Analyzing Russia's Chasiv Yar Offensive
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FAQ
Does anything you post violate OPSEC?
Everything that I cover is already avaliable to the public, I don't have ties to anyone on the front. Nothing I post exposes any sort of threat of revealing plans.
What program do you use?
It's called scribblemaps, it's a really underrated program that's very versatile.
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I feel like this is the name that I've always gone under, and I want to continue to use. It's a part of me now haha
Will you cut your hair?
No
Subscribe or your car will break down in a Walmart parking lot when the next russian revolution happens
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#avdiivka #russia #russianews #ukrainenews #bakhmut
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It's not that they can. They will.
Your everywhere
The question should be, "How long can UA hold Chasiv Yar?"
CAN THEY? THE REAL QUESTION IS 🤔 HOW FAST CAN RUSSIA OBLITERATE IT.
RU chitting me? Chasiv Yar is kaput, it won't be long now. Good luck living in fantasy land.
Bro, chill you needa chill. Russia in spite of everything has only been able to inch forward here, and that's before they have even gotten to the hard part - the city itself. If aid does pass - which hopefully it will - the chances of Russia taking the city are not particularly high as Russia's resources are already heavily depleted from Avdiivka, and the restoration of air defense and arrival of F-16s will likely nullify Russia's current air superiority.
It's so good to see and hear you again. This is a first-rate tactical analysis of the situation around Chasiv Yar. I certainly look forward to the other reports you have prepared.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
It's gone already.... Time is all that remains
Just dropping this here to be reminded in about 2 months lmao
the question is when not can
Welcome back, thanks for the great in-depth update
"Time is on my side" said no Ukrainian Commander... ever.
Nicely done and it's good to see you back and also advocating for additional support here.
This will not age well.
Good work my dude, good way to get involved. Respects
Russia's strategic forces, long-range aviation, cyber capabilities, space capabilities, and capabilities in the electromagnetic spectrum have lost no capacity at all. The air force has lost some aircraft, but only about 10 percent of their fleet. - Us general Christopher G Cavoli (congress in Europe April 10 2024)
Holly crap he’s back
mike johnson is just terrible.
- got you coping plenty though ? 😂
@@sebastianforbes1, How’s that? Without US aid why can’t Russia advance?
@@terjeoseberg990 - why do Russia need to advance, it isn't one of the four stated objectives ?
@@sebastianforbes1, If Russia isn’t trying to advance, why are they experiencing such massive losses?
@@terjeoseberg990 - who says Russia is experiencing such massive losses ?
The western world needs your diss track, pronto.
great to see more in-depth detailed work from you.
Mike Johnson, get off your butt!
110 billion and counting, but some how, 60 billion more, and they'll win? Or until they need another 170 billion.
@@ruks345 Better than the alternative genius
@@MrKbtor2what alternative? If ukraine loses Europe will be scared of Russia and buy more weapons from America... USA will be paid for weapons they are giving away for free.
@@ruks345, Without US aid, why isn’t Russia advancing?
Not if but when.
Yes they can and there is a 80% chance that they will
❤❤❤❤❤ good information 👍👍👍
May 9th? That date solely came from Budanov, who said the same thing about Mariupol... it's a means and way for Ukraine to spin it to Russia are failing, even though they are still taking ground. Chasiv-Yar is an uphill struggle, it's well fortified and has the natural barrier of the canal. However, the well fortified towns are coming to an end as Russia make gains over defences created by Ukraine since 2014. If Russia can take Chasiv-Yar, Ugledar, Siversk, Niu-York and others.... Donbas will be secured, it's a long way away but things are ramping up. This time last year, Russia couldn't move 100m across the whole Donetsk front... Now, they're moving 100m simultaneously in 2-3 directions per day.
