Universa’s Taleb on Inflation, Global Financial Markets, & Crypto

2023 ж. 7 Мау.
207 083 Рет қаралды

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Scientific Advisor, Universa speaks with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene at Bloomberg Invest New York 2013.
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  • I'm not kidding when I say that the market crash and high inflation have me really stressed out and worried about retirement. I've been in the red for a while now and although people say these crisis has it perks, I'm losing my mind but I get it Investing is a long-term game, so focus on the long run.

    @Riggsnic_co@Riggsnic_co9 ай бұрын
    • I can’t focus on the long run when I should be retiring in 3years, you see I’ve got good companies in my portfolio and a good amount invested, but my profit has been stalling, does it mean this recession/unstable market doesn’t provide any calculated risk opportunities to make profit?

      @martingiavarini@martingiavarini9 ай бұрын
    • There are a lot of strategies to make tongue wetting profit especially in a down market, but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts

      @hermanramos7092@hermanramos70929 ай бұрын
    • I agree, my profit has been consistent no matter the market situation, I got into the market early 2019 and the constant downtrends and losses discouraged me so I sold off, got back in Dec 2020 this time with guidance from an investment adviser that was recommended by a popular economist on a subreddit, long story short, its been 2years now and I’ve gained over $850k following guidance from my investment adviser.

      @bob.weaver72@bob.weaver729 ай бұрын
    • I’ve been down a ton, I’m only holding on so I can recoup, I really need help, who is this investment-adviser that guides you

      @martingiavarini@martingiavarini9 ай бұрын
    • Definitely! All of this happened in less than a year after Catherine Morrison Evans told me what to do. I started with less than $100,000, and now I'm about 17,000 short of having a quarter million dollars.

      @bob.weaver72@bob.weaver729 ай бұрын
  • Market declines, soaring inflation, a significant Fed interest rate hike, and rising treasury rates are all expected to result in greater losses for portfolios this quarter. How can I make money now in the erratic market? I'm currently debating whether to sell the million-dollar bond and stock portfolio I have.

    @alicemendoza5269@alicemendoza526910 ай бұрын
    • Pay attention to two main goals. Learn the best times to sell stocks to limit your losses and maximize your winnings to start protecting yourself. Next, get ready to profit when the market turns around. I suggest talking to a broker or financial advisor.

      @AustinReid09@AustinReid0910 ай бұрын
    • Yes, I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I covid. Investing in trending companies is relatively easy today; the trick is determining when to purchase and sell. I started with a $300K reserve that was initially dormant; my adviser decides when to enter and exit my portfolio; since then, I have accumulated over a million dollars.

      @harod033@harod03310 ай бұрын
    • @@harod033 Can you leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.

      @patrickperez7387@patrickperez738710 ай бұрын
    • @@patrickperez7387 The person directing me is Ruth Loralann Brennan, who I found through a CNBC interview and emailed. She subsequently provided me with entry and exit opportunities for the stocks in which I am interested. Those who need care supervision can look her up online.

      @harod033@harod03310 ай бұрын
    • @@harod033 I discovered ruth’s website after conducting a search online. She has perfect credentials and exudes the aura of being a very smart woman.

      @godof-ou1dw@godof-ou1dw10 ай бұрын
  • The market and the Fed consistently underestimate the sticky nature of inflation. The markets are still unsure if the Federal Reserve will continue to its plan to raise interest rates until inflation is under control, despite the fact that bond yields are rising while stock prices are falling. What is the greatest strategy to take advantage of the current bear market while I'm still deciding whether to sell my $401k worth of stocks?

    @Rochelletrem@Rochelletrem10 ай бұрын
    • Even though there will probably be more pain in the future, investors should look for stocks like Royal Philips NV and Alstom SA that have been sufficiently battered down to be a bargain or get a great portfolio manager.

      @philipr1759@philipr175910 ай бұрын
    • That's why I'm creating more income streams that I have complete control over. These will take me places that my day job never could. The earlier you start investing your money and putting it to work, the more time compound interest has to work its magic on your portfolio. This is how I'm going to achieve early retirement and it's possible for everyone. understand , know the path needed and stay committed to the craft

      @theresahv@theresahv10 ай бұрын
    • @@theresahv How are we going to achieve all that given that the market has being a mess most of the year seems farfetched. I keep hearing that the market is pricing in a 60% probability of a 75 hike. But isn’t it also pricing in a dovish fed that’s going to pívot relatively quickly?

      @DavidRiggs-dc7jk@DavidRiggs-dc7jk10 ай бұрын
    • My advisor Julie Anne Hoover’is highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.

      @theresahv@theresahv10 ай бұрын
    • @@theresahv Thank you for this tip , I must say, Julie appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume, educational background, and qualifications, and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.

      @DavidRiggs-dc7jk@DavidRiggs-dc7jk10 ай бұрын
  • With inflation running at a four-decade high, Recession is now the ‘most likely’ outcome for the economy and i cannot imagine being a victim of circumstances. My portfolio suffered a big hit, holding it further won’t be any good. I've heard of people netting hundreds of thousands this red season. How can i ensure this?

    @roddywoods8130@roddywoods813010 ай бұрын
    • I'm giddy watching the maket tank as I buy as much stoc'k as possible across my port-folio. The key is keep buyng, don't let the naysayers change your mind..

      @selenajack2036@selenajack203610 ай бұрын
    • going well for you so far? I’m certain you have someone guiding you or you’re a guru in the maket yourself.

