Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall | Dan Hardy Breakdown, The War Room Ep. 287
2023 ж. 8 Қар.
52 306 Рет қаралды
The War Room, where Dan Hardy breaks down the UFC 295 Co-Main Event, for the Interim Heavyweight Championship, Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall
#ufc295 #tomaspinall #sergeipavlovich
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Instagram: @Full_Reptile & @danhardymma
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Dan is the best analyst in the game
Is he though? He got most of his picks wrong in the end. Do like his knowledge of the game
Facts
@@janb.9296oh, you think it's about guessing who wins? Are you a child?
MMA Guru the best
@@ballbag1280that dude is 🤢🤮
The moment we've all been waiting for! Dan coming through clutch for the MSG card 💪🏾💪🏾
Dan is the best at breaking down a fight and showing us stuff we didn't even see.
Aspinall is such a well rounded fighter. Great movement, great ground game truly amazing for a heavyweight. Pavlovich wins by KO rd 1.
Lmaoo on the same boat
this joke format is too played out
@@sebogeIt's not a joke, just facts
@@alexyo2440It’s facts when it’s conclusive, right now it’s merely an assumption 😂 Tom wins in my opinion, again just an assumption 👍
100%
This man's analysis has made me gain a whole new appreciation for not only mma but, the art of sports overall. He lives and loves what he does and it's felt, thanks for awesome stuff!
First round should be absolutely wild so pumped
Legendary fight already
Quickly becoming my most anticipated prefight show, thanks Dan
This is by far the best fight breakdown I've seen, it is my first video I've seen of his so excited to watch more of his
Love ya work mate. I do take and learn a lot from your break downs.. thnaks for the content brother
Keep up the good work dan! Pumped af for pav vs aspinall and for jiri vs Alex Aspinall needs to use footwork and not get backed to the cage where pav usually starts to uncork his shots
Dan has long been my favourite fight analyst in the game. Total honour to meet you and V outside the MK show in London earlier this year too!
For sure the best analyst, Dan! I wish you could still show us clips and all the details there
“British analyst glazing British fighter” should’ve been the title of this piece. 👍🏻
What’s wrong with us supporting our own, every other country does it!
Pavlovich is a fucking problem though for sure
Tom's got a huge challenge ahead but has the skills to make it look easy.
It's takedown or bust for Tom IMO. He got fast crisp boxing but he gets tagged to much.
no prep tho
@@Steven-jd3eyname one fight he got tagged? If you say Blaydes then I know you have no clue what you’re talking about.
Hope he has the chin
@@cjboyer4355 Tybura, Arlovski. And they're old and slow as shit.
best breakdowns in the game, my guy. Keep at it!
Pavlovich is arguably THE scariest heavyweight in the division, I'm more excited about this fight than i am the main event! Pavlovich has huge punching power and the threat of a knockout within 1 min and great boxing, but I feel like Tom has more tools in his belt and a more well rounded MMA game. I also think people are sleeping on Tom's power, going to be a tense fight but i think Tom gets it done! Love your breakdowns Dan, best in the business
He’s a fucking problem
I think the samething pavlovich has 1 way to win this fight tom has 100 and their striking isnt close pavlovich has good boxing but struggles against big guys who can kick (overeem fight”
@ysl6549 Overeem is a K-1 legend and that fight was during the start of his career.
@@bobbys1308 still aspinall is a vet he’s been fighting since the robok days
Looking at Aspinall vs Blaydes, Aspinall is in danger...
Why can u explain ur comment
@@philiplewis7572 Blaydes was connecting way too often
Yeah good point I’m sure he won’t make same mistake here knowing the power Sergei has I fancy Tom submission here
Tom Aspinall vs Sean O'Malley and Chito Vera is the fight to make
One of the best in the business breaking down fights! Thanks. Do you have one more fight in you, Dan?
