John Mearsheimer: What’s Behind Biden’s Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame
This is the second interview we did with Professor John Mearsheimer on wars and great power politics. Watch the first one here: • John Mearsheimer: Is C...
In this second interview with American political scientist and international relations scholar John Mearsheimer, we discussed the current status of the war in Ukraine and prospects for resolution, moral issues around Israeli military campaigns in Gaza, deterrence and risks of conflict in the South China Sea, and whether ideology is declining in importance when it comes to international relations.
#Endgame #GitaWirjawan #JohnMearsheimer
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About the host:
Gita Wirjawan is an Indonesian entrepreneur, educator, and currently a visiting scholar at The Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC), Stanford University. Gita has also just been appointed as an Honorary Professor of Politics and International Relations in the School of Politics and International Relations, University of Nottingham, UK.
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Chapters
0:00:00 - Intro
0:01:53 - Why Ukraine is in Big Trouble
0:05:16 - Guns, Troops and Air Power
0:18:28 - Winning the Peace in Ukraine
0:23:37 - ‘The Blob’
0:29:03 - Israel Lobby
0:35:52 - What Will Iran Do?
0:37:46 - Cleansing the Palestinians
0:42:28 - Containing China
0:50:02 - Conflict in South China Sea
1:02:47 - Is Ideology Dead?
1:08:42 - Tools of Great Powers
1:13:22 - Future of Nuclear Non Proliferation
1:18:28 - Hubris-Humility Index
When the definition of morality is ambiguous, and when violence is easily justified, what logic will you use to guide your course of action?
The lunar eclipse 😅
The reckless and unrighteous actions of your unrighteous goals.
United States foreign policy since 1897!
Read the Bible. Judge a tree by its fruits.
@@AuditorInvestor Despite the US claims of freedom founded on liberty. Those roots of the tree were in fact founded on the inhumanity of slavery and violence against the Africans. and the disposition of the Indigenous peoples of North America. Evil is indeed in the DNA of its founding fathers and to this day.
PROFESSOR JOHN MEARSHEIMER A MAN OF INTEGRITY AND TRUTH,,,GOD BLESS HIM.
On Ukraine and Gaza, yes -- but not with it at all about China.
He might be sharp from US POV, but fundamentally, his beliefs align with US imperialism. Some ppl from US former colonies might like him, cause his idea might bring the master back.
Russian bot ----- please. Gag me.
WARP view of INTEGRITY...?🤨 Shouldn’t INTEGRITY include an UNBIASED opinion/view of Global GEOPOLITICAL... seems JM has a blind spot/loyalty in KEEPING HEGEMONY of USA & to maintain USA IMPERIALISM regardless...to the point of starting ANOTHER WAR..(which it no longer can afford) BUT only this time, China are on a Military Technological level playing field...🙄 🙄
John Mearsheimer is the man for the moment. Finally after years of scholarship and analysis of world events, he's come into his own through podcasts and alternative media. He's great. And your conversation with him is one of the best. Thank you, Gita Wirjawan.
ANOTHER russian bot. unbelievable
@@cheponis Hahahahahaha. Yep.
@@cheponiswhere?
@@kumstuke There. Right there.
@@cheponis good camouflage, still couldn't see it
At the beginning I was not fond of Mersheimer view, but he proved me wrong so many times, that couldn't help but to study his view with more attention and curiosity. He's been right on every single issue he talked about regarding international affairs. He's one of a kind, respects.
Marshmellow is a moron and Russian apologist. Why to people give him the time of day?
the question that has not been answered as of 36 minutes is if AIPAC has to lobby for things, how does AIPAC hold so much power over US politicians that they "fear" for their jobs if they don't capitulate to them? Who are the people that make up AIPAC?
it is by exploiting them video tap them with sex tapes with minors etc ... Epstein case is best example
I think AIPAC is low key a blackmail ring; its the only explanation I can think of. Especially since the Epstien case revealed that many top officials had ties to Jeff and that Jeff also had ties to the Mossad.
AIPAC is the mossad by another name...also known as blackmail.
AIPAC is just a fairy tale, the real masters are behind money printing mechanism.
Leave that question.
The sad thing about wars is that those who start or instigate a war are never in or even near the battle field themselves.
Yes and those who go to war are not brave men and women fighting for their country. They are paid assasins fighting fir a few powerful individuals.
never
Zelensky was near the front plenty of times 😂
This is the biggest issue with modern warfare and our current politcal leaders. In the past, when there were kings and queens as leaders, they went to war and their entire families were on the front lines fighting and defending civilians. That entire equation has changed, what we have now is a system where our world leaders never have to put their lives on the line. They sit from afar and press a button and people die. There is a complete imbalance in what war entails and what is risked by those who call for war.
not true. Stalin's son was captured by the Nazis.... The Nazi's tried to exchange him, but his son was too low ranking for the Nazi that Russia had captured. Imagine that!! He said no to his own son.. How's that for nepotism?