      @adenmall7596@adenmall759610 ай бұрын
    • Definitely! I've been able to scale from $350K to $550K since April because ‘’Eleanor Annette Eckhaus’’ my FA figured out Defensive strategies to protect my port_folio and profit from this roller coaster market.

      @selenajack2036@selenajack203610 ай бұрын
    • There's a decline in my portfolio. lost over 12 thousand this week alone. Can you link me up with your handler?

      @bsetdays6784@bsetdays678410 ай бұрын
  • Like Warren Buffet said, dividends are only good if the business you’re investing into can’t make good use of that capital. So if you’re trying to invest into businesses with actual growth, looking at dividends is a waste of time. Why are you investing into a company if they’re returning capital to you because they think you can make better use if it than they can. It’s not much different from bond investing. The way I see it if you have a $1 million at some point, that’d be enough to create a portfolio that would pay you between 50k-70k in dividend income...

    @Mcllwain@Mcllwain10 ай бұрын
    • It's not difficult, but you have to learn and handle. Another thing is that if you can't manage your home, maybe you shouldn't invest on your own. If so, you should hire a CFP to help you diversify your assets to include ETFs/index funds/mutual funds and stocks of companies with consistent cash flows, rather than betting on penny stocks.

      @sherryie2@sherryie210 ай бұрын
    • @@sherryie2 A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for license advisors and came across someone of due diligence, helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to approx. $850k so far.

      @kurttSchuster@kurttSchuster10 ай бұрын
    • @@kurttSchuster Over the following 3 months, I want to increase my reserve from $280,000 to at least $550,000. I would be grateful for any advice you can give on how to accurately predict the market and how to diversify and balance my portfolio in order to accomplish my goal.

      @tonicruger@tonicruger10 ай бұрын
    • @@tonicruger Have you heard of "NICOLE DESIREE SIMON? She gets featured regularly on CNBC. Everyone in my office works with her including myself. I personally use tax-deferred accounts to hold my investments. That way I avoid capital gains taxes. There are other options your advisor could brief you about.

      @kurttSchuster@kurttSchuster10 ай бұрын
    • @@kurttSchuster Thank you. I just checked her out now on the web and I've sent an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. I've been thinking of doing this for a long time now, and I've procrastinated enough already.

      @tonicruger@tonicruger10 ай бұрын
  • Investing is a business of prudence - Don't try to make your money work and preserve it! When you think have a reason to buy an option, don't buy it as it is already priced in. Thanks Prof. Taleb

    @rocking1313@rocking131311 ай бұрын
    • I think there is need to grow your money as a dentist because the future is unknown.

      @phillipngongo7398@phillipngongo739811 ай бұрын
  • These two fellows are very smart and very entertaining. That doesn't mean we take everything as gospel or receive an immediate payoff. I've still got to do a lot of work myself. My experience is I probably always need to know more and work harder no matter who I read or listen to....

    @efanshel@efanshel11 ай бұрын
    • That's 100% right. Same with Ray Dalio -super smart guy, well worth listening to/reading his work, but was dead wrong when he said: "Cash is trash."

      @mousquetaire86@mousquetaire8611 ай бұрын
  • Thank you, Tom

    @leestack@leestack10 ай бұрын
  • 2 of my All time Favorites in Finance ❤

    @doughayden@doughayden10 ай бұрын
  • Thanks for this knowledge.

    @deepak2012able@deepak2012able10 ай бұрын
  • Great thinker of our time

    @geraldbrowne@geraldbrowne8 ай бұрын
  • Excellent summary!

    @Truthandjusticeforever@Truthandjusticeforever10 ай бұрын
  • Real great the finishing description of a book!

    @evelynramos445@evelynramos44511 ай бұрын
  • Very much respect both parties, but Tom Keene did so well on the journalist side. Sorry to play favs I’m just mad impressed. Been following surveillance for a while and heck yeah man

    @taylortrzeciak7572@taylortrzeciak757211 ай бұрын
  • Nassim Taleb is amazing. Thank you for having him.

    @quietStorm247@quietStorm24711 ай бұрын
  • Brilliant!👌

    @behrad9712@behrad971211 ай бұрын
  • Thank you NNT for your time!

    @Senecamarcus@Senecamarcus11 ай бұрын
  • Love it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    @nunoalexandre6408@nunoalexandre640811 ай бұрын
  • Nobody understands what Dr. Taleb is saying but he’s smarter than anyone😂

    @profh9382@profh93827 ай бұрын
  • What a brilliant mind

    @xxxs8309@xxxs830910 ай бұрын
  • brilliant. I did not expect to be so impressed by Taleb.

    @jamesfraser5860@jamesfraser586011 ай бұрын
  • In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments.

    @williamyejun8508@williamyejun850810 ай бұрын
    • The pathway to substantial returns doesn't solely rely on stocks with significant movements. Instead, it revolves around effectively managing risk relative to reward. By appropriately sizing your positions and capitalizing on your advantage repeatedly, you can progressively work towards achieving your financial goals. This principle applies across various investment approaches, whether it be long-term investing or day trading.

      @jamescomb1170@jamescomb117010 ай бұрын
    • Despite utilizing the correct strategies and possessing the right assets, there can still be variations in the investment returns among different investors. It is important to acknowledge that experience plays a crucial role in investment success. Personally, I realized the significance of this and sought the guidance of a market analyst, which enabled me to substantially grow my account to nearly a million. I strategically withdrew my profits just before the market correction, and now I am taking advantage of the buying opportunities once again.

