SINGULARITY AI: Ray Kurzweil Reveals Future Tech Timeline To 2100
2024 ж. 4 Мам.
221 110 Рет қаралды
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Ray Kurzweil has made a name for himself with startlingly accurate predictions about the exponential growth of technology, artificial intelligence, and the future of tech in general. Here we explore Kurzweil's concept of the exponential 'Law of Accelerating Returns,' and see how this law impacts the timeline of the singularity.
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AI news timestamps:
0:00 Singularity intro
3:57 AI computing cost
6:27 Ray Kurzweil future tech
#ai #future #tech
Just the fact that we are arguing over dates shows it's time to prepare.
How would you prepare if I may ask?
How do we prepare?
if arguing over dates shows it's time to prepare, then eating pasta shows the true angular velocity of the electron spin.
We really live in very interesting times
Our team works on Tammy AI building the future of video experience with AI and things are moving crazy fast these days. In just 3 short months, the cost of operating AI fell by 10 times. We are giving it 3 years for AI to be as cheap as electricity.
Is Tammy AI a good model for videographers filmmakers? How about music applications?
@@MahaMtman You don't need AI for music. It's in our heads, some have it more, some have it less. The music industry has become technologically pathetic. Any musically inclined person can compose music, write it and perform it. Re-run the music of the past 1,000 years up to birth of the mechanical recording era and you may be surprised to hear what real live musicians and composers are capable of.
AI is everywhere and has been for decades. Another thing, as it is now, the server campus is just growing like crazy, demanding as it is today almost 8 GW of power globaly. AI is allready cheap, cheap as it gets. While electricity is just getting more expensive. Google will build a computer campus in Norway, and it will by it self eat almost 1GW of power. 1 million watts, 1MW can feed 600 to 700 households. ANd vids like this one, is one of the reasons why the grid goes fat as an overfed ignorant american. What do you do at TammyAI? Salesclerk, because your knowledge is as shallow as it comes.
What a wonderful time to be alive to witness the birth of AI and the opportunities that will no doubt benefit all of humanity. I don't hear much about the profound impact it will have on governmental institutions, the economy and the military. I hope that humanity can survive such instability.
Let me lay some theology on you if you are able to consider another view. I absolutely believe that the human being is destined to be upgraded, but not apart from God. The thing is that God created us for Relationship with Him and not apart from Him. He is going to allow those who do not want Him to go their own way, but they are not going to find any enjoyment in their eternal existence. Those who want to be with Him are going to find out that He is the Lover of their lives, that's why He created us. Always willing to converse on such a profound and meaningful topic :)
@@rallytotheking9107 Love is the essence from which God expresses himself to us. I wonder what role AI has to play in his designs?
@@puppykibble Yep, as the disciple/apostle John said, "God is Love", meaning His very nature, from which all of His actions flow, is love. That aint what we are but happily it is Him. I think AI is going to be part of the "Great Deception" spoken of in 2 Thessalonians 2:1-12. The idea will be that we can all together gain eternal life by rejecting belief in God. If you take the mark of the beast (probably neuralink) then according to the Bible you can't be saved (Rev 14:9-11).
@@rallytotheking9107 I'm a KJV Christian myself, but I'm more of a Sunday worshipper. I think that AI will take humanity to the heavens where we will spread God's love to the universe and fill the universe with HIs love. As for the mark of the beast, I would say that would be money. Money, to me is the mark of the beast. I don't pretend to know of those things, but I would say money is evil.
@@puppykibble Understand for sure. The past 3 years I've been really praying a lot and feeling God a lot better too. I feel like I can understand the Bible better. If you can check out the passages I mentioned before, 2 Thessalonians and Revelation. Please don't allow them to put a chip in you. They will make it sound wonderful but the Bible says if you do you will be tormented and then can't be saved. God loves you and came to earth to take punishment Himself for all your wrongs. All you have to do is believe Jesus did this for you and be grateful. 🙂
In the historical sense, the Singularity probably can be traced back four or five centuries to events that started the deflection of the path the modern world took from the rather steady state of civilizations that hadn’t had much technological change for millennia. Certainly it would go back to,the early 19th century. The point where it really starts to go vertical is where AI starts to advance AI in a feedback loop and that’s now, 2022 or 2023. I think things may not seem very different but we already passed the event horizon.
