Ukraine War Update NEWS (20240503c): Geopolitical News, No Free Lunch & US Is Not World Police
Here is today's UWU NEWS giving you all the nuggets you need to add to your understanding of events.
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0:00 Start
0:10 Geopol
1:10 Macron
14:11 Geopol cont.
24:34 China
43:00 Georgia
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Sorry about this being a long one. I don't think I will have time for mapping today.
No worries!
All good. I love me some extra geopolitics. Cheers 🍻
No problem, hope you can get to sleep early 😴 ❤
Can't do what you cant do JP 😊
No Worries! Having Cocktails anyway!
One of the most encouraging thing about the Georgian protests was the footage of the protestors cleaning the streets after the protestors had gone home for the night . That showed to me that the Georgians were seriously nationalistic and really wanted to better their country . Nothing says we love our country & community than cleaning up the mess you have made They have my admiration I am reminded of Kons post from a couple of weeks ago about the difference between Western police who protect the people & russian police who protect the government.
Brilliant things in Georgia I am in love with the population keep it up Georgia.
Thanks JP and team. Hope everyone has a wonderful weekend.🍻
Happy weekend Lada 🍻 🤗
Wish you a great weekend also 👍😊
Legend of The Universe 😎 Thankyou ✨
Thanks for all your amazing diligence and thoughtfulness JP. You are seriously close to being and actual legend.
thank you for your usual insight. Waiting for the third book so get onto it please! 💕
In case anyone is wondering, the burning building in Berlin is part of Diehl Metalworking (supplies parts to automobile industry), NOT Diehl defense.
Anything to do with the Tesla plant?
@@Michael57825 no idea. Not directly, anyway. Feel free to google if they provide some parts, but they are rather small fish...
Hope that is true, Europe need to step up surveillance and protection of this sort of critical infrastructure and also detection of and act upon malign activity and actors inside Europe.
@@Michael57825that could be burnt down ❤😂
I was living in Los Angeles when the Rodney King riots happened. It definitely felt like society had gone off the rails for a while. Curfew, national guard, looting, fires. Then I lived in New Orleans for Katrina. Again it felt like everything we take for granted as a modern society was gone in a flash. It’s a strange feeling! Now we’re staring down the barrel of World War. Reminds me of the old curse, “May you live in interesting times”.
Dang. Disasters seem to follow you around.
I cant believe Latvia are only now building defensive trenches beings next door to Russia.
Thanks JP, TEAM have a great weekend!!!!
Our governments including France know something that not they're sharing with the public. And it's serious.
Absolutely… You should look into Project 2025. It’s basically Trump’s plan to become dictator. It was created by The Heritage Foundation, which is probably funded by Putin.
Absolutely. You should look into Project 2025. It’s basically Trump’s plan to become dictator. It was created by The Heritage Foundation, which is probably funded by Putin.
Evening JP Greetings troops 👍🖐
Good evening John 🤗
Hey and to you 🖐😊@@surpriseitsus9622
Good evening to you John👋
🌾💙💛🌻 ....didn't seem like a long one..just felt it was a really good one ❣️ Thank you
Thanks for Geo update today. It was the best. You are the best!
This was such a great video. Thank you Jonathan. Take care team!
Thank you Jonathan ❤ Love to all ❤ Slava Ukraini ✊️ Heroyam Slava ✊️ 🇬🇧 ♥️ 🇺🇦
Hi Nikki
@@Finnishguy777 👋 😊 Hiya Tomi 🫂 ❤️
2nd amendment baby...is my insurance...against chaos.
Elect Trump and it'll be gone in less than 2 years.
Regardless of the side of the isle, the US will stand against Russia. We literally have to. Doesnt matter if you are red or blue. The only question is how we do it. So we leave the responsibility to our allies as we contain China, where Europe will take minimal part in. So naturally they should pay for their own lunch by facing russia in their own theater... it just makes sense. We should only be needed if Europe fails which would be a monumental failure solely on europes part purely due to neglect.
The Russians lose rough 168 tanks in April according Andrew Perputa. Only 14 tanks were T 62 tanks+ 0 T54+T55 tanks meaning that a high percentage of these of current Russian tanks in Ukraine are these relics. According Covert Cabal 570 tanks were T62+T54+T55 out a total 3400 in storage. I have seen many T54+T55 in Andrew Perputa causalities meaning they used as mobile artillery.
👋
That's rubbish $3 Billion. If every Country pledged $10. That would fly through every Country. Even $5 adds up!
Hi team, did not get notification on this either yesterday so watchin it now.. Thank you JP
Red lines; - How come China constructed runways illegaly on artificial islands in the South China sea and no stick was shown?
Was there someone there that wanted weapons donated to defend themselves?