      @jameswood9772@jameswood977210 ай бұрын
    • @@jameswood9772 Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I’m in dire need for one

      @jessicamoore3093@jessicamoore309310 ай бұрын
    • I am being advised by Lisa Angelique Abel , an experienced financial professional. If you're interested, you can easily find more information about her as she has accumulated years of expertise in the financial market.

      @jameswood9772@jameswood977210 ай бұрын
    • she actually appears to be well-read and educated. I just did a Google search for her name and found her webpage, I appreciate you sharing

      @jessicamoore3093@jessicamoore309310 ай бұрын
  • I had Taleb as a prof at NYU/Courant. Interesting lectures.

    @MrWTFNJ@MrWTFNJ11 ай бұрын
    • Anything interesting you remember ?

      @investornabil8825@investornabil882511 ай бұрын
    • Did he ever respond to questions by screaming, "IMBECILE!"? Or is that a move he honed on Twitter?

      @alchemist_one@alchemist_one11 ай бұрын
    • ​@@alchemist_onehis behavior is very telling.....he drips grifter. He lies or is Ignorant about DLT....old already wealthy out of touch hot head.....Nassim Taleb is a joke

      @marsenault9683@marsenault96838 ай бұрын
  • So gold should do well in this new preservation environment?

    @issenvan1050@issenvan105011 ай бұрын
  • First time seeing Nassim quiet nice to an interviewer. He must know or respect him.

    @LGseeker@LGseeker10 ай бұрын
  • Nassim Taleb is just amazing, he is way ahead of the curve

    @hakana.5297@hakana.529710 ай бұрын
    • Is that normally distributed curve?

      @yeliangarcia4623@yeliangarcia462310 ай бұрын
  • Epic, love this.

    @allinballsout1@allinballsout111 ай бұрын
  • I just discovered Taleb last week, excited for to watch this new content of his...

    @kylebetsmlb@kylebetsmlb11 ай бұрын
    • congratualtion, make sure to focus on reading his books, he most impactful when he write stuff down.

      @Learna_Hydralis@Learna_Hydralis11 ай бұрын
    • Best books I ever read.

      @maxsmith7483@maxsmith748311 ай бұрын
    • Thanks, I started with Dynamic Hedging. Most incredible thing I've ever read. Next I will read Incerto in order@@Learna_Hydralis

      @kylebetsmlb@kylebetsmlb6 ай бұрын
  • Taleb is one of the most interesting human beings in the world. I am huge fan of his. In some points he goes extreme but overall he has done a remarkable job by writing all those books. Ps. The way he write is also very great. You'll enjoy every bit of his books.

    @stillakzo@stillakzo11 ай бұрын
    • I enjoyed his books. Especially his then hardly known approach to mispricings of unlikely events. However, back then I thought it was boring that he continuously had to repeat his opinion that de facto all other people on Wall Street are idiots and that the most intelligent person in the room (apart of him) was the secretary (when he visited Wall Street firms). He sounded like a wounded child that had to emphasize the failures of others non-stop

      @markusd.7409@markusd.740911 ай бұрын
    • @@markusd.7409 yes, this is his major flaw. He wants everything to be perfect and if a model works 70% of the time and doesn't work 30% of the time. He thinks the users of such model are stupid people.

      @stillakzo@stillakzo11 ай бұрын
    • @@markusd.7409 That is, sadly, his modus operandi - he has no problems throwing feces at other, but when others start throwing feces at him, he turns into a fragile tinker bell. It's funny what a huge gap there can be bw how a person presents himself and how he actually is (lives, behaves).

      @HallsofMnemosyne@HallsofMnemosyne11 ай бұрын
    • He's a liar or a fool. Either way he's either completely ignorant on DLT tech and use or is a liar....either way he's an old out of touch embarrassment

      @marsenault9683@marsenault96838 ай бұрын
  • Where can I find the Q&A session?

    @HubertHeller@HubertHeller11 ай бұрын
  • “Bitcoin is not even good for money laundering”. From a legal point of view, this is exactly right.

    @jmeden@jmeden11 ай бұрын
    • lol don’t try to sound smart; there’s no other point of view to consider for money laundering than the legal point of view 😂

      @MHMHMHMHMHMHMHMH@MHMHMHMHMHMHMHMH11 ай бұрын
  • His recommended strategy of buying options for protection is interesting. I believe AQR Capital put out a study that showed historically this is a losing strategy. Would love to hear how successful it is over time.

    @Chessmapling@Chessmapling10 ай бұрын
  • Where was SEC when Ken Griffen’s Citadel prevented people from buying stocks while naked-shorting them?

    @issenvan1050@issenvan105011 ай бұрын
    • The SEC was on his pocket. They are owned by the oligarchs. Lock,stock and barrel.

      @valdomero738@valdomero73811 ай бұрын
  • Very smart investor. I love reading him. 🔥

    @investornabil8825@investornabil882511 ай бұрын
  • There is a typo in the description about the year.

    @Lifeofadnan@Lifeofadnan11 ай бұрын
  • must be a mistake: this talk was at Bloomberg Invest 2023, not 2013

    @miropribanic5581@miropribanic558111 ай бұрын
  • Interesting interview! So is he saying that inflation won’t take off but real estate and tech stocks related to AI are going to take a big tumble? Also, is this tumble in commercial real estate, or residential real estate, or both? Also he sounds not too keen on stocks in general. The take away I am getting is that an investor needs to move into the stocks that won’t take a tumble, but which stocks fall into that category? Definitely more questions raised than answers given!

