Sinner Beats Medvedev from 2-0 Down to Win 1st Major at Australian Open '24 | Monday Match Analysis
On this week's Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross breaks down Jannik Sinner's colossal comeback against Daniil Medvedev in the 2024 Australian Open final to win his 1st career major title. We'll talk about Sinner's development from a eye-catching prospect to one of the best in the world. We'll discuss Medvedev's radical tactics that propelled him to a two-set lead. We'll cover why Medvedev's tournament was a resounding success despite the loss. We'll analyze Sinner's turnaround, including groundstroke adjustments, serve savviness, returns in play and forehand dominance. Finally, we'll explore why Medvedev changed the style that was working for him early and how the 5th set went down in favor of Sinner.
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I’m Italian and I can tell you that in the second set, when Sinner was down 5-1 on Medvedev serve, Simone Vagnozzi (which is the main coach in Yannik’s team, the one that even Darren Cahill said is quote “the main voice that speaks with Sinner”) told him “Use this game to try something new”. He changed a bit the position when responding to Danil’s serve and got that break. Even though he ended up losing that set, I felt like that was the moment in which Sinner really started to regain some confidence and to see that he could defeat Medvedev. Very crucial moment and great advice from a coach to stay calm in that situation!
That single break made him believe that he can win this match
Yeah, that definitely was the turning point. Don't forget Sinner went up 3-5 from 1-5 and then he also had a break point to go 4-5.
He earned the break because Daniil’s serve got way worse. 50% first serve in says it all
@@marchvertochko0056 yeah but Medvedev's serve got worse also because Sinner changed his perspective by choosing a new position
@@plelist2281 the position doesn’t matter because you still have to serve the way you always serve, there’s nothing you can do other than hitting with more power or accuracy. His level just dropped with the physique decline
Despite being so young, Sinner is so self-aware that he sacked his whole coaching team and got a guy that has previously coached 3 other champions.
Great
For sure Cahill is giving his contribution in the enormous improvement of Sinner but, as even Cahill has admitted, the main credit goes to Simone Vagnozzi.
In the 2nd set, Sinner was 1-5 down, I am crying inside, thinking OMG what just happened to Sinner’s game plan, and thinking of Gill’s preview analysis, exactly what Daniil had to do to beat Sinner, then he won the next 2 games even though he lost that 2nd set, I could feel momentum changing for Sinner’s side, and afterwards Sinner said in the press conference 4th set when he broke Meddy’s serve, he thought he got this, what a tough kid, I was so happy for him, congratulations 🥳 Gill for your work last 2 weeks, 🎉really enjoyed, thank you 🙏🏻
Doing it 2 sets to 0 down is really special. Sinner's mental level rose to the highest levels in the game in the last 2 years. Fantastic times in tennis!
Cause Medvedev was tired U genius
@@OshoLeeStop spamming the same dumb comment, you weirdo.
@@OshoLee A slam is a marathon not a sprint, so in the end the player who managed better the 2 weeks won. Not Jannik fault if Meddy spent so much time of the field against Rusuvuoori or Hurcacz
@@OshoLeeEven if that’s true, it is Medvedev’s own fault. He had some tough matchups sure, but he should’ve finished Ruusuovori off faster instead of going 5 sets, should’ve finished Borges much faster, and I mean the Hurkacz match wasn’t the most physical as it was mostly serve and return. Sinner had a pretty equally tough path to the final. He had to play Khachanov (defending semifinalist), Rublev (world #5 but granted not very threatening to top players), and Djokovic. Sinner only dropped one set in those three matches. He managed his energy by playing better tennis, whereas Medvedev wasn’t playing as well so he had to play more.
@@SJ-di5zu Same happened vs Rafa in the final 2 years back. He was tired there as well.
Sinner won it with a steady progress to his game over his few years on tour. Medvedev's opening tactics were genius.
As a Medvedev fan I really appreciate the angle you took about his latest 5 sets. I think the new way he played is a big win to him. Excited to see more to come in near future!
100%. Was thinking about what him being able to play like this could mean for his future! Big potential.
One thing to keep in mind: while Meddy’s grit and determination was incredible, he would’ve won this match had he taken care of business more efficiently throughout this tournament. Sinner was rightfully rewarded in the stamina battle for cruising through in straights in 5 of 6 matches. All in all, proud of both players and Jannik is a deserving champion!!
I tend to agree!
Nah, m*ddy is certified loser.