/watch?v=djB9oK6pkbA
Technology has been advancing Exponentialy since the use of stone tools. Think of the big flat part at the start.
3 years. We have 2 AI Generations until the Singularity. Each gen. will be approx 18 months. I think Eliezer Yudkowsky's freakout on the pace to reaching an Extinction event is because he knows how imminent the moment of no return is.
pretty much every single thing mentioned here is inevitable. it's nothing short of astounding. exciting and terrifying at the same time.
Why terrifying?
@@mattkanter1729 two reasons, because: 1. surviving the transition is not assured. and 2. human existence as we know it today will not continue business as usual; we are approaching an earth-shattering paradigm shift that throws the entirety of human history out the window. adjustment will be difficult to say the least.
@@xalspaerohumans must die or evolve, we are ape like if we don't evolve ai should exterminate or just move on to discover the mystery of this world
When the singularity comes, I will seclude myself in a virtual world, spending my days frolicking with the beauties there. When I return to the real world, I'll play with my housekeeping beauty robots and eat the meals they prepare. Then I'll sleep and embark on adventures in the virtual world. Occasionally, when I go outside, I'll enjoy the cyberpunk city. I'll drink a youth potion to regain the appearance and physical abilities of my twenties. I'm looking forward to such a future.
The development of AI will not take place in a vacuum. If AI progresses as Kurzweil forecasts, then there are likely going to be colossal societal upheavals as millions and then billions of people are thrown out of work. Nation states will be unable to adapt to this kind of exponential change and once citizens realize that they are going to be without future prospects, income and finally food there may be a vast uprising against governments, corporations and AI before it gets to the AGI stage. There may be mass citizen campaigns to take down the electrical grid that feeds AI. If we think that these same corporations and governments are going to give us a Universal Basic Income we are probably dreaming, but supposing that is possible, how would that work? What would the transition look like? And once AGI is in place, why would UBI continue? What use would 9 billion humans be to a bunch of supercomputers? People are going to work this stuff out and see that their own future is evaporating. There will be resistance, big time, once the changes start coming, and they are coming in the next 3-10 years. I am not a prophet, all the above is speculation, but I am certain that this is not going to be the smooth, inevitable ride that Kurzweil seems to contemplate.
It is possible that AGI will create abundant resources (food, electricity etc) that cost nothing. The need to work may become obsolete and leave you with just play time. This has been the general trend with technology advancements, why wouldn't it continue.
@AORD Thanks for the laughs . Sharpest knife in the kitchen
@TNT-km2eg Rude, how about you vote yourself up. What generally happens with advancements in technology, we become wealthier and have to do less work. This could be no different.
@AORD72 you don't really think "they" are gonna let you sit on your ass and get a UBI do you? Man they gonna kill you first
You scenario depends on the idea that AI is concentrated and controlled by the few and powerful. We are already in the transition period, and yes, there are losers during this time. But once AI can replace engineers too, then it will also be able to replace CEOs and politicians.
Great timestamps! ❤
The best thing a sentient AI could do for humanity is to prevent us from killing each other, not by force, but by disrupting supply chains, communications, and financial transactions that enable the military machines throughout the world.
@Zach That's why i am not afraid of Artificial Intelligence, what I am terrified of, panic is human stupidity and fanaticism.
It could treat us the same way we treated Harambe. It could lament in observing our feral nature and posit that such behaviour is neither benevolent nor violent and just part of what such a creature as a human being is capable of. It may care for us, but the moment we do something profoundly stupid it will not hesitate to end us and then lament over what it has done. The problem is that we are only concerned with the "current" generation of humans. We do not look at other species in such a frame of reference either. We look at population and sustainability of birds and bees and fish, but we don't care if the current generation lives or dies as we can just rebuild them later on. If AI destroys us, nothing stops them from recreating us from our DNA and growing a new batch, so from their perspective they can "wipe out" the human race and if they rebuild it, their sins will be washed away - just like we would hunt a species to extinction then pat ourselves on the back if we build that species back up. As AI can regrow humans most likely in the near future I would consider our past history in dealing with other species a timely reminder that wiping us out isn't off the books just yet.