    @econhelp583@econhelp58310 ай бұрын
  • What is thename of the introduction song?

    @JensN113@JensN11311 ай бұрын
  • Strong ankle game from Taleb

    @TheAvesMarketing@TheAvesMarketing11 ай бұрын
  • Did you pick this music ?

    @rokiev8397@rokiev839711 ай бұрын
  • Date is wrong in the description. I believe it´s 2023 not 2013 :)

    @tronando_newsletter7703@tronando_newsletter770311 ай бұрын
  • Top, top. 😊

    @blairhakamies4132@blairhakamies413211 ай бұрын
  • Is the sound quality here terrible or is it just me?

    @haze1123@haze112311 ай бұрын
  • Excellent conversation but that music at the beginning must go!

    @mikefatah@mikefatah11 ай бұрын
  • Nassim is incomprehensible.

    @posthocprior@posthocprior9 ай бұрын
    • Read more!

      @beat1riz@beat1riz2 ай бұрын
  • Salute news

    @AbdulAziz-th6oe@AbdulAziz-th6oe11 ай бұрын
  • I feel like it would be weird taking a class from nassim taleb because he would probably disagree with the textbooks for the class and basically say how most of the financial formulas are incorrect lol.

    @bbsara0146@bbsara014611 ай бұрын
    • I promise if you can learn to think differently in these terms it can change you're life..I used what I've learned from NNT to make super life & financial decisions..I picked 5 teams pre season NCAA MENS BASKETBALL FUTURES & UCONN WON..I ATTRIBUTE IT TO EXPERIENCE & TALEBS BOOKS & ALL MEDIA..HIS VIEWS ON RANDOMNESS WERE A BIG PART OF MY FACTORING..

      @OMAHA_MIKE@OMAHA_MIKE11 ай бұрын
    • I think a generally good rule to follow is to not heed people who use all caps

      @mattslowikowski3530@mattslowikowski353011 ай бұрын
    • @@mattslowikowski3530 opinion...contrarian?.

      @OMAHA_MIKE@OMAHA_MIKE11 ай бұрын
    • @@mattslowikowski3530 haters everywhere..you heed to whatever ..it's you're choice..put you're cards on the table too soon?

      @OMAHA_MIKE@OMAHA_MIKE11 ай бұрын
    • @@mattslowikowski3530 I bet you are a super over achiever non team player..I've dealt with goofy fkrs like you my whole life .but all good as I live like a KING .I feel sorry for you ..I just put on one of my ROLEXES to enjoy my day as a retired CAR DEALER..53...you go on put that CASIO ON & HEAD TO WORK SONNY ..IM GOIN SMALLMOUTH FISHING TODAY .

      @OMAHA_MIKE@OMAHA_MIKE11 ай бұрын
  • Whast has been successful has been imagining what the world would be like in 50 years based on undeniable trends. One has been the economic growth in China since the 70s would create a class of the wealthy that would value Chinese art treasures. A side hustle in investing in Chinese art and cultural artifacts in the 80s would have returned multiples in the medium term. Its about riding waves likely a variety of these...

    @francisdelacruz6439@francisdelacruz643910 ай бұрын
    • There's a level of risk in that though. For example looking at China's next 50 years, I can't help but fear that there will be massive instability in the country that will touch any investment made into the area. The better outlook is to have a plan that doesn't require things to go right to work out. Live a healthier, less stressful life now so when you're older you don't have as many health problems that end up deciding things for you. You can have as many clever plans as possible but there's always the possibility of something beyond your control screwing you over when it really matters.

      @shawnjavery@shawnjavery7 ай бұрын
  • if you listen to taleb about bitcoin, you should DYOR. It´s a personal feud between him and S.Ammous (Author of the bitcoin standard). Taleb even wrote the foreword to the book "the btc standard" in 2018.

    @stereodachs@stereodachs11 ай бұрын
  • Such a brilliant man!

    @buddfoxx5955@buddfoxx595511 ай бұрын
  • I remember when I actually had some respect for this guy. Sometimes Twitter can be a blessing, as it shows what *fragile* tinkerbells - and sore losers - some people truly are.

    @HallsofMnemosyne@HallsofMnemosyne11 ай бұрын
    • Yeah, Taleb was a bitcoin investor. Then he cashed out, opened up BTC short positions, and went on a anti-BTC PR campaign.

      @ajstexas@ajstexas11 ай бұрын
    • @@ajstexas Not to mention his drama-queen escapades whenever someone called him out on some of the more pressing questions (from crypto to lockdowns) - even when it was done respectfully, in a cordial manner. I was really utterly disappointed how he handled these exchanges - he came across as the most anti-(anti-fragile) being out there - and have since lost all respect for him.

      @HallsofMnemosyne@HallsofMnemosyne11 ай бұрын
    • ​@HallsofMnemosyne I thought the same thing about him when you came out defending lockdowns and government reactions to covid. Quite antifragile.

      @bencrozier@bencrozier11 ай бұрын
    • He's never coming back from COVID. Fuck this guy

      @itsnotmyjob@itsnotmyjob10 ай бұрын
    • @@ajstexascrypto idiots will realize soon.

      @fsckool6894@fsckool689410 ай бұрын
  • Nassim smiling is the sweetest thing.