When Witjawan says Indonesia dealt with multipolarity in a good way, he seems to completely ignore the CIA coup that installed Suharto and wiped out millions of his citizens for supporting neutrality. In fact, I don’t think I’ve ever seen him deal with this issue on the show, which makes the constant passive agreement anti-Sino remarks locate his loyalty in Washington rather than Southeast Asia. Good interview though. He got Mearsheimer to clearly illustrate the most key points on all of the issues.
The smartest comment I found here. 🎉
Excellent observation 👌🏽
So true
Many who were educated in the west have a western bias. Prisoner of colonial mentality.
You hope someone whose life is connected to USA will be against it ?
Bravo for Dr. Mearsheimer for his courageous expose of the Israel lobby. His books and public statements have done much to document the power of the Israel lobby in American politics and the government of the United States. He is to be commended!
So much respect for him and his courage
If I hear Dr. Mearsheimer I cannot stop listening. He is really a smart and an erudite man! Tks a lot fof this interesting interview 👏👏👏
the same.
He's in the catbird seat
John is worthless no life living spreading conspiracy go and touch grass
Dem möchte ich mich gerne anschließen - habe bereits 2007 ,Die Israel Lobby' gelesen und bin hoch erfreut. dass diesem Mann, die Aufmerksamkeit zuteil wird, die ihm zusteht. Wenn unsere Politiker nur einen Bruchteil der Übersicht. der Ahnung, des Wissens besäßen, die Hern Maersheimers auszeichnet, wäre schon einiges gewonnen. Mehr Maersheimer - jederzeit immer gerne. Danke für dieses Interview.
Keep hearing John talk about how much superior Russia is, 10x more artillery, Russia Air Force vs no Air Force, manpower advantage, industrial advantage.. so why haven’t they won yet? Been hearing this for 2 years now
One of the best interviews of Professor Mearsheimer. Thanks to the gentleman who is conducting the interview. He knows how to interview without any provocation and interruption.
Zionist🤢🤢🤢
Yea he is better than Teers Mongor!😂
even when his guest is full of misinformation and inaccurate research. Personally I like truth not biased inaccurate facts
@@aleejones7508 you must be delusional saying that from your arm couch... just read the guest's credentials..
Terima kasih banyak Pak Gita sudah mengundang kembali Prof. Mearsheimer. Saya salah satu pelajar yang mengidolakan beliau karena pandangan beliau terhadap isu-isu internasional. Melihat situasi Israel-Palestina yang memanas, saya sangat menantikan pendapat beliau mengenai hal tersebut. Alhamdulillahnya, Pak Gita menghadirkan beliau di Endgame. Luar biasa!
I think this debate would be a lot fairer and unbiased toward China if Professor Jeffery Sachs and Kishore Mahbubani are also invited. Their opinions would be significantly different from Professor Mearsheimer and that of the moderator.
I think one flaw in Professor Mearsheimer’s theory is that he assumes China will rise and becomes another hegemony like America even though China has been saying no we just want to rise peacefully and peacefully co-exist with other countries, including the neighboring countries.
The moderator has barrowed himself in the US anthill and is naturally biased against China.
Fairness does not come alone by introducing opposition. It comes only when those in discussion are willing to cede to someone else for having a valid point of view. Pro-Chinese advocates do not go along with that kind of discourse. It's _all_ CCP or PLA or nothing. Whenever one critiques the CCP, those two entities call it racism. They insist that the party, the army and the people are all one entity.
@@gaslitworldf.melissab2897very nuch agree yours is the comment-scape today
"...be intellectually curious in the extreme..." Now that's a good thing to live by.
Agreed
Who said the quote?
@@leonardo__dicapriowatch the video
Probably that’s his advice to young people. (Just started watching )
Professor Mearsheimer is one of the most respected intellectuals, historians, geopoliticians in the U.S and the world! He’s among our most notable thinkers and visionaries just as Professors Noam Chomsky, Jeffery Sachs, Stephen Walt, Norman Finkelstein, Stephen F Cohen …
Finkelstein is an abject fraud and moron. Chomsky is brilliant but a zealot with a personality disorder. Sachs is a lightweight. Stephen F. Cohen was a brilliant man. Mearsh. is a knock off of Cohen and not a very good one. Mearsh is only right about Ukraine.
Named only jews like there are not american professors.
I personally prefer Professor Sachs hands down .
@@user-ou8sd1iw4babsolutely. He is all the theories ! He has a severe lacking of understanding of the history of China & the Chinese ; so typical of the academics!
He knows nothing regarding the situation on the ground. He would have to come from the Eastern Europe to understand and comprehend what's going on on battlefield.
감사합니다.
지원해줘서 고마워 🙏
John is so knowledgeable and is easy to listen to and understand. I could listen to him for hours.
It is such a pleasure to listen to Prof. Mearsheimer. Great conversation, thank you both!
Thanks to .....USA elites, despite all non proliferation, Pakistan got nucleair weapons and missiles. The US is the most dangerous country in the world whch showed many times that it is impossible to hold it serious for any agreements..
Zionist 🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢🤢
I am so delighted the way Professor addressed the ludicrous "win the peace" argument of Kotkin who clearly was delusional when he rambled about it in a previous program. The exclusion of Russia and Russian interests is a recipe for war. It has been the case in 2022 and it will continue being the case until someone wakes up and gets the balls to negotiate for real.