Are you doing the picks podcast? Thanks for the content
Fantastic work Dan. I’m relatively new to the MMA world 3 years now) relative to the span of the UFC. However, it’s channels such as yours that have in given me the profound access to bolster my knowledge of the sport and its fighters. Through your content along with many others I regularly consume since I became well versed with mma, my love for this sport continues to grow exponentially. Look forward to live watch alongs God willing in the new year🙏🏾
Excuse my typos
If there ever was a 50/50 fight this is the one.. it could end early but its realy 50/50
Dan is the best at what he does and that is easy to see. Cheers Dan lad.
Pavlovich for the win
Great Analysis Dan, I think you should be getting more views!! I think if you can insert more clips of the fights (like you used to with stopping and drawing etc). I suspect it’s a copyright issue, but is there an option to purchase the footage. I think overall would be a good investment. Big fan of you Dan, keep up the good work!😊
Afaik he used to have full access to fight footage because he worked for the UFC but after he got fired he only has access through BT sport
Gonna be a great card im feeling it...LETS GOOOOOOOOO. Thanks for the content Dan and fam. #UFC295
Hate that it’s on short notice, because Tom already had an uphill battle, just makes it steeper
Love Aspinall but this feels like a huge test. Pavlovich is an absolute monster.
but will speed kill?
I'm just a casual UFC fan. My first fight ever that I saw was in Australia (I'm from Estonia) at 4am or something in the morning and it was McGregor vs Aldo :D One of my buddies who I met in Australia was hyping this fight up for me, for about a week so we watched it. Great 13 seconds :D Anyway, now, 8 years later (holy sh*t time flies) I pretty much know all the ranked guys in all weight classes and I watch all the big fights, usually I start with Main Card. I'm also a betting man and for some reason, UFC is very profitable for me. BUT! When there's a fight that really excites me - I mean REALLY excites me - then I always come here and watch you Dan! The intro is kinda creepy but that adds to it :D Thanks for what you're doing, great analysis as always - keep it up! Your long time subscriber, Chance :D
doesn't matter when you discovered MMA we all started same way, I know your 4am pain too 🇬🇧
Nice man👌🏾 I was aware of MMA as a sport since I’ve been alive and faintly understood the setup of the UFC organisation. I have few people on my circle who were massive MMA fans, some of which who practiced it - whether that be Muy Thai or Judo. However, it wasn’t until just under 3 years ago that the sport grew on me and started to watch it. Since then, my knowledge of the sport, fighters and overall universe has grown tenfold with continuous room for growth. I’m in love with the sport man and continue learn fighters across the board and devote time to cards (PPV or fight night across men and women). I used to be disinterested as I thought I would be behind and wouldn’t have the knowledge to engage in convo, but we all start somewhere. Channels like this along many other platforms I use have bolstered my understanding and depth. Glad we both share similar paths, enjoy the card my friend👊🏾
Dan the man, great breakdown as always. Have you ever trained with Tom and his dad/been around them?
Dan I miss the BT Sport breakdowns so much. What are the chances of you doing more long form breakdowns in the future?
Thanks boss. My most anticipated HW fight since Ngannou-Gane. Super pumped for this one
Nice work
Dan the man put me off me keybab when he took everything GSP had to offer, one of a kind in the cage. And what a human being he is ❤
Top content. Hopefully veronica finds the time to do picks with you 🙏❤️❤️
Hello Dan! Won't there be any Dan Hardy Breakdown show? Like the one on BT?
Truly amazing card with arguably the best two fighters in the heavy weight and light heavy weight divisions fighting each other. This probably has never happened before. Pavlovich and Peirra by brutal knockouts.