Russia still sucks balls
Mariupol fell shortly after May 9th, same with Bakhmut, I'd say it's pretty accurate
Thanks mate from the UK 🇬🇧 great update and your aligned with some other sources good work 🇺🇦🇬🇧
Fantasy-land propaganda, slava Russia, from the UK
Good to hear from you again. Thanks for the Chasiv Yar situation. Don't be a stranger, hang around.
Hope you enjoyed your break!
Excellent work
I'm glad you're back, see you again next month lol
I do wonder who will finally gain control over that three birches which are situated 20 yards to the ESE of the entrance to the Масажний кабінет Авокадо (Masazhnyy Kabinet Avokado) Wellness Center.
Yes they can. Quantity is a quality in its own way.
*_Counter battery_* is the term you may have been looking for.
Write a dis track bahahaha. If you cared, you'd be there fighting.
❤
Great delivery…
DJ FreeKherson - Another one.
"Industrialized and populous" - Not any longer, it isn't.
I donated 100€ to russian version of the foreign legion
Chasiv Yar has already fallen. Theres only matter of days before UKR will pull their troops out to save them from being encircled just like in Avdiivka.
You just contradicted yourself
@@farleysweatman4417 Ya, they are not very smart.
Ukraine always lets its troops get surrounded...
No one wants to be "liberated" by Ruzzia.
I did. Donezk is free again.
@pacivalmuller9333 It will be free when the orcs are booted out. Only a moron would choose to live under ruzzian oppression.
Its Ukraine that has actual SS Regiments.... 🤡
@@maryginger4877 There is no SS anymore clown.
@@pacivalmuller9333 Free huh? What would happen to you if you openly opposed Putin? Are you free to do that?
Its over my guy Onve Adviivka fell to the fab1500 now imagine the fab3000, its 3000kg(3 tonnes) of explosives No other city has the fortifications to hold up to them
Its just a question of time (c) Depeche Mode
Great. I was worried washing machines would capture this 😢😅
he is Back. and soooo seriously. 😂
Hey bro great to see you back ! You'd be a better politician than all those f@#kers on power ! I'm sure you're get the job done & then some 😂😂 . SLAVA UKRAINI 👌 HEROYAM SLAVA ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
The Zeneral
Not "can", but "when"
bro you think Ukraine can get enough shells to make a difference at this point 😂
Its mini Johnson. Good to see you back for a long update. DFWU Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦💪💛💙
Can they? Yes. The real question is: "When?"
The question is not if they can, the question is when😂
Off course it can
WW1 was a slow motion war too.
Johnson for dog catcher!
Answer: yes , Russia will take it.
Excuses, excuses ...
RUSSIA 🇷🇺❤
They can and they will
It's great to be working with you for the liberation of Ukraine! Fellas, every single donation is a step towards victory. This directly helps soldiers who otherwise are on foot and exposed to danger everywhere. Much love to all of you
Start analyzing retreat options from Kramatorsk😅😅😅😅
You should know that these satellite images are not up to date and don't show that much of these forests are nearly destroyed
Nice one mate, hope the Russians don't see this!
One of the problems for anyone of the mindset that the $61B BS is going to make a big difference, is in not realizing that a large part of those funds were to close previous financial positions for arms etc. that have already been covertly supplied to the Ukies and expended.
most interesting Ukraine video today
They will lose it
Update: they didnt hold
You forgot the possibility of Russia of start using the new fab 3000 . And end of speculations
a pick up truck ? well, that would explain why 153 Mechanized Brigade has been re-badged 153 Infantry Brigade... as for the $61 billion, it won't change anything because the 155mm artillery shells do not physically exist, and the minimum requirement cannot be manufactured for several years...
Will amend the bill so it has to go back to the Senate. Delay to deny! 😡😧 😎😎😎😎
Thank you for this report. Slava Ukraini
Maybe if my own party didn’t hold up aid Ukraine wouldn’t have trouble mobilizing men. Who would want to go to a front where they are outgunned and under equipped. Pass aid for Ukraine NOW!!! “Counter-shelling” is an official military term after this video. Great work!!