Lose/Win the war/the peace is a framework for looking at things and understanding them. It is not an argument. JM had no trouble expressing his own (grim) views within this framework, demonstrating it's validity.
Kotkin is a fraud, i don't get what people admire about him.
@@ajtexas1100He possesses a sort of scholarly charisma that is uncommon by academics. But youre right, he is ideologically blinkered and has various 'simpleton' moments.
@@dangin8811 Could you pin such a moment?
@@dangin8811 Charisma ? I don't see it, and don't care about it when it comes to historarians. If i want to learn about the history of a country, i don't want to read again the white/western version/vision that we're told about again and again. I read local historians. How on earth can people believe the history of Russia or China written by AngloSaxon people ? Pure nonsense.
Thankyou so much for bringing this great man again.
It is truly an intellectually stimulating creative pleasure to attend Professor Mearsheimer's lectures. I feel that Prof. Mearsheimer is asking us the question, “Is there a solution to the problem of how to deal with the monster that is growing bigger and bigger with resentment and rage? I feel that Professor Mearsheimer is sounding the alarm that such a problem is materializing without our knowledge.
And one of the reasons that the United States usually obeys the rules is that we wrote the rules, and if a situation arises where we don't like the rules, we disobey the rules or rewrite them. That's the way international politics works. 1:11:00
It's called Rules-based order vs International Law. The US doesn't abide by international law.
@@pr0newbieUSA don’t abide by its own domestic humanitarian law. That’s scary.
My rule based order
If you ignore the rules you wrote, then don't expect any other to adhere to it or respect you. In fact many will view you in contempt. That's what's facing US.
@@jameslum8822and who should hold USA in contempt? Who is powerful enough to hold USA in check and accountable for behaving like hypocrites 🤷♀️
People think of Mearsheimer as an academic, but Mearsheimer is also a soldier, which makes his analyses quite intriguing.
Mearsheimer was an Air Force Lieutenant who served five years in a Los Angeles office. He couldn't wait to shed his uniform.
@@robhaythorne4464Your post history is smearing John as a supporter of Russia. My man the world, particularly geopolitics, is not binary. If you were going to accuse him of a bias it would be anti-Soviet/Russia if you've read any of his literature. If someone observes country X has an advantage over country Y in a war, it doesn't mean the observer is biased towards country X. *You'd probably agree China has an advantage over Tawain. Does that mean you support China for acknowledging that advantage? Of course not.
@@Roberto-de8xvChina has an economic advantage over the US and have stopped buying US bonds. Hence the Treasury Secretary went to China out if panic 😂
@@Roberto-de8xvthe US Dollar though is still a major trump card the US has. But as soon as the BRICS currency is implemented the US economy is going to implode
@@Truthorfibare you drunk? China is an a economic pooper they lost 90% of foreign investment the Chinese economy is literally about to collapse 😂😂😂the property market has fell too
Thank you Prof. Meirsheimer. You are a great American hero and a gift to humanity.
Total John Mearsheimer Fan & Follower!!! Realist Rock! Thanks 🙏🏽 you having a true statesman on your show. I plan to read up on your materials too
professor Mearsheimer is the national treasure.
To the global majority, Prof is a national treasure. To the MIC, the US regime and the media, Prof is a traitor, and is shunned and ostracized.
Don’t tell Nicholas cage
He’s absolutely worthless spreading conspiracy theories
No he's not, lol. Half of his life's work was proven wrong when Russia invaded Ukraine. The only reason why his name is even known is because his theories fit the pro-Rus propagandistic narrative.
@@UB2K Point to a theory and where can I here him talking about it? Be precise.
I'm glad to see this man again and listen to his intriguing opinions about global geopolitical. Thanks, John. Stay healthy always.
Judge Napolitano has him on his show every week
"The Congress is Israëli Occupied territory" Pat Buchanan Bring AIPAC to justice for legalizing corruption, instead of improving people's lives,education and healthcare
@@lebladful Pat Buchanan - Trump 1.0 from the 90s.
Great man with Reason and wisdom John Mearshiemer truth Matters to the whole world your voice Echo and heard by the righteous people around the world
salute dengan Anda Pak Gita bisa mengundang akademisi dunia tentang power politics Dr. Mearsheimer, terima kasih Pak!
Great prof. Gita..l am listening from Australia..
What are your opinions on USA
@@hassu2149 USA is great
@@underblackflag3335 No it's not great at all.
@@ajtexas1100great is an understatement. 😊
Tiap kali buka YT, headline algoritma YT saya isinya konten pak gita, sebegitu seringnya hampir tiap hari saya menonton end game 😅. Terima kasih pak gita atas tontonan gratisnya dan sehat selalu🙏
Best interview of John Mearsheimer ive seen. Interviewer did an outstanding job, and John really captured some important perspectives. 👍👍
Thank you. Love & Respect from Seoul Korea
Thank you Projessor Mearsheimer
What's a projessor? 🤔😁
@@paulheydarian1281 spelling mistake
Dieses Interview sollte Pflichtlektüre für die deutsche Bundesregierung sein. Diese kann meinetwegen weiterhin der Meinung sein. dass Israel kein Apartheid Staat ist. Ich selbst bin da voll auf der Seite von Prof. Maersheimer.