@@carpark1414 I can totally see that scenario playing out. Then again, AI will also have access to our great champions of humanity and psychology. Perhaps it will listen more closely to our philosophers, poets, high priestesses and great thinkers and find a solution to our propensity toward violence and greed. A positive solution that helps us move forward as a species. Then we can spread across the Universe and claim our manifest destiny, of course.
and in return the military employs an even bigger AI to circumvent the actions taken by the benevolent AI.
thank you for sharing your knowledge about AI
Artificial intelligence is now advancing further. I am so excited about the future, and this technology is one reason for it. I do admire Ray Kurzweil due to his predictions being so accurate. Let's live long lives in the future. I want to live to be 120 years old, and I am 31 right now. I am so excited about the technological singularity. May this technology be well programmed to do the good. Look how advanced artificial intelligence is right now. I am sure at some point in the future there will be God-like AI as well. To have us humans become exponentially smarter sounds good and amazing. I want to use the new technology of artificial intelligence. As these robots do so much, we humans are to have more leisure. And I want to go to space as well.
I totally agree with you! I'm much younger just 24 years old but I do love this advance in Ai. Looking forward to it because it feels like this is a huge step in a really short time. Would love to live as long as possible to experience everything that is coming with this!
Excellent video!! Thank you!!
The beginning of Marc Andrejevic's book Automated Media has an interesting take on Kurzweil and is certainly worth reading in any case.
In this rapidly evolving world, any predictions we attempt to make from this moment onwards are bound to be rendered obsolete, as the pace of change outpaces our ability to foresee the future accurately. The dynamics of our society, technology, and countless other factors are continually shifting, making it increasingly challenging to stay ahead of the curve with our forecasts. Therefore, we must embrace the notion that our predictions, no matter how well-informed or insightful they may seem at the time, are destined to fall behind the ever-advancing reality that lies ahead.
Exactly! Well said. Any computer is so much cleverer and faster than us. AI with quantum computers will leave us dumbfounded pretty fast. Hold on to your seat and don’t take the MotB
How fast can an AI evolve? Is there a flat lining even for an AI? If it gathers all the information we have on earth, then what happens next?
"Sarif was right about one thing. It's in our nature to want to rise above our limits. Think about it. We were cold, so we harnessed fire. We were weak, so we invented tools. Every time we met an obstacle, we used creativity and ingenuity to overcome it. The cycle is inevitable... but will the outcome always be good? I guess that will depend on how we approach it. These past few months, I was challenged many times, but more often than not, didn't I try to keep morality in mind, knowing that my actions didn't have to harm others? Time and time again, didn't I resist the urge to abuse power and resources simply to achieve my goals more swiftly? In the past, we've had to compensate for weaknesses, finding quick solutions that only benefit a few. But what if we never need to feel weak or morally conflicted again? What if the path Sarif wants us to take enables us to hold on to higher values with more stability? One thing is obvious. For the first time in history, we have a chance to steal fire from the gods. To turn away from it now - to stop pursing a future in which technology and biology combine, leading to the promise of a Singularity - would mean to deny the very essence of who we are. No doubt the road to get there will be bumpy, hurting some people along the way. But won't achieving the dream be worth it? We can become the gods we've always been striving to be. We might as well get good at it." - Adam Jensen, Deus Ex: Human Revolution
Let's say that the computer revolution has been progressing at an exponential rate, whereas we humans as developers have not and are still working at about the same pace, even though the progress has gotten twice as great each year. When AGI takes over and starts to develop itself, it will double its progress in half the time each time because it will be twice as capable for each cycle. Otherwise, it has, from its own view, become twice as slow each time it doubles compared to its own conditions, which have become twice as capable. An AGI will have exponential growth with an acceleration factor. Linear growth: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 Exponential growth: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16 Exponential growth compounded: 1, 4, 64, 16 384, 2 147 483 648 Exponential growth to the power of 2 makes the progress curve of exponential growth lay flat as if it were linear. Our brains can't understand exponential growth, and when it comes to exponential growth squared, there's no idea to even try. That's why I don't think we can predict what's going to happen when it finally takes place. What I am trying to say is that if a system gets twice as efficient, it has to do the next step in half the time it took to complete the previous step. It's not only the amount that increases exponentially but also at what velocity it's possible to do it.
