the homeless
The Ukraine war is to degrade the Russian military so it can no longer function.
but theyve already won the war... for a long time. theyre willfully letting the west throw away resources into straight corruption, with 50% getting stolen outright and the rest being used horrifically ineffecient by an incompetent clowncountry
Great Conversation!!!
"From a trainrack faszination point of view" - love it 😂😂
Why isn't Turkey getting more attention? The fact that Turkish naval forces are conducting military exercises near a US carrier strike group is quite telling. This situation prompts serious questions about Turkey's reliability as a NATO ally. It's evident that Turkey is determined to establish its dominance in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, its ambitions are in direct conflict with the interests of Cyprus and the Greek islands, which complicates its pursuit of the "Mavi Vatan" or "Blue Homeland" strategy aimed at expanding control over crucial sea routes connecting the Black Sea, the Aegean, and the Suez Canal. It's clear that Turkey would first need to eliminate the US presence in the region to achieve these ambitions. This scenario underscores the notion that Turkey might pose a more significant military threat to the West than Iran. It's imperative to maintain a close and continuous watch on Turkey, not just during the current conflict. It's alarming how Turkey's Neo-Ottoman aspirations are progressing with minimal attention from Western nations.
Turkey is a regional powerbroker whether you like it or not. They control access to the Black Sea and Agean (NOT Greece). Greece and Cyprus are pawns at best but essentially non-factors! Turkey "neo-Ottoman" goals have the full support of Israel, Saudie Arabia and the Caspian stans regarding energy pipelines and economic trade corridors. Deal with it!! Ha ha
@@juniorjames7076 come and get it!
Turkey's value to NATO is the control of access to the Black and Azov seas, which is nothing to sneeze at: Before February 24, 2022, Russia and Ukraine, the 2nd and 5th largest producers of wheat moved almost ALL of the grain through the straight straddled by Istanbul. Further, the control of access from the Black Sea gives or takes away Russia's wintertime connection to the rest of the world. They are also the largest, most well-equipped and combat-experienced NATO military force after the USA by far. NATO is not at all worried about Erdogan's little tantrums and if he ever becomes a real problem, he can be replaced almost at the push of a button and a telephone call. That's not a boast: He knows it, we know it, we know he knows it.
If you listen to Zeihan on other videos in 5-10 years the world is going to break into regional bocks and the US is going to go inward so likely Turkey will get its wish
Zeihan predicts Turkey as one of the main powers in the next few decades. IIRC, it's turkey, france, and north america
Always loved listening to Peter, but his belief the Biden has any reasoning skills left really colors the whole discussion.
Great interviewer 👍
The immigration conversation definitely *should* change. The question is whether all of the people who are involved in it and who are being motivated purely by emotion rather than any kind of sensible assessment of the future, can get their heads out of their... you know what long enough to think about our long term benefit. People are just too busy hating to think rationally.
Around 12:10 Peter says the US military has had three years to rest and _recruit._ Have you seen DoD's current recruitment numbers and projections? WE ARE IN TROUBLE.
He’s always wrong
Zeihan gets a lot wrong but nobody calls him on it because he's funny. People like funny more than truth.
Then reinstate the draft
@@mactek6033 who does Zeihan work for?
The recruitment numbers are down, but not to the level where it causes systematic problems. Across all three branches they project a shortfall of 26,000. Out of a US joint force of 1.4 million. Get a grip.
Peter has INCREDIBLE analysis. Second to few. His projections are hit or miss. Slightly more hit than miss... but don't make any financial bets based on his projections lol. He doesn't understand that TRADERS drive markets, rarely fundamentals.
The traders over fundamentals might unfortunately be true
His demographic, geographic and productivity based analysis is far better than his political / geopolitical analysis.
Yes, he's clear headed with a great grand framework. His weakness is he offers near term projected dates with confidence that usual don't play out as anticipated yet are often possible outcomes that at least play out at some point.
The fundamentals allow trades to occur
@@raquetdude Traders misprice fundementals. It's the nature of the market. It's called reflexivity.
@ 10:22 "from a trainwreck fascination point-of-view" LOL, gotta love Peter!
Excellent interview
Absorbing that ammo for us. : ) Haha and yes.
On the other hand every US defence contractor is getting to test run their latest iterations of military hardware.
Date stamp, most excellent. Many thanks!
"We don't look back historically often enough." Boy, you can say that again. It's kind of pathetic.
Peter Zeihan is doing great work , amazing interview !!
Any one who actually did IR or has a deep understanding of history and economics whole heartedly disagrees with this fella. Its so much one is lost for words. He mixes a little or a few correct things with wild jumps in assumptions.
Info packed
Great interview Maggie, loved that you pressured Peter.
Thanks for watching!
"Most of them are wastes of skin" - im assuming this in reference to the orthodox jews of Israel. Interesting take, Peter 😮
Spot on. They made a religion out of racism.
He was referencing how Saudi Arabia feels about Palestinians
@ivanschlotzky1378 how does Saudi Arabia feel about Palestinians?