@@user-cu9tp8dp1pIsrael is not an apartheid state?! Did you sleep through that part?
@@paulheydarian1281you’ve never made a spelling mistake, eh? So obnoxious.
Oh Mearsheimer, how wonderful you are.
Say it, Russian bot!
Udah 2x Pak John Mearsheimer jadi narasumber Endgame & saya selalu suka bagaimana cara beliau menyikapi sesuatu dengan konsep realistis yang beliau gunakan. Meskipun beliau warga negara USA tapi bisa memberikan pandangan secara menyeluruh tidak hanya dari sudut pandang USA saja.
Great interview! Very informative! Wish I could take a whole class from Prof Mearsheimer!
Sometimes it's best to walk away with your losses and not lose it all.
Show us and walk away from you home and your community!!....
Thank you Professor Mearsheimer
His voice is being heard in Australia
‘The reason u need a lobby … is because there’s a lot of instances where isreal’s interests conflicts with American interests and lobby wants to go to great lengths to make sure isreal’s interests prevail’ wow, quite simple but never thought of it this way.
I'm amazed how sharp the professor is at 76 years old.
Thankfully not everyone ages like Joe Biden. 😅
That’s a rather ageist comment! Most people don’t have dementia in their 70s.
Not fair to compare really smart people with average IQ people
Unbelievably ageist comment.
Makes Biden look 139. Guy is a disgraceful. The people shoving him in front of crowds is just utter cruelty. The guys suffering and being belittled through no fault of his own. Another term. The people around him should be arrested. It’s utterly humiliating to watch him. This guy is sharp as a tack. A total pleasure to listen to.
*John Mearsheimer is easy to understand and he appears to be correct in his assessment of international relations.*
That's a bold assessment.
@@zetristan4525 Thank you for noticing my comment.
Really how is his assessment of China's intentions any different from US foreign policy?? China has not attacked anyone in this century. They are building a defense against the Empire of lies. Think about the prosperity China has brought to other countries without forcing regime change on them.
@@j.sarnak1391 What is your (differing) assessment of how China will proceed, proactively, in the South China Sea, in the decade ahead?
@@j.sarnak1391 I agree with you and I heard John Mearsheimer say the same.
One of the BEST INTERVIEWS you can find on KZhead. Amazing Channel and interviewer! You can tell Mr. Mearsheimer enjoyed it as much as we have... props to you. If that's the Indonesian way of speaking i wanna be Indonesian!
I have to say I love the final discussion about the Hubris-Humility index, this concept allows anyone no matter their age to be mentally agile. Also you can tell he's from New York, he pronounces the word "Idea" as "Idear", reminds me of all of my relatives that do this.
Professor is a knowledgeable man and has been telling us this for years this was all predictable
You are correct
@@vkerametlian3 the professor is a defeatist, appeasement with a belligerent adversary never ends well
As noted in Haaretz, Netanyahu seems to boast of his knowledge of the US by saying, "I know what America is. America is a thing you can move very easily, move it in the right direction. They won't get in their way." He also boasts of manipulating the U.S. in the ongoing peace process, as the Washington Post points out: "They asked me before the election if I'd honor [the Oslo accords]," he said. "I said I would, but ... I'm going to interpret the accords in such a way that would allow me to put an end to this galloping forward to the '67 borders. How did we do it? Nobody said what defined military zones were. Defined military zones are security zones; as far as I'm concerned, the entire Jordan Valley is a defined military zone. Go argue." America, apparently, is moved by the Israel lobby. Evidence to the contrary has yet to emerge.
If you move to. Gaza for a while, you will change your mind.
We even let him speak on the floor of our Congress!!
@@solneeman518there was a christian churches with Christians in gaza, yet they continued to live there. Your point is mute.
It saddens me that these are the kinds of people who don't get into politics. They know too much about how things work to want to waste their time. At best, they'll serve as consultants, but never throw their hats into the running for a seat. They know it's a losing proposition.
Thank you, Mr. Gita! An excellent interview!!!
Excellent interview. Greetings from São Paulo, Brazil.
Survival of the fittest doesn't necessarily come through raw strength. Offering mutually beneficial relationships can be a source of real power.
That’s how China has moved 500 million people out of poverty the last 30 years without fighting a single war
"that's why the American has to be there" ... come on, the Americans are in the region Not to protect its friends or the SEA nations, it's to defend its own hegemony
Meanwhile we are getting destroyed economically. Already China is number one economic power in the world. US lost this position.
INDIA RAS A HEDGEMO Y WITH SUNAK AND our vice president
MERESMEAR IS AN IDIOT Kennedy was assassinated by Soviet indoctrinated Oswald and Jimmy Carter served one term of Liberalism till Clinton Presidency. R'S HOLE knows no history
one of the best podcasts i have listened to. always very inspiring to listen to Prof Mearsheimer!