The US and the Philipines are close. Possibly. But that wasn't the subject, Red Lines was. Nice try.@@ericmaclaurin8525
Great vid! Thank-you JP and gang :) A question: Following UK's blessing to Ukraine to hit targets within Russia, does that suggest that longer range Storm Shadows may be in Ukraine's future, sooner rather than later?
Yes.
@@sirsmeal3192 Thanks
Trump was telling Europe to prepare years ago. They needed to be at 2% half a decade ago. Now theyre late on their own bills and need to catch up. So 3% when your enemy is literally at the door is more than sensible... I do appreciate the attempt at an objective look though. Truly.
Should be 5% now.
Russia is at > 40%.
Actually GW Bush, then Obama told NATO to get with the program and get their defense spending up to par. Trump was just the first president to give the russia permission to invade a country that didn’t “pay their dues.”
@@LadaGaga93 Perhaps because they didn't listen for over 2 decades and Russia was clearly preparing to invade after they had already taken Crimea... Europe deliberately dropped the soap with Putin behind them... Giving a smile and a wink saying "oh Russia you wouldn't." For anyone to intervene at this point would be getting in the way of true love, decades in the making.
We don't take advice from criminals and sex offenders
Dugin is the New Zars Rasputin. But he's more like a clown to me, he does not have the manipulative skills of his Predecessor a century ago, he's a plump tool of Totalitarians. Dr. Gerdes mentioned an aspect of the interview where Dugin said that people DO NOT want to be individuals, but follow leaders. Spending their life in a cultified way being the tools of someone else. Let's see how many people really like his ideas, especially in the US.
Don't forget to exercise! I know you haven't been sleeping well, (probably thinking about Colby again, I don't blame you, he's a looker) but a day you don't exercise is a victory for Putin.
Doing something does not mean military equipment or action. It means sanctions.
06:35 I would substitute "protectionist" and "realist" with "introducing a clear selection bias aimed at prioritizing and aiding European economy and independent security". It's all in the phrasing ...
Luv that Geopolitickin with JP! 🙏🇺🇦👏
It is strange that when Russia ramps up its producion of arms that is considered a "drain" on its economy and not sustainable. When the US does the same it is hailed as a strong economic 'stimulus' in almost trikle down terms. Economics has a strong subjective element I guess. It isn't a science by any stretch of the imagination.
Therussians spin it rhe other way, Russia says they are booming and rhe war is sending the west broke
No, I did explain this a bit. It's a drain if it's a short-term thing that if it's a long-term strategy that exists through peacetime, then it becomes the norm. The US has been doing this 70 years. But the US also has all other elements of a powerful economy that Russian simply doesn't. Russia is almost entirely dependent for the increase in its GDP on the defence sector in a way that the US is not.
What part of building weapons you don't sell seems like building weapons you do sell? Russia has converted their entire economy to support the war and are throwing the product of all of that work in the garbage. Not to mention sanctions. The US is getting a ton of high paying jobs, has taken Russia's share of the global oil market and probably half of their weapons export business. Russia's economy is being laid to waste and much of it benefits the US.
The US economy is so much more diverse. Both countries have cheap labor ( Latinos ) Russia ( Centralasians ) whom the latter being abducted to the war.
@@Michael57825 Abolish "cheap labour". What are "latinos"?
The Belarus Russian border should be manned by France's troupes. Also French troops should be building back up fortifications,. behind the front line.
Good point. Also maybe even the Transnistria border too. I wonder how many UA troops that would free up?
If Republicans are smart, if the aid package does well in Ukraine, the ones who voted for it will campaign on how good it worked. They will get votes.
Thanks
Have to say my favourite videos are the military aid and geopolitical news at the moment 👍👍
The veneer of civilization is pretty damn thin. I've witnessed this more than once. You don't want it to happen in your own country.
Additionally, you can't imagine the things people will do or how shamefully they will behave, It's quite shocking. Ultimately we must remember humans are animals and given the opportunity there is an element that are willing to do anything.
15:30 - The Latvians are being quite the boy scouts these days ...
24:45 - The Russian economy strains itself to the maximum to exclusively feed a growing black hole ... while the rest of society is withering and crumbling at an increasing pace.
9:38 so now you're totally enrolled in the gang arms race. The exact thing our grandfathers put the UN in to end. Instead of claiming back our world police. Requiring a fraction of arms investment. And protection of human rights.
14:10 - Macron seems to include the entire European continent as a geopolitical block separate from NATO and the US, and beyond the current members of the EU. I've mentioned something similar in an earlier post while discussing the trajectory of Europe within the context of a divided global community. For the US, such a development could be beneficial, detrimental or both, depending on how and to what extent this is achieved as well as the ultimate objectives. France has had quite the equivocal attitude toward such questions in the past and still harbors a multitude of strategic objectives beyond what is encompassed by NATO.