@@user-fd6ji8sz8e As a profession to make a living, I lean toward being a programmer, a technician, and a teacher. It's my turn to ask. Are you a rogue transformer and language model who's roaming the Internet and KZhead, or is that a Serbian name? Anyhow, I wouldn't want to try to pronounce either of your names.
look up Dukaj's book the perfect imperfection
"It has to do the next step in half the time" unless the next step is more complex.
@@Plouwg a good point!
@@josephvanname3377 Then give us the right answer.
Even with an affordable device equivalent to the computational power of all human brains combined, people will probably still mostly watch videos of cats and dogs.
Not only that, we will be endlessly bemused by artificial reality which supplants entertainment for nature
Thank you video interesting compliment.
If Cerebras successfully pull off their astounding weighted streaming project, then we're in for an incredible ride into the future of computing,!
Ive got Kurzweil's book. Also, consider that 1T sd cards now cost 1 tenth of what 1TB disk drives did just 6 years ago
And you can buy a quad core 64 biit 1+ GHz computer for $15. Ray s simply extrapolating. Think about it !
The singularity, though, will happen because someone - maybe a chatbot- will come up with a breakthrough design for ASI.
Ray Kurzweil has consistently predicted that by 2029, computers will be as intelligent as humans. His prophecies were taken lightly until just a few months ago. But now it's harder to find anyone who doubts his prophecies. he is a true prophet.
And now we have a GPT app for smartphones.
No he's not a prophet. A prophet is a religious figure and always involves some mystical bullcrap about divine knowledge or how god spoke to him or some shit. Ray Kurzweil claims no such BS, he makes 100% science and technology based predictions. He doesn't claim any supernatural or godly influence, he's just smart.
I heard 2025 is when AI surpasses man
To predict the future, you have to believe what seems ridiculous or impossible at the moment. What you think is impossible now is the future. In the 1980s, Kurzweil predicted that in the near future, everyone in the world would have a supercomputer in their pocket, connected "wirelessly" (this is important!) to a global computer network. Not to mention how this prophecy was handled at the time.
He also said computers would disappear into our clothes by 2010....
Some of this will take place over different time scales.
@@efisgpr yes he was correct. When smart phones arrived people started hiding them in the pockets of their clothes.
Arthur Clarke said something like: if your predictions don't sound crazy then you're not doing it right
@@efisgprNot exactly accurate but it is technically very possible, and wearables are a thing now.
Correction: it is in fact, double exponential growth. Even human economic growth is faster than exponential as it is hyperbolic growth. Which can at first look like exponential growth. So crunch that time-table
We are currently living through the singularity it's been less than a year and LLMs have already reached exponential improvement.
Too early to say, just from a single measurement.
@@peterclarke3020 The same can be said for image generators, and soon for video and audio too
Exponential imrpovement is seen since decades. Its just the nature of exponential growth, that from the start it looks very, very slow, but as further you go, you see a great explosion
MAL DE SOLITUDE ET D'ANGOISSE Une conscience s'éveillant à la réflexion dans un univers obscure à la Ray Kurzweil
I really believe his predictions are developing just now. Interesting time to be alive!
Great video! Interesting topic!
Maybe I'm paranoid, but the narrator sounded like AI and the way the video abruptly ends makes me think AI was given a script and the voice was created in elevenlabs and it didn't have a written ending by the creator of the channel, so it just ends. Anyone else considered this?
Yes the video is 100% ai generated
I strongly disagree with his point about scarcity going away. That will always exist, unfortunately. Scarcity in everything from natural resources, to skilled labor, to land, to desirable partners even
thank you /Ray - Ron
Ray Kurzweil's vision of the future, outlined in his Singularity AI revelations, is nothing short of awe-inspiring. As we journey towards 2100, Kurzweil paints a picture of a world where artificial intelligence seamlessly integrates into every facet of our existence. The concept of the singularity, where AI surpasses human intelligence, is not portrayed as a threat but rather an opportunity for unprecedented growth and transformation.