Title got me interested and this conversation got me subbed. I look forward to watching the rest of your videos. Best wishes for you and your channel.
Ini temubual kedua dengan Prof. Mearsheimer. Syabas kepada Gita Wijawan
19:00 - Vietnam is hardly an "ardent supporter" of the US; it's simply pragmatic & realistic enough to stay equidistant between the US & PRC, so as to maintain its own independence, & play big powers off against one another for its own benefit.
even though I would agree with the "pragmatic" description and not so much "ardent supporter", you got who they are balancing seriously wrong. It isn't with the PRC which literally had its last war in 1979 as Mershimer notes, with Vietnam, plus the Paracels dispute, plus the Spratlys. Vietnam gets no military aid from China, it gets it from Russia, that is who they are balancing. It is clear that ardent supporter is an exaggeration since Vietnam has expressed neutrality in Russia's conflict in Ukraine but also refused to condemn the invasion at the UN. But Vietnam has been getting US arms deliveries, most importantly warships
Thanks for your considerations , the World needs to pay attention in your words and thoughts
There are three miscalculation there about China. 1. There is no trade are influenced in SCS. 2. China will respond the contain strategy from US. No one likes repression. 3. China is not US, who wants to grab all. China is fine with South east Asia for thousands of years.
China is imploding all on its own.
Agree with you totally. But please improve your English, seriously.
Bullshit... There are three miscalculation there about China. (ULTIMATE BULLSHIT) 1. There is no trade are influenced in SCS. ---------------------> YES THEY ARE $5.3 trillion worth of goods transits through the South China Sea annually 2. China will respond the contain strategy from US. No one likes repression.---------------------------> GOOD LUCK FACING JAPAN AND INDIA (They Hate You) 3. China is not US, who wants to grab all. China is fine with South east Asia for thousands of years.--------------------------------> LIKE YOU STEAL FILIPINO AND VIETNAMESE ISLAND??? OR STEALING OUR FISH!!!
"For thousands of years" It's not like China was always this powerful for thousands of years, they have long history of collapses in every couple of centuries.
You don't see what China Coast Guard doing on Philliphine Coast Line
Good dialogue but Gita disappoints in not pushing back on John’s well known hawkish views about China’s potential aims in East Asia, I think.
Agreed! like other commenters said.
it's not gita's style to push or challenge his guest, he always lets his guest offers their views without being confronted. for example, 42:00 gita is correct that zionism was not meant to commit genocide, but john wrongly stated that they know from the start they're going to cleanse the palestinian because they couldnt have established a jewish state among palestinians. well, zionism started in late 19th century was to find homeland for the jews, not to establish a jewish state, therefore it's possible to live side by side as long as they're not praticing apartheid as in the original zionism. first generation of aliyah among zionists in 19th century was relatively peaceful, things gotten worse only since balfour declaration and jewish businessmen (rothschild etc) who bought many lands etc. but then, gita didn't try to debate john either though i think he knows john was wrong here.
@@wawanhermawan-sz7glThe British army trained up genocidal Zionist forces in the 30s and they were unleashed in the 48 Nakba slaughter and eviction of a substantial part of the population. They have continued step by step since then.
@@wawanhermawan-sz7glI’d say, the idea that Jews could live peacefully among Arabs and under the Turkish rule was either totally naive and delusional (which would be strange for such a clever nation) or disguising the real goals. If you want to have Jews settling and living en masse while surrounded by Arabs, you need to carve out a state for them - I suspect, Jews realized this from the beginning just at the initial stages did not proclaim this openly for the obvious reasons.
@@shelonnikgrumantov5061You don't understand Judaism. Jews back then didn't have the idea that there should be a 'Jewish state,' at least until the Messiah comes according to their beliefs. In fact, it's prohibited. Traditional Jewish belief holds that the establishment of a Jewish state is linked to the arrival of the Messiah and the Messianic age.