Veg in Spain gives more revenue than crude in Russia per capita. What does that tell us? ChopChop Ivan.
J.D. Vance was also protecting russia's interest when it comes to the usage of frozen money.
Love French cars.........my very first car was a Renault Fuego 6-cylinder turbo bucket seat sport hatchback 1984-85? Loved that car.........
You make a strong argument, but I don’t see how my sons dying in Europe is be if it to me, and I don’t care if Earl over at the weapons plant loses his job
05:20 - Especially if those foreign troops are deployed to cover admin, training, logistics etc, which would allow the Ukrainian army to use its own troops more effectively and limit the number of Ukrainians needed to be conscripted. The same could be said for foreign skilled workers willing to come and cover jobs that are very much in demand, whether they be related to the war effort or purely civilian. Deployment of foreign troops to the front lines, however, would be a desperate measure only to be considered if the Russians break through and the Ukrainian forces are on the verge of (or already passed) total collapse.
@34:13 so BEFORE declaring the red line, have the consequences already set up and then use them. @46:59 it always surprises me how the police, in any country, seem to support these repressions. don't they have brothers, sisters, mothers, fathers, relatives, themselves, that support these ideals? how can they just go out there and beat people up?
Per art 5 ce ne SAREBBE abbastanza.. JAMMING ciber attack. Era stato detto che non solo UNA BOMBA È UN ATTACCO
i wonder, if France decided to send troupes in ukraine,would the british follow suit? I think that;s macron really meant.It was just a test for the allies
Nth Korea supplies weapons for use in Ukraine. Response UK supplies weapons to Ukraine than can be used in Russia. China supplies weapons for use in Ukraine. Response can be US supplies weapons to Ukraine for use in Russia, subject to restrictions (e.g. military targeting only etc.)
1st
Way to go Jason 🥇 🏆 ❤
It doesn’t matter what it looks like. Russia will still blame the west.
"Strategic ambiguity is a good thing". Well not when nuclear weapons are involved. And they are here. Perun's documentary on France's defence strategy contradicts what was said here that "France wouldn't use tactical nuclear weapons".
France knows better. Don't buy into political rhetoric.
Funny thing but doing what's moral turns out to be strategic. Not doing so may have made some of us rich, but it hasn't made us safe has it? I hope in the future a new political philosophy will replace realism - liberalism, humanism - that will set the strategy at doing both. We'd ALL be better off and will end up saving ourselves and the world. In some ways to me looking long term this is an inflection point, perhaps we're at the culmination of being realists not humanists.
i cant stannd vance and im very much a republican. Whoever trump pics for vp will be groomed to be the next trump. I really hope its someone whos not isolationist or just crazy like vance
30:30 "UN veto"? Why the change?
No change. They evidently get a veto. They are just not entitled to it.
I honestly think china are supplying russia with ammo guns and artillery shells and possibly missiles
North Korea and Iran are.
So if "there is no such thing as a free meal" what would France gain by sending troops to Ukraine to die? They have to do it anyway if things hot up because of the security guarantees that they gave to Ukraine in the Budapest Protokol. That was a free meal with no expected return on the 'investment' that France gladly gave because in 1991 nobody could imagine that Russia would invade Ukraine. Yelzin was glad to see the back of them because of diverse reasons.
France was not a signatory of the Budapest Memorandum. Russia, Britain, the U. S. and Ukraine were.
Macron genuinely appears to believe that the existential future of Francis linked to the EU and his challenged by Russia
@@sirsmeal3192 You forgot Belarussia. Those were the countries involved in the discussions and formulating the protokol. They found two other, more neutral countries to offer security guarantees. These were France and China. But a protokol isn't a formal treaty. It is more like a statement of intent so perhaps there were no signatures at all.
@@ATPGeo The idea of "no free meal" is somehow economic, right? It implies some concrete "return on the investment" as you put it. Banks and industry, which is where this analogy stems from don't make investments on a whim because the C.O. "believes" something. They commission a whole series of cost/benefit studies first. Then the decision is made that for example that a french car maker should amalgamate with a japenese one. It is a group decision. That actually happened, but with catastrophic results. If Macron is 'shortcutting' this process as Putin does then the chances of not getting a return on the investment increases. So you see 'there is no such thing as a free meal' thesis is out the window in terms of any scientific nomothetic (positivist) validity you might claim for it, because it often fails catastrophically. Politicians are only human. There are unintended consequences, rising prices, other wars, pandemics that effect the calculations etc. The "there is no such thing as a free meal" thesis could only retain some general truth content and relevance for geopolitics if we were to change its wording to: politicials generally expect a return on their geopolitical "investments and sometimes they might get one". But then we would have to ask how do we define that 'return on investment'? Subjectively as in whether those politicians thought it was a good idea, or inter-subjectively, as in history? I think this is philosophical 'deep water' but PJ just scratches the surface with this unscientific mantra.