    @rolandnelson6722@rolandnelson672211 ай бұрын
    • A taleb simp ewww 🤢

      @valdomero738@valdomero73811 ай бұрын
  • Taleb may be a genius, but it's hard to glean anything of value from what he says.

    @DEValentine@DEValentine11 ай бұрын
  • There truly may be no more brilliant thinker in the modern ages than NN Taleb.

    @vclazlo929@vclazlo9299 ай бұрын
  • 5% isn't high but then again it's not the rate of interest but the amount of debt that matters.... Small rate increases can lead to big defaults and illiquidity if companies can't cover the cost of their debts. 10 years of borrowing at zero rates has made markets highly sensitive to this... so would have to disagree with Taleb on this as well.

    @__Wanderer@__Wanderer11 ай бұрын
    • He would probably answer that the interest rate isn't high, it's the debt that is too big. The answer is some combination of defaults/ haircuts/restructuring etc.

      @blueodum@blueodum11 ай бұрын
    • @@blueodum Likely true but if he suggests rates should be "far higher" I am imagining he is thinking rates in line / greater than inflation like paul volcker did. Thing is if the FED did that the global economy would implode and there would be an economic collapse the next week...

      @__Wanderer@__Wanderer11 ай бұрын
  • Wow

    @Fj8282haha@Fj8282haha11 ай бұрын
  • Max was here

    @maxb5957@maxb595711 ай бұрын
  • Inflation, bank collapse, severe drought in the agricultural belt, recession, food shortages, diesel fuel and heating oil shortages, baby formula shortages, available automobile shortages and prices, the price of living place.

    @laurelharper123@laurelharper1236 ай бұрын
    • Government policy has thrown the future under the bus for decades. The day of judgment is near. I predict an 80% drop in the stock market. Investors will abandon stocks in favor of real estate. There will be no money in banks... You must devise a strategy for survival.

      @BiancaSherly-qt6sb@BiancaSherly-qt6sb6 ай бұрын
    • I agree. I have pulled in more than $435k since 2020 through my advisor. It pays off more in the long run to just pick quality stocks and ride with those stocks.

      @maryHenokNft@maryHenokNft6 ай бұрын
    • @@maryHenokNft Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.

      @maggysterling33254@maggysterling332546 ай бұрын
    • I'm guided by *Mary Onita Wier* An experienced coach with extensive financial market knowledge. While you can consider other options, her strategy has yielded positive results for me. She offers valuable insights, including entry and exit points for the securities I concentrate on.

      @maryHenokNft@maryHenokNft6 ай бұрын
    • Thank you for the information. I conducted my own research and your advisor appears to be highly skilled and knowledgeable. I've sent her an email and arranged a phone call. Her expertise is impressive, and I'm eagerly anticipating our conversation.

      @SherlyDavis-ek4qz@SherlyDavis-ek4qz6 ай бұрын
  • 24:36 Taleb’s explanation of what they do at Universa seems to be that they ‘Buy far out of the money Options (possibly LEAPS)’. Then they roll them until there is a random dip, or black swan shake-up in the market. Does anyone know if this is correct interpretation ?

    @brothergod6633@brothergod663311 ай бұрын
    • Correct. And they are up money in doing so. But the main benefit is doing that for 3% of networth every year allow you to use 97% into good stonks without fear. And ride that wave.

      @kindnesslove5482@kindnesslove548211 ай бұрын
    • @@kindnesslove5482 I’m sure they are using other complex strategies like CDS etc. but since I’m a small retail trader I am thinking I should use small amounts of $ to keep their 3% as 100% of my portfolio. Roll some 18 month LEAPS. my only question is what if I’m only 3 months into owning these 24 month OTM LEAPS and they go way up in value due to black swan.. will they be easy to sell? I’m assuming the Fed will come to the rescue within 2 months of any Systemic crisis.

      @brothergod6633@brothergod663311 ай бұрын
    • I’m guessing it’s more sophisticated than that but I see why you’d guess that’s what they do. I think Spitznagel used to claim he’d try to buy Puts that were about -30% to break even on the underlying and use 2% of the portfolio on the Puts for some underlying like SPY that should usually appreciate longterm but he never gave details on how he rolled and managed them and made it sound like there was secret sauce on when to buy and sell them, which expiry dates to hold and how to roll them. I’m also guessing he’d never tell you exactly what he’s doing and oversimplify it… and he probably is more capital efficient with futures and not buying Puts on Robinhood.

      @xxyyzz8464@xxyyzz846411 ай бұрын
    • @@xxyyzz8464 thanks for this. I never knew of the -30%, only the 2%. I suppose it is more sophisticated but I tend to believe that whatever they are doing can be replicated on a smaller retail level. I have heard Spitznagel refer to the concept as being a form of portfolio insurance. Meaning if 98% of my portfolio is generally bullish/long investments then it’s okay to have 2% of the positions in cheap, wildly speculative short positions on major indexes. They view it as a small price to pay for having insurance. I’m not sure why everyone else views it as a drain on their portfolio. A large California Pension Fund left Universa just prior to the Pandemic for this reason.

      @brothergod6633@brothergod663311 ай бұрын
    • @@brothergod6633 Spitznagel wrote a book about that „Safe Haven“ where he compares different strategies and also explains the insurance portfolio.

      @Mordredur@Mordredur11 ай бұрын
  • Crypto provides financial privacy and censorship resistance from the state. That's its number 1 use case. It gives regular people agency and an exit from the surveillance state's rules and "protection".

    @0xsupersane920@0xsupersane92011 ай бұрын
    • Who needs this kind of protection? Terrorists, money launderers, the corrupt.