Big assumption he would have played like that in first two sets. He made that have lost in 3 staying back pushing and counter punching. Also Meddy only played all court match when he was in trouble in the early rounds. So he'd be entering the final having executed zero aggressive court positioning and volleying. You can change one thing and expect it not to alter another
I think Sinner facing a Djoko in day session that was having a shit ton of unforced errors, giving Sinner points relatively easily really helped. Plus it was in four sets. Djoko did say that Semi was one of his worst slam performances ever. Medvedev had to work his fucking ass off against Zverev, going five sets and probably only going to bed at 4am after that match, not to mention that 51 point rally!!! in the Zverev Medvedev match. I really do wonder what the matchup would be like if they were both evenly rested, Med's schedule/playing ended up being brutal. Plus Med also broke the record for most hours on court at a Grand Slam, 24 hours on court... I think it's amazing that Med lasted as long as he did tbh I wasn't even expecting him to win the first two sets.
Not deserving... Rather say lucky
I love what you said about Meddy in your preview and the point you make at 19:24 -that Daniil might not know how good he actually is-that he’s actually got way more tools than he knew and when I saw sets 1 and 2 I thought man, is this guy so elite and impressive. Even though he lost, I feel that he actually was the better player and that he lost because the fitter/fresher player won. Not discounting the victory but his inability to close out matches earlier cost him a lot of ability to sustain his level…but silver lining is that he knows what’s possible in the highest pressure situation.
Great analysis. The forehand is truly breathtaking and a large part of Sinner’s appeal - but his commitment to tennis excellence is really something to behold. I feel like Sinner’s purity of purpose was recognized early by the fans and perhaps a bit late by many in the media/podcast/youtube community.
Totally agree
I think Daniil getting tired does make sense in the long term. Yes, he dug into his reserves in previous matches and brought out his most aggressive tennis. However, everyone has their limits, and it’s just not possible to pull off a miracle every single time.
Meddy’s gonna learn from this. He’ll simply play way more aggressively and come forward more in early rounds. Then he’ll be able to easily grind out late tournament matches. As Gill made clear, the top players seem willing to change up their gameplay and adapt… Would Roger be an early model of that? Or Agassi? How far does this action go back? Anyways, Medvedev showed his willingness to change in this final. As I mentioned, Medvedev needs to do 2-3 aggressive sets each match early rounds. Save the grind for the final. Great point from Gill about Medvedev executing a new gameplan effectively and skillfully. I agree with Gill, media wants to boil down tournaments to the winners of them and surface level stats. The media don’t highlight any developments in players’ gameplay, skills, physical condition and conditioning, or mentality. We need to be aware of players’ developments apart from their stats. That 3-3 4th set analysis was awesome
Gill always does a great job, a great channel, keep up the great work.
Gill you’re entirely justified in being proud of your match preview. I managed to catch the first two sets of the final live, and I was thinking to myself “Wow. Gill could not have been any more spot on in his assessment of the unique tactics Medvedev would have to implement to win.”
Medvedev let Sinner back into the match. He had to find a way to keep being aggressive in the 3rd set but I think his body just gave up on him at that point. Edit: But yeah I agree with your analysis, he stopped playing this way because of the pressure of the finish line.
Gill thanks for all the coverage throughout the tournament - we do appreciate you. 🙏🏾
We were at the match and I turned to my partner in the second set and said "Meddy is being ao aggressive, he must have watched Gill's preview and used the tactics" 😂 but you called it right all the way to the end. What a win for Sinner, so proud of the way he held his nerve and fought to the end. A well deserved champion!! 🇮🇹🥕🤩
I'm so happy for Sinner!! Great analysis but Gill please remember that the technical coach is not Darren Cahill but Simone Vagnozzi.. generally on the internet I read too many compliment for him and everyone always talk about Darren but funny enough on 5-1 second set it was Simone who told Sinner "try to do something different" and what happened? First break for Sinner. So please guys give Simone Vagnozzi more credits! :)
I hope people allow him to enjoy this victory and not start making predictions of him winning 10, 15, 20 slams like they did with Carlos.
Sinner will win 50 grand slams for sure /s.
Yep, I even remember people doing the same for both Thiem & Medvedev when they won the US Open (claiming they would get at least 5 Slams). I don't think people understand just how few players win multiple Slams, especially because the Big 3 just make/made it look like clockwork.
True but meddy and Thiem are no by any means complete players. Sinners not far off already! @@agentahmed7350
Totally. They put way too much pressure on. Let them grow into their own potential.
Yea defo.But I also bet ya that Jannik's already thinking about his next cause his mentality seems to be elite.Winning from 2 sets down to win your 1st is special.Also I think he'll be looking to match or even overtake Carlos' tally due to the friendly rivalry they have(Jannik leads 4-3 in h2h).
Good morning from Australia, 🇦🇺 I was waiting for your analysis video since I wake up this morning , Thank you 🙏🏻 Gill,
Pushing Sinner to 5 sets was a victory of sorts for Medvedev, given his depleted physical resources. If Sinner wasn't so mature mentally, I'm confident Medvedev would have gotten through the match in three sets.