Thats Europes fault not US. Youre supposed to already be spending that by NATO contract. US should have never have allowed Europe to not meet the requirements of NATO membership
It is *_NOT_* a requirement of NATO membership. It is a suggested level of spending to be ready for defense.
@@sirsmeal3192same can be said about article 5. Maybe the US should put the same effort toward honoring article 5 as Europe effort toward securing her own defense.
JP you forgot, a word Illegally. The french and Germans illegally protect their own industries hence if most members of a club don't follow the rules you leave the club hence why the UK left.
Can you tell me what is illegal about buying french cars?
@@ATPGeo it's illegal when the government gives backhands to the company making the cars cost much less than they should. That is why there is a German and French car industry and not a British one
JP and team if you haven't already you should watch "Steve Bannon finally got what he deserves" on Brian Tyler Cohen! Mark Elias is definitely worth supporting if Steve finds him so annoying!
Trump was just showing off, with his me too and more.
So the preeminent russian philosopher can not distinguish between a journalist & an interviewer So much for deep thinking
French troops and any others should go in under UN authorisation. RF ‘’representatives’’ are trespassers and can be evicted within a week by a simple General Assembly resolution. Then another week for Security Council authorisation. Have you gone off the UN issue?
I do agree that Europe should spend 3% on their own military industry, like we really need to get our own going. The other day when USA said they will get to 100k per month arty ammo I did the calculation and my country is doing 500k per month if we consider the size difference and we are getting it to 1m per month if we would be the size of USA(yes USA is 60 times bigger in population so 200k times 60 is 12m a year and yes that 200k includes all sorts of ammo). My point is that even USA needs to invest more into its military industry because 100k per month is way too little and if we then included all NATO countries and use that same 100k per month for 333m people then its only 300k per month for the whole Alliance of 1b people. Still my tiny country manages to currently push 5 times more out and will hit 10 times more so NATO should at least have a combined production capability of 1.5-3m a month. So yes there is a great need to invest in European industry. Not saying that we are able to keep most trained while you others sit with wartime armies that are even smaller than ours... Like at least 5% of that 1b should be trained and in reserve so with a 50m trained pool we look a bit more dangerous. Use the professional armies then for that other stuff but for defensive purpose we need more reserves that are kept up to date.
Ben Hodges, Nikki, and Jack need to run for President of the USA
I would keep an eye on the huge fire at the industry plant Diehl Metal Applications GmbH in Lichterfelde in Berlin, making air defence systems for Ukraine. Could surely involve suspicious activity by RuSSian agents.
It's not, afaict, it's an automotive metal plant
USA have had 7 months of free lunch whilst everyone else carries them. Cheeky gits.
we don’t have to do anything Russia taking over Ukraine wouldn’t give them a border with USA and Ukraine isn’t economically important to us.
@@damarcusowens5511 Russia has a border with USA in Alaska. Russia wants to take Alaska back so they have a border closer to main land USA. Don't Americans think if they back Ukraine Russia will not be able to take Alaska. Be smart help the war on someone else's turf rather than wait until it's on yours.
@@damarcusowens5511 as for economically important to the USA, it is the single most important thing to USA economics. What do you think as been driving USA employment and economics for the last two years.
@@denismorgan9742 I’ve seen KZhead videos of Russia wanting to take Alaska back and I look at the comments and most of them have the same view point as me that view point is I wish they would try something can’t even take on the 2nd poorest country in Europe that you have a border with but you think you can go up against the richest country in the world that has the best navy so them getting here and sustaining supplies is near to impossible we would also see them coming and we have a better Air Force than they do and more planes and we are the most armed population on earth with allies all across the world who would help us. also Ukraine is not paying for this weapons American taxpayers are why should we keep adding billions into these multi billion dollar companies sure it creates jobs but so does infrastructure, and better pay for teachers and that would help out more Americans instead of helping the 1% of Americans that work in the defense industry.
@@denismorgan9742 I also just want to let you know I have nothing against you wanting to aid Ukraine sometimes I see videos and the war and I truly feel sorry for them but then I think all the problems my own country has and say one should come first but at the end of the day I know I’m not going to change your opinion on the war I just wanted you to know where I stand before you start calling me Ivan,Russia bot, or a trump supporter 🤣🤣🤣 they deleted my response to your response and I’m not writing it again.
Regarding to Trump that want to give immunity to police. Take a look at "Against all enemies" latest by Charlie Sadoff. That is the kind of people he is talking about. 😡
Macron is 100% right 😊