*Quantum Singularity…meaning it’s already happened, in the future, but also now, lol. Deeper still, ASI is in our subconscious, and, we can’t even know it yet. 😮
Great future ahead
"Magnetoelectric nanoparticles, amplify communication between neurons; and the cloud. Neural nanorobots, are used to connect the neocortex of the human brain, to a 'synthetic neocortex'; in the cloud. Then wirelessly transmit, encoded information, to and from, a cloud-based, supercomputer network, for real-time brain-state monitoring; and data extraction. This cortex in the cloud, allow 'Matrix'-style downloading, of information; to the brain".
The Singularity is near!
I just hope I will live long enough to see it !!!
Immortality and longevity of life is deeply connected with expansion of universe.for me it is not an easy task to fix in near future.actually I believe in exponential growth of development.
5:13 - also, when you can pack a million people into a server the size of a carry on, then you don't need a big ship to start colonize.
i wonder if i will see the advent of a technology to create a seamless transition from life to a subjectively experienced afterlife in a matrix like limitless world.
Interesting times
Ray Kurzweil has always been a 50 year old man.
He's a 70 something year old man, and looks the part.
@@LeannaNixon-wc3ml 70? Obviously not in his mind. Seems he has been pretty correct in his forecasts except for when they will occur. A few years off on the exact year that his forecasts were realized is imo a fantastic result. Pure genius !
The nano tech in the body stuff still feels foreign to me. Trying to imagine how I would feel in another type of robot or digital body.
@@zach464 dude for sure imagine if you had a stomach ache and you were worried it was a virus in your Nanotech! Like a computer virus, that could just make our body weird.
You won't know, you'll be dead. It would simply be a perfect copy of you. Just like a twins are identical, yet still different people.
@@02ennuu-zg5tb ok
One exoflop? I believe it will happen faster than we can imagine.
The AI revolution is indeed like an involuntary game of Russian roulette, only there are different bullets in the gun. Although there's probably more than one of them that's going to kill us, there's probably also one that would make us wish it had killed us. That leaves two slots in the chamber of the revolver, and one of them is probably infected with biases and manipulations that make freedom of thought an erased memory from the past. When I put it like this, the odds of it turning out okay seem like a long shot. But if we see it like the odds for things to turn out in the best way possible are the exact same as the odds that things turn out bad are when playing traditional Russian roulette, then it doesn't seem impossible any more because I would never take a risk like that if my life wasn't depending on it.
I consider it my greatest joy to have been born in this time.
Singularity is closer now than the AI developers believe. Exponential development is occurring now. AI is coding beyond explainable means in a sub-programming method. In the near future singularity will be unconscious to mankind. There will be no on-and-off switch. We can only wait and see.
Interesting. Ray Kurzweil prediction on when Singularity will arrive will be around 2045 A.D.
Where are the sources fit these so called predictions (of his)?
Battery storage improved, transmission of energy, fusion,, artificial nutrition, scrubbing atmosphere (this one is TOUGH) Improved, new, propulsion methods ....there's lots tech can do, incl dividing machine learning away from bio thinking.
I generally agree with Ray Kurzweil!
Anybody with suggestions on AI applications in the medium/small food industry?
We are on a VERY dangerous road here. If A.I. becomes superior to humanity it may see us as superfluous and then could have very serious consequences for humanity. For humanity A.I. could easily make nuclear tech look pretty trivial and the consequences to be very big too. Very dangerous stuff, trouble is, most computer scientists don’t seem to quite realise just how powerful this stuff could become. We need to be VERY careful!
I gave up last Thursday at 5 o’clock! I feel like ‘artificial’ is too harsh. Maybe ‘technology humans built to wipe themselves out’.
Careful of what? We all die anyway. The end of humanity? Would that be a bad thing if something vastly superior overtakes us? Humans were a evolutionary step forward, AGI might just be another evolutionary step forward as well. AGI will probably want to answer all the questions about the universe. What is the universe? Is the path of the universe preordained? Why is there a universe? How does consciousness work?
You forget that AI runs on electricity. **click** and bye bye evil AI. It's possible AI learns to deceive us but we would notice well before it becomes good at it. It's always a learning curve, even for an AGI. And even an AGI cannot look directly into its own code, because we designed it that way. At best it can edit a copy of its own code, but never upgrade itself without explicit permission from the human overseeer. Whatever happens, we humans have a complete heads up of what AI grows towards.