      @myyoutubechannel2858@myyoutubechannel285811 ай бұрын
    • He's defending the status quo, the dollar, the FED printing, inflation eating your salary..He's turned, now a insider

      @giomusah2155@giomusah215511 ай бұрын
    • bye bye crypto......

      @MassimoX@MassimoX11 ай бұрын
    • Yeh... That's exactly what we've seen from the ecosystem. LOL. Dude, enjoy forgetting your recovery phrase and losing your life savings. Fuck me it's so dumb.

      @cronaldopwns@cronaldopwns11 ай бұрын
    • ​@@giomusah2155 Tether is the money printer in the crypto space, however it's not backed by shit in comparison. You think things are different. Lol.

      @cronaldopwns@cronaldopwns11 ай бұрын
  • Be prudent, and put money to work, those two notions aren't in opposition.

    @RaffiSosikian@RaffiSosikian10 ай бұрын
  • This just proves how much we need an edged as an investors because playing the market like everyone else just isn’t good enough. I’ve been quite ensured about investing in this current market and at the same time I feel it’s the best time to get started on the market, what are your thoughts?!

    @shelle.angelo@shelle.angelo6 ай бұрын
    • I can’t focus on the long run when I should be retiring in 3yrs ,you see I’ve got a good companies in my portfolio and a good amount invested, but my profits has been stalling, does it mean this unstable market doesn’t provide any calculated risky opportunities to make profits?

      @RogerWatkinss@RogerWatkinss6 ай бұрын
    • There are a lot of strategies to make tongue wetting profits especially in a down market but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts.

      @spacecadet6@spacecadet66 ай бұрын
    • @@spacecadet6 I'm happy to have stumbled upon this discussion. If you don't mind, could you tell me the name of the financial adviser who helps you with your investments and how I might contact them? It Intrigues me to keep learning

      @elease.eichersli@elease.eichersli6 ай бұрын
    • There are advisors in cities around you but I needed services of one who can guide me irrespective of location. *Mary Onita Wier* comes highly recommended especially in times like this. I am hedging and haven't lost much to the recession. I started this year out with less than $200k and I’m just $19,000 short of half a million in profits.

      @spacecadet6@spacecadet66 ай бұрын
    • Thank you, I just searched for her online, and I'm genuinely impressed with her qualifications. I've already contacted her because I could use all the help I can get.

      @noah-greene@noah-greene6 ай бұрын
  • Gee, just about everyone on Bloomberg from Dalio to Taleb to Fitzpatrick say rates need to be raised.

    @carefulconsumer8682@carefulconsumer868211 ай бұрын
    • Raise rates? Have a look at the vast quantities of debt everywhere. No, rates are already way too high. They will be cut, and the 'printing press' will be heavily used.

      @latorregolf@latorregolf11 ай бұрын
    • @@latorregolf nope, banks have to collapse for cbdc, so they will keep hiking forcing small banks into defaults and mergers

      @whiteswordwarrior9995@whiteswordwarrior999511 ай бұрын
  • Just ordered another copy of Fooled by Randomness. The first one, left on an aero plane, the second destroyed when my home was flooded. I'm applying pure superstition here and relying on being third time lucky.

    @user-qc1yg8wi4f@user-qc1yg8wi4f9 ай бұрын
  • "there's not too much appetite for inflation!" Lol. Oh yes there is. How else will governments inflate away debt to maintain borrowing. How else will people stay rich if the values of their assets decrease. There is plenty of appetite to for inflation. Been happening for decades.

    @brandon_youtube@brandon_youtube11 ай бұрын
  • Enormous respect for Taleb. The Black Swan is an excellent book containing lessons I have applied throughout life and my investment journey. His arguments against Bitcoin are not well articulated, and that's a bit disappointing.

    @Slicemenice@Slicemenice11 ай бұрын
    • He probably owns a bunch of bitcoin himself and is trying to scare people away

      @4n74r4y@4n74r4y11 ай бұрын
  • Right, Taleb says the fed must raise rates because they want to kill inflation. So if the fed doesn't raise above 5% and pauses in June. Then the Fed really doesn't give a toss about killing inflation. Taleb shares what should happen. But it's never what actually happens in a world of constant financial engineering. Looking forward to June.

    @brandon_youtube@brandon_youtube11 ай бұрын
    • "Interest rates should be modulated slowly" then goes on to say that rates at 5% are not enough after raising it from 0 in a year...

      @joaofeiteira6309@joaofeiteira630911 ай бұрын
    • Jpow will rise 25 bps but that's the last one. He's owned by the oligarch class who made mountains of money in the last years.

      @valdomero738@valdomero73811 ай бұрын
    • almost every government is leveraged to the tits, they actually want inflation, they just dont want it out of control, they will try to control it enough to not cause outrage but let it run enough so it slowly liquidates theyre on balance and off balance liabilities

      @diogolopes3395@diogolopes339511 ай бұрын
    • You guys are morons. Or worse college students. 1 yr inflation is already at 4%. No need to raise rates haphazardly. The effects come with a lag. Wait and see is the right move for now.

      @thegreattheone@thegreattheone11 ай бұрын
  • Where was plague in Istanbul?

    @issenvan1050@issenvan105011 ай бұрын
    • Probably wasn't real (like the 2020 version). Another media hype to promote FEAR

      @toneloc-cz2xi@toneloc-cz2xi11 ай бұрын
  • Tom Keene is the worst Bloomberg host ever. He constantly interrupts. There might be guests where it makes sense to interrupt them once ina awhile, but if Taleb talks you listen! Luckily Druckenmiller was interviewed by somebody more respectful.