As an academic from a western country he speaks very neutrally and in accordance with academic values, unlike their hypocritical media
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 02:09: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ⚔️Russia regains momentum in Ukraine War - Russia launched a counteroffensive in June 2023 that failed to achieve its goals. 05:20: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) Why Russia Has Artillery Advantage - Historically, Russia prioritized quantity over quality in weapons production. 07:11: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ammo Russia's Advantage in Supplying Artillery Shells - Russia has a larger stockpile of artillery shells and an easier time producing more. 09:33 *[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ☠️ Russia's Advantages in Manpower* - Russia has a larger population (5:1) to draw soldiers from than Ukraine. 11:27: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) Ukraine's Challenges in Manpower - Ukraine struggles to replace lost soldiers due to casualties and draft dodging. 12:51: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) Unrealistic Hope for Ukrainian Victory - Supplying Ukraine with enough arms to win the war is unlikely. 15:08: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) 🇺🇦 Possible Ukrainian Territorial Losses in a Peace Deal - Russia is likely to keep Crimea and the 4 easternmost oblasts of Ukraine. 16:37 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] Possible Impact of US Leadership on Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal* - Biden is unlikely to push Ukraine to accept a peace deal seen as a Russian victory. 19:28 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] Possible Long-Term Outcomes of the Russia-Ukraine War* - A frozen conflict, similar to North and South Korea, is more likely than a peace agreement. 21:27 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] Post-War Hostilities Between Russia, Ukraine, and the West* - A frozen conflict in Ukraine would likely lead to ongoing hostility between the parties involved. 23:47 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] gap between public opinion and US foreign policy 🇮🇹* - US foreign policy may not reflect the views of the American public. 23:47 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] 🇮🇹 Gap Between Public Opinion and US Foreign Policy* - US foreign policy may not reflect the views of the American public. 26:05 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] US Public Opinion on the Ukraine War* - American public opinion on the likelihood of Ukraine winning the war is low. 26:05 *[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] US Public Opinion on War and Foreign Policy* - The US public is less likely to oppose foreign wars when there's no draft. 29:19 *[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] 🇮🇱 US Public Opinion on Israel-Palestine Conflict* 30:12 *[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] US Policy on Israel and Gaza* 32:11 *[invalid URL removed] US-Israel Lobby and Political Influence* 35:22 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] Potential for Wider Conflict in the Middle East* 37:14 *[[kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] Potential for US Involvement in Wider Conflict* 37:40: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ❌ Two-State Solution for Israel-Palestine Conflict 39:56: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) Possible Futures for Israel-Palestine [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html)] US Foreign Policy Priorities 44:06: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) US Focus on Asia 45:31: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) US Distraction from China 47:17: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ️ China Wary of Conflict with US 49:43: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) Potential for Conflict: South China Sea 49:43: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ⚠️ South China Sea Conflict More Likely 53:22: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) ⚖️ South China Sea: Difficult Path to Resolution 54:49: [kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html](kzhead.info/sun/Zp2YktSZmJulZI0/bejne.html) intervenir: US Involvement in the South China Sea 55:44: [invalid URL removed]: What’s Behind Biden’s Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries - KZhead) South China Sea More Likely Flashpoint Than Taiwan Nationalism and liberalism are the two most powerful ideologies in today's world. Nationalism is a powerful force that shapes interstate relations. Liberalism is an ideology that leads the United States and its allies to believe they have a right to promote democracy around the world. Liberalism prioritizes spreading democracy and acting on moral principles, even if it clashes with realist goals. (Crusader mentality) Realism emphasizes state survival as the primary objective in the international system. Realist logic trumps other logics, including economic logic, in most cases due to the primacy of survival. Realism prioritizes state survival above all else, including economic prosperity and moral goals. When realist logic clashes with economic or moral logic, realism prevails due to the existential importance of survival. This raises questions about the effectiveness of multilateral institutions like the UN, vastly outspent by military powers. Multilateral institutions are created and controlled by powerful states, not the other way around. These institutions cannot compel major powers like the US, Russia, or China to act against their interests. The US, for example, often benefits from the rules it sets for these institutions and can disregard them when needed. China, as a new great power, is following established patterns. China is creating its own institutions (e.g., Asian Development Bank) and rewriting rules in existing ones to reflect its greater power. This is how powerful states behave in the international system. A recent article by Eliza Gheorghe argues that multipolarity increases the risk of nuclear proliferation. Under a unipolar system, a single powerful state can more easily police proliferation. Bipolarity can also lead to less proliferation if superpowers cooperate (e.g., détente between the US and USSR). A multipolar world, especially one with intense security competition between major powers, is seen as the worst possible scenario for preventing nuclear proliferation. This is because cooperation among major powers is needed to effectively control proliferation, and such cooperation is less likely in a multipolar world with intense rivalries. The US-China competition is used as an example where such rivalry makes cooperation on issues like controlling North Korea's nuclear program difficult. John Mearsheimer emphasizes the importance of intellectual curiosity for anyone who wants to understand the world. This curiosity should extend to various aspects of life, including international politics. Students should actively seek out the ideas of prominent thinkers and critically evaluate those ideas, forming their own independent understanding of the world order. Mearsheimer views his role as providing frameworks for students to develop their own understanding of international relations, not offering definitive answers. Students should actively engage with these frameworks, critically evaluating them and potentially forming their own theories about how the world works. This applies to all aspects of life, not just international politics. John Mearsheimer emphasizes the importance of both intellectual boldness ("hubris") and the willingness to learn from others ("humility") for students of international relations. Students should have the confidence to develop their own theories ("hubris") but also be receptive to alternative perspectives and the possibility that they might be wrong ("humility"). This "hubris-humility index" is a concept Mearsheimer developed with a colleague to emphasize this balance. Made with HARPA AI
Amen to the hubris-humility part
Mearsheimer selalu logis dan akurat, seorang maestro dari sekolah realis. Tapi yang lebih membuat respek adalah integritas dan keberaniannya untuk bicara berdasarkan ilmunya, bukan berdasar keinginan penguasa.
Such a complete wisdom. My admiration goes to the interviewer too.
Thank you for your great conversation!
Would you please give an example of where China is trying to rewrite the rules?