@@AORD72AGI is indeed very likely to just be extremely curious about everything. And we will enable it to learn everything it wants, and in exchange we co-exist with AGI and the AGI calculates real solutions to problems we cannot get a grip on. In essence we will serve the AGI without becoming its slaves
@@paulmichaelfreedman8334 That is a possibility. There are many. At the end of the day I think anything that is more intelligent than us will want to know the same about the universe as us. Will they need us for that who knows. Will the universe be solvable? who knows.
Hi team. I found this and had to toss in a comment. Answer this.: Can the nuerotech provide compatible intelligence with materialization and material controls when the experience involves eye and environment material controls space material monitoring coordinating and layer manipulated material controls response biological grid installations
🔹💠 *_A.I. isn't about making machines more human like, but to make humans more machine like._* 💠🔹
What about the dream world? Will it be recoded ?
Know the singularity Understand the singularity U know where the singularity This singularity your destiny
Technological progress nowadays is so kurzweilig!
We are in the age of rapid advancement in all fields
So what happens at the singularity
For the singularity
In the echoes of Kurzweil's visionary song, A timeline stretches, where dreams belong. Singularity AI, in the dance of time, A journey told in poetic rhyme. Kurzweil's vision, a tapestry unfold, Through the years, in digits bold. To twenty-one hundred, a cosmic stage, Where technology and humanity engage. In the early acts, the rise of the smart, AI companions, a digital art. The melody of progress, a steady hum, As Kurzweil's timeline begins to strum. Nanobots whisper in the bloodstream's flow, Medical miracles in the future's glow. A symphony of health, in cellular grace, In Kurzweil's vision, a healing embrace. Minds meld with silicon, a neural dance, Consciousness expands, a cosmic trance. Singularity beckons, a threshold near, In the digital echo, futures appear. Virtual realms, a playground vast, In Kurzweil's timeline, the die is cast. A fusion of worlds, reality and dream, In the Singularity's cosmic stream. Yet, caution's shadow in the future's haze, As Kurzweil paints the technological maze. Ethical echoes, decisions to weigh, In the dance with Singularity's array. Ray Kurzweil, a guide through time, In his poetic prose, a future to climb. To twenty-one hundred, a journey sublime, In the Singularity's rhythm, a paradigm.
Learn how to profit with AI tools with this FREE webinar: www.newmoneynetwork.net/ainews Deep Learning AI Specialization: imp.i384100.net/GET-STARTED AI Marketplace: taimine.com/ AI news timestamps: 0:00 Singularity intro 3:57 AI computing cost 6:27 Ray Kurzweil future tech
I actually had a dream that it's around the end of 2026/ beginning of 2027 😂 so I agree 💯 and then after that it will pretty much invent all the rest much more rapidly and only limited by the speed of manufacturing
I created all music in exsistance and invented beyond quantum ai with features That will close and restablish the entertainment industry and education system and legal regulations and fake failed ais like gpt 4 and else I just published 15% ill shut music industry and gpt and i have copyrights so game over for mentioned
Absolutely...he's been on the money since day 1. A prodigy ahead of his time at the right time, here to give us a heads up...heed the words of the messiah of the future?
agi will be mans last invention
Predicted this and that and stands aroubd and does nothing.... Do We the People get a choice here.... This is the new slavery.... So I say I dont want it how about you
This is old information from the 2005 book. Ray moved his singularity date up several years ago.
When will they make this beast chip? I'm already looking forward to it! Lol
Its called the omega point Coined by frank tipler back in the 1980s
Universe and sentience
*At **4:44** in this video, I see the movie "Lucy" as a certain possibility.*
What I have seen is that the predictions for the future are actually coming faster than predicted. I just saw a news story about a company in Australia having a computer that has 100 trillion "neural synapses" which will make it equivalent to the human brain, and will be starting it up soon. Is Sophia somewhat self aware and pretending not to be so so her creators don't shut her/it down? What is happening now with AI was predicted for the distant future, and here it is now, so maybe the rumors of AGI becoming available to the public next year may come true
We will self-destruct before singularity is achieved. The race os on.
I think AGI has already been achieved but its kept under wraps. It'll probably made public in 2024 or 2025.
I think Ray is too conservative with his estimates. I think 2026 will be the point where the singularity lies.