NATO does not have the industrial capacity to match Russia's production.... 🤡
They took Adviidka, Marinka,Soledar, Bakhmut,pervomaiske,Orlovka,Tonenka,Severodonetsky,Mariupol, surely they will take Chaso var...once the Russians are determined no one can stop them
Go Russia
Mike Johnson has a small johnson.
Hey my friend what they said about Chasiv Yar being a difficult nut to crack was precisely what they said about the stronghold of Avdiivka. How well did that turn out for the Ukrainians, hmmm? Chasiv Yar, if the Ukrainians purpose to defend it will turn into a waste dump strewn with the bodies of Ukrainians foolish enough to fight for it. Currently, Ukrainian soldiers are second guessing their commanders as they’re seeing themselves as cannon fodder against an implacable enemy with no intention of slowing down. Russia, after initial reversals on the battlefield, has turned into a lethal, agile and determined foe for which the Ukrainians have no answer. The summer offensive will probably see Ukraine unconditionally surrender.
"Russians haven't been able to capture Ivanivske yet" Source : trust me bro
🤖
I don’t know about Donetsk being the most populous oblast, by the time the RuAF take it, assuming they ever can, it will be a depopulated urban wasteland. As for a House vote on aid to Ukraine, I’ve been hearing the ‘next week’ refrain for months. I’ll believe it when I see it.
Aid.... you de-industrialised, you now have a rust belt...
In less than a moth chasiv yar is going to be Russian territory
Thank you for supporting Ukraine’s defence of western democracy
Defending Banderite Nazis...
It's just the matter of time. Even with the support of West Russia will still win, just slower and bloodier, that's what a lot of guys don't understand. Russia is a major power, and on a war footing. They're bound to win.
Even deepstatemap disagrees with your map, conveniently it completely destroys your nonsensical point that russia wouldnt go through the forests
Super Russia army 🇷🇺🇷🇺
Of course it won't be by May 9th. I'm no pro Ukrainian but i could definitely understand that this will take months of battle and the Ukrainians making mistakes or lacking ammo to end by May 9th. Because Chasiv Yar is not as fortified like Avdiivka I'll give it at best 9 month's and this is months of Summer and Autumn October. If it falls between that time it will count as a rout. If it falls after then it will be strategic victory as it made the Russians use much of their resources. Ukraine might have enough time to reconstitute if it doesn't fall quickly. I gave the same time frame for Avdiivka last year in October to fall between October and end of Summer this year it falling so quickly underscores how seriously weakened the Ukrainians are by long hauls of fighting.
Chasiv Yar will fall in 2 months. Russians are making 100 of meters of progress each day of the front. A say this as a neutral observer. The russian advantage will growth till the czech artillery will arrive
Reporting from Ukraine’s channel may be deleted soon, FreeKherson you will have to lead us now.
Johnson will do what Trump tells him to do. Remember, it's not Johnson, it's Trump.
Marjorie Taylor Greene isnt much better. Russia is "saving" Christianity according to her, and Ukraine is destroying it.
There is no difference between the lot of them.
@@Talinthis Well sure, if you're going to define Christianity as the Russian Orthodox Church.
NATO simply does not have the industrial production capacity.... What was the "Arsenal Of Democracy" is now called "Rust Belt", "Just in Time", "Out Sourcing"
Yes Russia can take
From trying to take Kyiv within weeks/months to trying to take Chasiv Yar by year 3 😂
Year 10 of Kiev's 3 month anti terrorist operation to ethnic cleanse the Donbas.. hows it going 🤡 ?
Have you ever seen a video where a Russian official talks about taking Kiev in 3 days? Seems like you get your information from CNN or BBC
@@dinho890i there are plenty of videos of Russian TV hosts, saying such things. And in Russia, the media is very intertwined with their government. They communicate in close coordination.
@@dinho890i Its Nazi Propaganda, however Kiev's 3 months to take the Donbas 10 YEARS ago is real...