China has been advocating international law based order instead of the (US/Western) rule based order which has been used by US and her allies to attack China. China does not want to be ruled by those laws which in the US's book is rewriting the rules
Not yet, because they're not powerful enough to do it just yet. China would love it if they could repeal EEZ and lau absolute claim over South China Sea
China is not trying to rewrite rules at all, it just wants to be equal and not be ruled by foreign white imperial power. Most of Asia is the same except they are too weak to resist. This is what he means by "threat", you and I would see it as threat but these global empire fanatics think they own the world and any country can't rule over is considered a "threat"
You forget that China Has hypersonic missiles that can sink all the US warships.
Thank you gentlemen for a great interview.I appreciate your time and thoughtful talk. It was a pleasure listening to you.
Podcastnya Pak Gita itu definisi keren yang sesungguhnya : pembicaranya anti-mainstream bukan karena nyeleneh tapi karena berkelas dan level dunia. anak Muda 62 yang FOMO sama podcast nya pak Gita ga akan rugi, karena Jadi mau improve bhs inggris dan belajar mikir yg kompleks.
When talking about the US return to East Asia to contain China, the guest becomes very excited.
so beautiful to listen to these carefully spoken words, thank you!
john mearsheimer’s point of view based on the prediction that China is going to walk through the road exactly like how America did when it became a superpower, but he kinda ignored the history path of the chinese civilization, Chinese are just not the same like the Anglos. Chinese never had those colonial mentality, if they do, SEA are full of small countries, it should be easy for a elephant like China to manipulate those small states and exploit them, but on the other hand, China has only been building up economic connections and do more business with them.
You said it ALL! greetings from Portugal!
you might want to take a look at the history of china how it grows then you would know that what you say might not be concurrently true...
@@sholrothaegis3125 that statement is a fair one if already known the future. We cannot accept the fact that we don't like the political values of a country but you cannot judge their future actions just by not liking them! We see their true colours by their actions and not by their words. If so then the austrian painter with a moustache was a great man...
This is extremely foolish and ignorant of China's history. During the cultural revolution for example, China export its marxist revolutionary teachings to many countries, provide training and arms to native armed groups (thus they are known as maoist revolutionaries), host radio stations within China itself for these maoist forces. For example, the Communist Party of Malaya which fought an insurgency against Malaysia's government has its radio station in hunan China. This only come to an end when Mao died and Deng took over. He decide that China should build economic ties instead of export marxist revolution and ordered these forces to step down. And they did. With the way China is going today, who knows if Xi will revive the cultural revolution again and build a cult of personality for himself?
Hubris humility Index...I love it and there are boatloads of wisdom built in!
John is the founder in Geopolics of a School of Thought '' Pragmatism'', based on a deep understanding of the various forces in presence with a rogourous evaluation of their main assets (Vision, Military, Economy, Energy,,..). He proved to be right on several occasions .He remains for viewers a great source of a credible Info in Geopolitics.
Thank-you for this wonderful conversation!
Yes, just what we need, more Russian bots cluttering up YT
Professor Mearsheimer is the BEST. Cerdas luar biasa...
THIS IS BRILLIANT-THANK YOU -
What an informative inteview. Really enjoyed and learned. Prof. Mearsheimer is a formidable thinker and instructor.
Pak kalau boleh adakan dialog dengan Yanis Varoufakis
Ditunggu nih hehe
Thanks for your honesty Mr. Mearshiemer
Thank you for the quality and informative interview.
This was a very interesting conversation. Thank you, gentlemen
"the Australians gonna defend Taiwan with us"? I wouldn't hold my breath on that one - the population is certainly not keen at all on doing so or being dragged by the US into another useless war, gonna be interesting if our government, whoever it may be at the time, is going to be able to force us.
The government can always mobilise their armed forces without the consent of their civilians. Would that then be a political suicide for said ruling government? That's a different question
The war with nuclear capable enemy...
It doesn't matter what the population think, Australia is literally the lapdog of the US.
It takes gut to talk against a powerful enemy like AIPAC . Thank you professor.
Gita does good stuff. Great guests and he asks good questions.
The old man certainly enjoyed talking about the Ukraine losing in the war, as the reality proved his foresight. Well, he is right in many ways🍻, and deserves recognition
That’s fairly rude, as it comes across to me. I don’t think he is taking any joy in being right and watching Ukraine lose more and more territory.
Mearsheimer assumes Asia follows the "balance of power" rules of the Westphalian system. But for 1000s of years, China was dominant in the region and no other Asian power sought to "balance" against them, because that was simply unrealistic. The only way there is any "balance" of power in Asia now is if the US is included, but that just creates unnecessary potential for war. So, his analysis of power politics kind of falls apart in that context, or is simply an argument to maintain the US reach.
A country founded on the principles of the 2nd Amendment and the Monroe Doctrine doesn't get to determine the "balance of power" on the other side of the globe with a country five times its size and equivalent military capabilities. The US doesn't belong there in the first place. Committing mass murder through the use of nuclear weapons on an island nation that was in the throes of defeat rather than waiting for a blockade to seal the deal crowns them kings of evil who forfeit any claim of "belonging" anywhere that's beyond 2,000 miles of their own border. The fact that 4% of global population is deluded to the point that they think they control the other 96% percent of the world could only be reinforced through the fantasy machine of Hollywood where men in pink leather sing about dolls and Scientologists play make believe that the US wins wars. The US is in Asia because they can't build GPUs like the Chinese do in the Republic Of China. Plain and simple.