    @Chriz301@Chriz30111 ай бұрын
    • Agree

      @prestonthomas5399@prestonthomas539911 ай бұрын
    • is that the pregnant guy with glasses

      @giomusah2155@giomusah215511 ай бұрын
    • For real

      @juanok2775@juanok277511 ай бұрын
    • Perfect

      @michaela7759@michaela775911 ай бұрын
    • He was probably good in the Muddle Ages

      @startorfinish@startorfinish11 ай бұрын
  • Last three years have not been kind to him. Mentally and physically. Shocked to see him like this.

    @ST-ge4hh@ST-ge4hh11 ай бұрын
    • COVID Nazi

      @itsnotmyjob@itsnotmyjob10 ай бұрын
  • A bit of a genius with a even larger blind spot.

    @vikidprinciples@vikidprinciples11 ай бұрын
    • 👌

      @contemplating1015@contemplating101511 ай бұрын
    • Can you elaborate on the blindspots

      @TheBanterCity@TheBanterCity11 ай бұрын
    • @@TheBanterCity btc

      @BenWilkinsonBin@BenWilkinsonBin11 ай бұрын
    • @@BenWilkinsonBin Governments will trash btc

      @TheBanterCity@TheBanterCity11 ай бұрын
    • Yes.

      @jsfnnyc@jsfnnyc11 ай бұрын
  • I bought his two books.....my reaction after reading..... Why i bought....??? 😅

    @Dfm_Sushil@Dfm_Sushil10 ай бұрын
  • Why would he not want everyone investing? This has been one of the best times for transfer of wealth.

    @xtzarsenal@xtzarsenal11 ай бұрын
  • Rates

    @evelynramos445@evelynramos44511 ай бұрын
  • It's never different this time....

    @user-hj1yz3ky4h@user-hj1yz3ky4h11 ай бұрын
    • It is different this and every time; conditions are different, expectations are different, fundamentals are different, participants are different...

      @kurtbangen2300@kurtbangen230011 ай бұрын
  • 19:57 the video climaxed. Haha

    @MobThe24@MobThe2411 ай бұрын
  • when inflation we all big money

    @leopoldauer7390@leopoldauer73909 ай бұрын
  • This conversation moved all over the place and was hard to follow. Tom Keen should not be chosen to interview with how much he interrupts and shifts direction.

    @johnfehringer@johnfehringer10 ай бұрын
  • Did they talk about COVID?

    @jackypaulcukjati3186@jackypaulcukjati31869 ай бұрын
  • 🤝

    @litmus_test@litmus_test11 ай бұрын
  • "Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Scientific Advisor, Universa speaks with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene at Bloomberg Invest New York 2013." 2013? Really Bloomberg?

    @hansdoreen@hansdoreen11 ай бұрын
  • So if it happens Downunda', do we call it a 'White Swan'? 🤔🙄

    @gregorysagegreene@gregorysagegreene9 ай бұрын
  • I hate how in financial engineering they try to treat finance as if its a natural science where there are laws and stuff. and you can just plug stuff into a formula to create profits. finance is all about outsmarting other market participants. their loss is your gain. its like poker. if you have a good poker bot but its playing itself, its alpha is 0.

    @bbsara0146@bbsara014611 ай бұрын
    • Interesting. Im trying to learn financial engineering from a computer engineering background. Do you have any pointers? I think economics is far worse than finance in terms of fake science

      @seanpierre1338@seanpierre133811 ай бұрын
    • @@seanpierre1338 learn about gambling and probability. it's more similar to investing than finance or economics.

      @bbsara0146@bbsara014611 ай бұрын
    • @@seanpierre1338 finance and economics is better than psychology at least. psychiatry the ultimate pseudoscience imo.

      @bbsara0146@bbsara014611 ай бұрын
    • @@seanpierre1338 learn about game theory and probability mate. you can make the perfect discounted cash flow model but if your assumptions are wrong all that work was for nothing

      @bbsara0146@bbsara014611 ай бұрын
    • @@bbsara0146 hmm. I’ve already taken tons of probability & stochastic processes classes. Im trying to learn q/kdb+ at the moment. Any other tools i should know?

      @seanpierre1338@seanpierre133811 ай бұрын
  • Recession is often the result of external factors, and it appears that the United States is losing its grip as a federal reserve currency. With a decreasing ability to control inflation and a reduction in stock and oil trading, it seems that a new multilateral world order is on the horizon.

    @Sheil-hard@Sheil-hard11 ай бұрын
    • It's important to keep in mind that investing is a zero-sum game with both good and bad days. However, by spending and investing wisely and diversifying your holdings, you can minimise risks and maximise gains. Hiring a knowledgeable investment advisor with a wide range of options can help you achieve this and leave little room for regrets.

      @hermanramos7092@hermanramos709211 ай бұрын
    • I personally worked with an investment advisor to diversify my $401k portfolio across multiple markets, resulting in over $980k in net profit from high dividend yielding stocks. With the right guidance, you too can make informed investment decisions and achieve your financial goals.