It was pretty clear that's exactly what he meant.
lol.. come on. Watch it again and think for a bit.
Listen to his information, but draw your own conclusions.
Peter Zeihan is like that postman Cliff Calvin in Cheers TV series. He knows everything a little bit. And he can string some big words together and appears to be coherent.
If Peter thinks Biden can take Texas and Florida, then I'm not worried about his prediction on this matter
People seem to forget there's a very large, yet silent majority that goes against the grain of the extremes in their States. They resent the political finger-wagging and ranting from many of their relatives, friends and colleagues. They resent the clickbait that is now the Media (whichever political or cultural aisle). These people "independents" don't like drama. Their voices are heard at the ballot box......
whatever happens, it won't be boring@@telluwide5553
@@telluwide5553you said nothing.
You've said even less....@@kaltwies
Look to Arizona, Goldwater country, McCain and Flake for twenty years until the Democrats took both seats, the AG, Sec of State and Governor’s office.
Nobody has mentioned Turkey. They have the potential to totally upset the entire geopolitical dynamic of the region.
Peter referenced Turkey as a viable regional power here, as be has multiple times recently.
Turkey just had a huge rally against Israel!!
Ms Lake is ay the top of my list. Excellent MC.
This was a very very very informative
The GOP cannot win just on their stance regarding Ukraine… GOP needs to split asap between a corporate and a cultural group.
The lunatics are running the asylum, and if they split, both groups are too small to matter. What happens next?
@@nicolasoltongive democrats total power. No more female vote. One part dictatorial rule. Still maintain the constitution and congress.
lol what? theyre winning on that stance as well as every other stance they have... because democrats are intrinsically not a party even trying to strive for issues that the people want...
Corporations the world over will do anything to get skilled labor. Except pay it properly.
Man this guy is smart!!
That Churchill quote never gets old :-)
PZ talking nonsense as usual 😂
They could just incentivize Americans to have kids? Anyone think of that?
They're prefer minorities. It's easier to play smaller groups against others or present them as disadvantaged or the larger groups as priveleged
@@hephestosthalays2700 Its not even that. Its cheaper labor potential. Its why you hear his seeming disdain for unions calling them anti immigration.
You could, but that would only fix the labour issues in what? 20 years at best, 30 more likely, 50 not off the table including the needed cultural shift. And that assumes that you can find the right policies to do the trick and that they stick. So that "Just" is doing a lot of heavy lifting in your comment.
@@troyd384 Hadn't even considered that. Spot on
This was fantastic thank you
❤ Peter
No chance Russia moves on to the next country after Ukraine.
Thank you! Putin has never shown any interest in expanding borders. Where do people come up with these fabricated narratives? Oh, right. The NeoCons.
Two super-intelligent people having a chat. Great Qs Maggie
Incredible.
Brilliant man !!!
Draft Zeihan for Prez! Imagine this guy with the entire US Intelligence Community as his staff for this type of analysis. And imagine if he were (ultimately) in charge of holding the Military Industrial Complex accountable.
It’s the “trust me bro” guy!
thanks for this.....lots of fun!!!! "Merry Christmas"
Thank you soldiers 🙏
He said Hezbollah doesn't have an army. Jane's military media organization puts the number of Hezbollah fighters at approximately 30,000. That's just their full time strength. Add in their reserves, and the number is roughly 50,000. They also have approximately 10,000 special elite forces. In addition, they are financed with about a billion dollars a year by Iran which trains them. They have an estimated 150,000 rocket artillery units They have precision guided missiles. They have silkworm cruise missiles. They don't have an army? Tell that to the large amount of mothers and fathers who lost sons (and daughters) to combat with them. They are an existential threat whose objective is to ethnically cleanse Israel of Jews and impose a governance structure based on an extreme form of religious law. By the way, Hamas has about 30,000 fighters which constitutes a massive force multiplier for the approximately 50,000 man Hezbollah terrorist military.
Funny thing - the IDF's total number of possible members is 10x that of the full number of Hezbollah. And they have better weapons AND a tactical advantage through the Golan Heights.
They have a guerrilla force. Haven't they fought a war with Israel before? What did they do? Launch a bunch of rockets and then engage in guerrilla warfare? Pretty much. They don't stand their ground and so Israel plays the same game and executes scorched earth tactics by collectively punishing their civilians. Hezbollah regretted their last war with Israel because Israel can play the same game of attacking civilians and the Jews guard their civilians better than the Arabs.
What is the Hezbollah plan for the Palestinians after Palestine is ethnically cleansed of Jews? Wouldn't they regard them as Sunni apostates?
Peter is a smart guy on most things, but his election analysis is so bad it brings everything else into question.
He has an excellent model of international resources. But his domestic analysis is lower IQ than the Times. In fact he is sometimes quoting that tabloid.
He has been wildly off in the past. He used to be super high on 3D printing. His bread and butter are demographics and energy. The father from those two, the more speculation
Great programme