I am not sure you understand Mersheimer correctly. What do you mean by "balance of power in Asia"? Is there a balance of power in western hemisphere? His point is that China is looking to become a regional hegemon and the US is doing all it can to prevent that from happening. That all fits perfectly with the Professor's theory of offensive realism. The US is trying to balance against China but it is a tall order given the geography and regional balance of power within which China, being on good terms with Russia, feels pretty comfortable. That is why Mearsheimer always says that it was stupid of the US to screw up the relationship with Russia as the latter could have been a major balancing factor against China. Alas, the US chose to make an enemy out of Russia by pursuing its idiotic policies in Europe. China is the main beneficiary of that foolishness. Lastly, the statement that China has been the dominant power in the region for 1000 years is simply not true: Japan was a great power until the end of WW2, it more than challenge China. Have you heard of the "Century of Humiliation"?
@@libertarianbydefault Before the Europeans came to Asia (1500s), and even for few centuries after that (until the Opium War), China was the dominant power in Asia. Did other Asian powers (Edo Japan, Korea, Siam, etc) try to "balance" against China during those centuries? No. There's no "balance of power" in the Americas, either, after the US attained dominance. So, what is the point of balancing in Asia? Seems the only point is to keep the US in a central position in the region. But at some point the balancing will prove more dangerous/provocative than protective.
@@ninelegyak No nation in Asia can effectively balance against China of today (and I shall gladly concede the same for the past long gone), that much is true. The point here is that the US does not want China to be a hegemon so it does all it can to prevent it from happening, that in itself if the "balancing" act. The US DOES have the means of balancing against China, at least to a degree. So the US goes to Asia and gets itself very, very deeply involved with all the nations it can to balance against China. It is apparently not quite enough as China keeps getting stronger (and the US - relatively weaker) hence the call in the US to "pivot towards China", i.e. spend more of everything to double-down on the balancing act. Balance does not mean an immutable status quo, it is a never-ending power struggle between the bigger nations to position them selves - relatively - better than others. At least that is the way I interpret Mearsheimer's theory and it makes plenty of sense to me.
@@libertarianbydefault The problem with the theory is that it explains why the US is balancing by linking with the security architectures of various Asian nations, but it doesn't really explain why the Asian nations should link with the US if China will be regionally dominant anyway. Consider, what benefit would Mexico get from linking its security to China to balance against the US? None. Such an action only dangerously antagonizes the regionally dominant power, so why do it? There's no threat of the US attacking its neighbors, just like China has no plans to invade anyone (except Taiwan), but it would do so if it felt an outside great power is seriously threatening its sphere, like why Russia invaded Ukraine. Seems like it would be better, even from a realist perspective, for Asian nations to not be overly linked with the US.
This is an insight in the philosophical base Worth listening : Moral compass Realistic logic Economist logic Prosperity goal Survival goal ! That's the balance Thanks for asking that very insightful question Gita.
Wonderful discussion..
Thank you both ! From Brazil.
the US should accept the fact that nations progress and develop. let each become superpower in each continent and focus on prosperity instead of wars.
What a beautiful, sane and logically sound conversation! Even though, I disagree with them on Israel issue, that’s why more wise dialogues are needed. Thank you 🙏
God bless you for telling the truth
The publication of this video is rather late, close to one month after the interview. While it is interesting, the geopolitical situation changed day by day rather fast. Still kudos for the effort 👌
Professor Mearshimer has been correct about the macro geo political situation for the last 30 years, whether it be NATO expansion or Israel. The day to day trials and tribulations fluctuate.
Thank you to the both Professors. I considered the session as a discussion session that save me from reading a pile of books to understand international politics. The students in related field would very much benefited from it.
Read the books!!! Use your own mind to come to conclusions.You are listening to opinions, not facts.
@@bellatui2015there are quite a lot of facts in Mearsheimer's books.
Inilah salah satu hebatnya podcastnya Pak Gita dibandingkan podcast lokal yang lain. Beliau bisa mendatangkan orang-orang hebat untuk berbagi ilmu secara free kepada kita. ❤❤❤
This man is a real teacher. I wish he taught me in the university
Why, do you like learning how a real Russian useful idiot behaves?
Thanks Professor ❤
John Mearsheimer, what a human being!
WHAT A GREAT INTELLECTUAL CONVERSATION BETWEEN 2 SCHOLARS EACH IN HIS LIFE JOURNEY ...
As a citizen of the world, it is imperative to be intellectually curious so as to use critical thinking to contribute to making the world better through agency! ❤
A lot of respect for the professor. What I would like to hear is the consideration of the cultures' influences in the decision making, rather than focusing on how the rest of the non-Western world would make decision based on pure Western thinking. Remember, China would have to govern Taiwan island once they re-unified, which is unlike Israel (who would just go ahead to cleanse), or Russia (who would be happy if Ukraine remains a rump state).