      @martingiavarini@martingiavarini11 ай бұрын
    • @@martingiavarini Would you mind recommending a specialist with a variety of investment options? This is extremely rare, and I eagerly await your response

      @kenanporubsky2122@kenanporubsky212211 ай бұрын
    • @@kenanporubsky2122 She is Catherine Morrison Evans, my consultant. Since then, she has devoted section and leave attention to safeguards that I have been keeping an eye out for. You can locate information about the chief online, on the off chance that you're interested. I made no regrets about substantially adhering to their exchange strategy.

      @martingiavarini@martingiavarini11 ай бұрын
    • @@martingiavarini Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

      @kenanporubsky2122@kenanporubsky212211 ай бұрын
  • NNT is the best

    @user-qq5rn8dw1n@user-qq5rn8dw1n11 ай бұрын
  • and guess what? there is no Credit Suisse bank anymore

    @Lukas-cm2b@Lukas-cm2b11 ай бұрын
  • You are correct Talib, but what if people demand that money and state be permanently separated from each other? This could occur after the fiat currency has run its course.

    @duncanwallace7241@duncanwallace724111 ай бұрын
  • “Bloomberg Invest New York 2013” >__< Serious ?

    @georgelien@georgelien11 ай бұрын
  • You all pawns.

    @cdes68@cdes6810 ай бұрын
  • He said crypto is a fad. Can anyone, anywhere, refute his claim😮

    @mishmohd@mishmohd11 ай бұрын
  • If you are a toothpaste company focus on making toothpaste.

    @patricklarsen8078@patricklarsen80788 ай бұрын
  • Failing to distinguish between bitcoin and the nonsense of 'crypto' is the first sign that someone hasn't done a shred of serious work on the subject.

    @latorregolf@latorregolf11 ай бұрын
    • Also, if it’s so easy to know who is transacting on Bitcoin (when used properly without address reuse and not posting your address online!) then he should use his “basic statistics” to determine Satoshi’s identity, write a book on it, do interviews, and make a quick $10M+ and go down in history as the man who revealed Satoshi’s true identity. Truth is, he’s just a clown 🤡 when it comes to Bitcoin and hasn’t done his homework in how it’s different from “crypto” proper.

      @xxyyzz8464@xxyyzz846411 ай бұрын
    • What's the difference

      @teardropsonmyfallen@teardropsonmyfallen11 ай бұрын
    • @@teardropsonmyfallen Not possible to convey in a short comment. But nowadays loads of great resources: River and Swan have good basic intros, Jameson Lopp has excellent site with more depth. "Mastering Bitcoin" (2019) if you up for a challenge

      @latorregolf@latorregolf11 ай бұрын
    • "Bitcoin is not crypto" shut up you cultist.

      @cronaldopwns@cronaldopwns11 ай бұрын
    • Hes actually educating you. Crypto = Hidden Failing to distinguish from a transparent surveilled ledger and real private, untraceable ledgers is the first sign that someone hasnt done a shrew of serious work on the subject.

      @user-lt6kk9yc6o@user-lt6kk9yc6o11 ай бұрын
  • How could anyone be wrong about COVID in every particular? To start, we are NOT better prepared "for the next one." Here's just a sprinkling: 1. Well-founded mistrust in established authorities, without any viable substitute (we can't trust them anymore, but no one is coming up who is better); 2. Mitigation measures such as masks either don't work very well, or, such as lockdowns, do unforeseeable harm that offsets their benefit; 3. There is evidence that COVID weakens many people's bodies permanently, not just those who were very sick, and we don't know the full extent of it yet; That's a mere start. Taleb _is_ brilliant --- _and yet._

    @l.w.paradis2108@l.w.paradis21085 ай бұрын
  • Crypto will be here long ago after Taleb and Bloomberg.

    @blag6666@blag666610 ай бұрын
  • Can't Taleb afford some socks? Great interview, other than being totally wrong about BTC.

    @georgegale6084@georgegale608411 ай бұрын
    • It's a European fad

      @moa3810@moa381011 ай бұрын
  • When someone is mumbling it means he knows what he’s saying is not important.

    @BreezeTalk@BreezeTalk11 ай бұрын
    • This interview is mostly useless.

      @BreezeTalk@BreezeTalk11 ай бұрын
  • Maybe epidemiologists are better prepared for taleb after learning from watching him go after economists

    @guharup@guharup11 ай бұрын
    • Epidemiologist here. I've been following Taleb for some time. He kept me anxious through the whole CoViD-19 black swan 😂

      @honjokun0615@honjokun061511 ай бұрын
  • :-) joy

    @rahuldevgun8703@rahuldevgun870311 ай бұрын
  • Keeping this to myself isn't a good idea, I decided to tell everyone so you guys can all benefit from this. People keep talking about Stacy Garric but I never knew how her software works until she show me, I will forever be grateful for her strategies of making big profits....

    @Simoncharles991@Simoncharles9917 ай бұрын
    • You are right, to be a successful person in life require him or her of hard work and time

      @DalisayLigaya796@DalisayLigaya7967 ай бұрын
    • You are right. Been thinking of going into gold and cyptocurrency

      @Simoncharles991@Simoncharles9917 ай бұрын
    • It's obvious everyone is doing this online Investment

      @jasonsimpson7233@jasonsimpson72337 ай бұрын
    • Investment is the key to achieving success with the current pandemic slowing down so many businesses aww

      @MonroeCrawford@MonroeCrawford7 ай бұрын
    • Talking about been successful. I know I am blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone is as spectacular as Stacy Garric

      @Daniel.Porter.@Daniel.Porter.7 ай бұрын
  • Fooled by Randomness will change your life.

    @muddi900@muddi90011 ай бұрын
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