R u retarded?? Jones isnt fighting
Been arguing on instagram all week about this fight, all the casuals think Tom has no chance
Great boxing nasty kicks I'm predicting TOM 2 ROUND K.O . 1ST IS A FEEL OUT 2.BANG LIGHTS OUT AN NEW BRITISH HEAVY CHAMP
Idk usually the UK are soo overhyped look at Till look at Paddy their hype was crazy but they were trash and Tom is completely unproven he only has 1 decent win I kinda think the same rn but its heavyweigh we will see everything can happen
Tom has a chance , but quite lower, my opinion Tom gonna be sent to another dimension from these bombs that Pavlovic throws.
toms gonna get munched homie lmao argue these nuts
I think Aspinal doesn’t care if he loses he’s just happy to have a fighter who can really test him. He kind of said so in an earlier interview.
Excellent breakdown... but pretty biased towards Aspinall
Best breakdowns in the game. If your relying on analysis from pundits to pick your bets than you deserve losing money. Mma math doesnt work. Dan can do an amazing job breaking it down and the fight could go way differently. Thats why this sport is so great.
Best breakdowns on KZhead. Really looking forward to this fight ✊
This is my most hyped fight for 2023. Cannot wait!
Glad too see him to do well.outside the UFC
Thanks, Dan!
Thank you Master. You are a true MA Master !! Uuussssss 🥊🥋🏋🏻♂️
Looking for this one👍
I wish that the ufc would switch up their physical attributes stats. I like the pfl giving leg length and would prefer to know armpit to fingertip
Thanks Dan!
Is there going to be an outlawed picks podcast for this event? Really hoping there is
Why no outlawed podcast? Really enjoy this before every big card 😢
Cant wait for this one 🔥🤌🏼
How does Dan only have 181k subs he’s breakdowns are the best out there I enjoy Chael and DC but they don’t break down the game like this dude and they got damn near a million subscribers. Sub this man’s channel and like his shit to show your love
It is crazy to see Pavlovich have 6 inch reach advantage while being 2 inch shorter in height! It is like Volkanovski in his division but Sergei has the power of a russian NGannou 😂With average fight time for both guys around 2mins, it will be very interesting to see if the fight goes beyond 1st round. Awesome match up!! Irrespective of the outcome, future of HW looks exciting!
Dan you are the best at this brotha!
This is an amazing fight in prospect
Tom Aspinall is going to shock alot of people on Saturday just how good he is. This ends in the 1st round
yes it ends in the first, but its not gonna be tom with the belt
Hope were all right, let's go Tom🤜
@@mongobubongo834 morning I see u were completely wrong 😂😂😂😂
Great call, mate - respect!
@@craigfoy5492 it happens
Jesus! Never seen that leg kick from big Tom, fucking gruesome man.
I don’t understand why everyone thinks Sergei is for sure the more dangerous fighter. Toms average fight time is less then Sergei and he’s has multiple ways to get it done.
Pavlo by ko
Hope soo
Knew this fight would happen eventually but I wish Tom had a full camp
seize the moment
And just that he did! Buzzing
I believe Aspinall is favored in every aspect of this. Of course Pavlovich has that insane power, but acting like Tom can’t finish it in a blink of an eye is wrong. Aspinall will take him down and get the RNC after Pavlovich gives his back after some serious ground and pound.
A 50/50 between two heavyweight prospects
Yo Dan what brand is the hoodie?
Dan will we ever see you in combat sports again? Thanks 4 great coverage long live the BRITISH OUTLAW .
He is in combat sports he does work for BT boxing and pfl now.
Dan is a true professor of the sport.
I wish Dan still commented ufc event 😞
Ground game aspinal takes the fight, if it remains standing pavlovich is a knockout monster.
I think Sergei mows him down. He seems to always find his shot in the first 3 or 4 exchanges and he dives right in. He’s too accurate and powerful. But he’ll get tested fighting Jones if he gets the chance.