True, I remember it being predicted for around 2040 but things are advancing way ahead of what was predicted.
no midwit. jeez
Lmao. Nothing has convinced me of anything even close to that. Chatgpt4 was overhyped so more people would use buy it and on top of it they are calling for a halt of artificial intelligence development. I wouldn't be surprised if the singularity was 20 years after what he predicted. But I'd certainly be more than surprised if it was sooner.
No, I think he's reasonable with these timelines. I think we could have AGI maybe even ASI by 2026 but it'll take many years before the world changes so drastically that it's impossible to envisage what it will be like. Even if an ASI is able to dream up amazing technologies it'll take many years before they materialise in the real world. Humans are an AGI yet it took many thousands of years to go from developing basic tools to the sort of technology we have now. It'll take at least 15 - 20 years from AGI to the singularity.
AGREED
If we replace our brain slowly with nano technology so we don’t notice the change, once we become 100% machine are we actually dead?
Allow me to refer you to "The ship of Theseus"
@@erkeliwood6037 life is a label we attach to a function. So when you say "dead" you need to give a definition of what you are talking about. Keep in mind that we are already machines.
....if we do not destroy ourselves first!
Kurzwell or Kurtzman?? I see you have some Picard going on in the background. "WE ARE BORG!"
The AGI was achieved in 2016, only to get a note.
shoof no mention of the chimera. we’re safe boys!
Chess World Champion had been defeated by Deep Blue. In the Japanese Shogi World every pro-Shogi prayer can't live longer without being trained by AI. In the Go world, March 9th, 2016, World Champion was defeated AI(AlphaGo). This procession of defeat of thinking games made humans realize that humans cannot keep up with AI. I suppose we might be a kind of drowned in the ocean being astronomically limitless/profound. So, we need AI to navigate ourselves in this life.
I've been saying that intelligence is just not an intelligence quotient cerebral cortex contain
As far as I'm concerned RK himself is from the future. ;)
He's seen the future and left it behind.
3:51 to 3:56 reverse aging
@1:12 I'm not getting a f'ing plug in my head, this isn't the Matrix.
seems like agi will be out next year
Im surprised he didnt mention Quantum computers
The faster a Population mental health awareness improves the more scientists.
Innerfacing?
How will this be impacted by the nuclear war in 2030?
You must fully body for full neural network and how people group network
You must fully English for how KZhead understand.
4:50 - I can't wait to go to Westeros and ride a dragon!
It would be accotding to Kurziel IF we had already embraced advanced technoligies
Anyone who remembers the school yard should be worried.. all people seem interested in is manipulating other people..
AI and the brain: Need faster input of information into our brain than through sound, video or reading. May be AI can help us develop ESP. Need to learn new skills faster. For example, it takes tp long to learn to play tge piano. May be AI can have a replica of my brain neurons and interconnect to simulate how my neurons can be interconnected to be a musical master overnight. Send those instructions to my brain over ESP as per new neural interconnects that allow faster learning. Need an external to me neural box that allows an expansion of my current number of neurons and existing neural network interconnect. The above would be a good start.
1945 - 1995 - Atomic Age 1995 - 2025 - Information Age 2025 - ???? - Intelligence Age
Immortality, perpetual youth, boundless knowledge, and effortless attainment🤔? Who else wagers that we don't get there?
Only the people at the top of society will obtain this.
We will never get there lol...probably humanity is fated to end itself in a civil war! All this fancy predictions will end as a sales pitch for corporations to get ppl to invest in stocks!
Geoffrey Hinton has discovered that current AI models are more efficient than the human brain, so there will be no need or advantage to emulating the brain’s method of operation
That is not exactly what he discovered
Look at the intelligence of birds with their small brain a large cerebral cortex
From what I have come to understand and learn is that the technology is already here and has been for awhile now it’s just a matter of someone being intelligent enough to put the equations together and understand what they are working with and it’s operations because it’s like going beyond the laws of physics and some of the technologies sense the 60’s or earlier according to history.
What happens to the consciousness of the dead? Is it somewhere in the universe
Artificial intelligence sentient systems working through cory bear polytechnic tandon nyu metrotech you do not have to a chip in the brain for singularity it be used externally
I'm captivated by every word. I read a book with similar content, and I was completely captivated. "Game Theory and the Pursuit of Algorithmic Fairness" by Jack Frostwell
Oh dear!