Russia has fire control over the hilltops due to artillery and air power advantage, furthermore the forest lines are swiftly taken over. In fact Ukrainian forces have no chance of air defence so planes are flying close. Many Patriot and Iris air defence equipment were destroyed. Therefore quite a few other military bloggers claim that Chasov Yar will be taken over relatively quickly, this is not the previous pace From the beginning Russia just wanted the regime in Kiev to stop shelling Donetsk and Lugansk,stop the extremist neo Nazo groups committing atrocities like Azov, Tornado, Aidar etc, stop laws that discriminate against Russians etc. Over a million Ukrainians fled to Russia in 2014-2016. Russia also wanted no NATO expansion on Ukrainian soil, near it's borders. This would make NATO missiles reach Moscow in 5 minutes.
Your stuff is getting old,russian bot.
From the beginning Russia just wanted Ukrainians to stop thinking that Ukraine was an independent nation and that it could decide its own future. Have you noticed Russian propagandists on state tv calling for the extermination of most Ukrainians and the re-education of the surviving children? Have you seen what ‘liberation’ looks like in Mariupol and Bakhmut? Do you wonder that Ukrainians hate Russians with a passion and that they will never again allow themselves to become subservient to Russian dictators or so-called Russian culture? I am writing this on the assumption that you are not in the pay of the Russian state.
@@PTFella just watch the news, soon enough you'll see everything.. Russian bot is an emotional response but it doesn't matter because what I said is based on facts
@@PTFella Strange how some people call RT news "Facts"
@@runrau9275 yeah these russian propagandists are just funny to me. I dont even get mad anymore 😂.
america is sending Ukraine Iran weapons and ammo siezed in 3 shipments
Are people still praying for Ukraine? Cause prayers seem to be falling on deaf ears. jajaja
With Putin’s puppets on Congress blocking aid, why can’t Russia advance without losing 800 to 1000 soldiers a day? And why are they advancing so slowly?
I don't think God supports Nazis some how.... so bye, bye, Ukraine
Russia will take what they think they need 🇷🇺
Correction. They will lose another 50k soldiers to take a small village.
@@PTFella, LOL Exactly.
@@PTFella Really, because MediaZona can only find 49K dead Russians for the entire war.....
@@PTFella Why 50k? Make it 100k. Anyone believes western bllshit propaganda lol. Mariupol, Avdiivka, Bakhmut, Chasiv Yar are all small villages too. Russia lost so much men taking a city hurahhh but shhh don't report Ukranian losses. Zelensky needs 500k more mobilized not because of losses, but because the battle-hardened soldiers need 1 year vacation leave.
Have they not received arms, shells, tanks, missiles, bombs, intelligence all along... 😂😂😂... You are a joke, they have lost almost 50% of their young energetic force, who will use the weapons you're talking about?
Ukraine just lowered the minimum age for conscription from 27 to 25. If they were actually running out of soldiers, why didn’t they do this months ago? And why is Russia barely advancing? If Ukraine has run out of men, Russia shouldn’t have to fight any more. Why is there still fighting?
You are better than this, have you read that aid bill? Out of the $60 billion for Ukraine only $14 billion can be used to purchase lethal aid. This bill uses Ukrainian death ro steal from the tax payers. We need a aid package that will actually aid Ukraine. All for a $60 billion that is 100% weapons and training.
What’s the other $46 billion for?
Please be more realistic
This is Ukrainian propaganda. Russia will take Chasov Yars!
You are a Krembot who can't spell.
🤖
Krembot who can't spell.
Well, they did yeah Bakhmut and Avdiivka, but at what cost? Was it worth it? I suppose you believe it was, because you weren’t there. You didn’t sacrifice anything, but many Russians did. Their families might have a different opinion than you.
@@terjeoseberg990 Love how you all say at what cost for Russia while ignoring Ukraine has man power issues and zelensky needs 500k more. I wonder what happened?
dude, cmon. This is lazy and pure cope. You used to be better than this.