😂
Tom does this unorthodox maneuver with his guard where he Olays and lifts his arms. He does it egregiously on leg kicks and even on punching exchanges. Baudot clipped him at will. You know who else does this? Abdurakhimov. And Pavlovich noticed and then timed a hydrogen bomb straight down the center. I expect the same in this fight. Especially bc Tom does have hand speed but at the expense of relative power. Yes I know he’d decapitate me but I’m talking relative to other heavyweights. Arlovski ate 22 shots to the head in multiple flurries in a single round. Yes he can put someone’s light out but it won’t be Sergei in one punch. And Sergei will be firing back in those exchanges. And we all know he 100% can make you real horizontal, real fast. As far as Tom matching Sergei in punching power 9:24 no chance. He’s never put anyone down in a single punch in his career in the ufc. And only once in career ever 2 promotions ago. Pavlovich set tai down of all people with a jab, then gave him the same uppercut that shadow realmed Golm which I believed you called that night with John Gooden. No way you can say they have the same punching power that’s preposterous IMO.
All this babble and you clearly have no idea what you’re talking about… stick to motorsports buddy.
Picks podcast?
Costs for heating are still high in the UK, hm?!
I’m actually glad Jones fight was off. Basically a number 1 contender fight. Stipe is done, would of happened already.
Gold content again.
Pav will all out attack Tom within 1 minute, with a massive reach and power advantage and controlled aggression at level 10. Kill or be killed. Q is, can Tom weather this initial hurricane and make this a more tactical, drawn out battle, drain Pav and sub him? A buck each way.
I’d say it’s 60/40 on pavlovich’s side. Aspinal coming off a bad injury on short notice makes it not 50/50. Conclusively picking someone to win between two heavyweights with the shortest fight time is impossible. Always a chance these fights go 5 rounds when no expects but probably ends in round 1.
Speed kills, but will it pay the bills.. Both will test each other out first two rounds.. By the 4th round Tom's speed will be to his advantage, Tom will catch Sergei with a kick to the noggin, Tom will mount his back,. choke for the win
Dan should go on Morning Kombat and Luke Thomas should come on Dan’s podcast. Both MMA Wizards and enthusiasts.
I like both guys, I don't want any of them to lose 😢
Big reach advantage for the shorter guy. I want Tom to win but idk it’s a tough fight
Well we’ll well looks like Tom won in the 1st round like I said and what’s funny is people still don’t know what Tom can actually do because he’s finishing people that quickly he still has his grappling to fall back on which is equally as special
I don't see how Pavlovich is going to be able to pull out a win against Aspinal.
If I was Tom I would be looking for low kicks, single leg TDs and lateral movement.
Just in time for this zoot I just rolled - lets go Tom!
let's go Tom, thanks Dan
Let’s Go!
This fight is literally the following; chin or be chinned.
This should be for the real belt. Jones and Miocic will retire after fighting each other. So my question is, who will fight the winner of this fight?
Didn't realise Pav had an 84 inch reach ..that could be a problem for Tom
9:20 lol
Tom need to be ready for the first few minutes of an all out …. A perfect oppprtuiity for Tom to pick him off and KO him.. lets go Tom, an easily humble guy to like.
I've never seen Pavlovich listed as a southpaw before.
Aspinall looks like Frank Mir's illegitimate love child.
If Pavlovich wins it's going to be like Ngannou's reign but without the gassing out. Scary heavyweights always bring out the best fights
Francis only gassed once And that was because of him being way to agressive
This fights going to look like Frank Mir vs Shane Carwin
Blades smoked him like 3 times with right hand. Especially the first time. Covered in guard and counter right on the button. Pav walked right through it hahah. Tom will crack him with it
Yikes that was intense...mayb i dont wish for the good ole days of vid breakdowns 😮
Aspinall lock of the week, easy money!😊
‘easy money’ is a stretch.
My lock of the week last week was Lewis fight over 1.5 rounds at +200 . Got lot of comments calling me crazy. Wait and see!
Easy money 😂😂
lmaooo xD
best in the game!
I don't think our Tom will be able to do it off the couch, but fingers crossed, he keeps his chin down.