No, if Meddy could’ve maintained his level and didn’t miss his opportunities, he would’ve taken this. He could’ve easily forced tie-breaks but he gave up his serve at the exact same score of 4:5, where he started making a lot of unforced errors with barely making first serves
@@marchvertochko0056yes.made those mistakes due to his physical state late in those sets.
Ah, yes. The proverbial if. We just can’t help ouselvels, can we? If Sinner weren’t so mature… If Meddy maintained his level… It’s a pointless but still very enticing exercise.
@@marchvertochko0056You’re not wrong there. Medvedev needed to pull out a couple more holds in sets 3 and 4, and really test Sinner by making him win them in tiebreaks. Winning a tiebreak when you’re down 2-0 or 2-1 is an immense amount of pressure. Also Medvedev had a couple opportunities on Sinner’s serve in the third set, including a break point and a 0-30 game (I believe separate games). Sinner even said “I’m dead” at 4-4 40-40. So it’s not like Medvedev was being thoroughly outplayed throughout the set.
@@SJ-di5zu interesting insights, thanks for sharing them!
I am so sad Meddy lost. I felt after the painful loss to Rafa in 2022, he really deserved to win this.
Well, that was just as inspired as your preview for this match. Thank you.
What a fortnight for Jannik. He deserves this so much and should be the first of many. Really happy for him but gutted for Daniil
Congratulations for your excellent analysis!!!❤ Good morning from Greece 🇬🇷🇬🇷
WOW congrats man, that was a spectacular analysis! Thank you, really enjoyed it.
This was a 10/10 analysis. Thanks for putting that together. Impressive amount of work mate
Thank you for all the videos of this year's AO. What a tournament! I am a relatively new tennis watcher and your videos add a lot to the overall enjoyment.
Thanks for all the awesome coverage during the AO Gill! A lot of hours and thankless time spent (and sleep lost). I for one am super appreciative of your efforts!
In the latter games of the 5th set, we could see it as Meddy reverting to type. But it also made sense to test Sinner's nerves to see if he would still attack and go for the lines with the finish line so close. And so it wasn't a bad decision for Meddy to go slightly passive at that point in the match.
Your preview was spot on! Got a lot from hearing it and then watching the match
In a way this GS final is a win win for both players. Sinner being the champion gives hope for the next gen of tennis players. Medvedev being up 2 sets twice in 2 finals is also a big narrative. It shifts the perception of the public from him being a not so nice player with his past antics to someone who is gracious in defeat. It also shifts the public sympathy towards him and would make people root for him in the future cause Dannil winning would be another rise from the ashes feel good story. Daniil gained a lot from this match too.
Medvedev found a winning formula for 2-out-of-3 matches
Well said! 😊
Wonderful breakdown and putting everything in to context, I loved this video! Thanks Gill! One of my favorite matches in some time for sure, I thought what Medvedev did was so amazing, he almost deserved to win, unfortunately for him only almost. Sinner has really arrived, I did not think at the start of the Aussie open that he'd win it, but I think he'll be a force to be reckon with for the rest of his career. By the way, I'm also surprised that Alcaraz called it, that Sinner would win a slam - what he also called was, Sinner would become world number one in 2024, I'm very curious to see if that will happen :)
Coming here to listen to "congratulations to Jannik Sinner and his fans" haha thanks, Gill. Sinner's returning skills are amazing, nice that you talked about them. This was the most impressive match of Jannik's career, such resilience, focus and effort. After such brutal 2 first sets, I thought there was no way for him to dig himself out of that hole without rising his 1st serve percentage. Fortunately, he was able to do that, return better and make the adjustments to get the win. As always, thank you for your careful analysis. I agree with you on Medvedev showcasing some great additions to his game, and it's actually quite impressive he's made the final given the fact his draw was the hardest out of the top 4 seeds. In my opinion, he couldn't keep up the aggression because he's not used to playing like that for so long. Also, I think Jannik's adjustments might have gotten into his head a little bit. A great run nonetheless, and a whole season to see how he plays from now on.
Great great analysis!!!
Well done Gil on this whole tournament! Excellent coverage.
When I was at Sinner’s third round match against Baez, someone in the crowd yelled out, “Winner winner, I want Sinner for dinner!” Now that Sinner has the title, I hope he took that guy out for a nice meal.
Medvedev ran out of gas, but Sinner never let him off the hook. It was a very mature performance in his first grand slam final.
Excellent Gill. Thank you
Great video
One of your best breakdowns Gills. GG.
Absolutely love your insight to tennis 🏆 incredible!!
I think you have a misunderstanding about the fatigue tennis players are experiencing in matches. Running all over the court is not the problem, the most tiring thing is getting your legs into the ideal hitting position. Medvedev barely played one and a half set of attack game, more than that, your legs get tired and you start to misfire everything. So rest of the match Medvedev was forced to play his usual game but he had no gas to play that effectively against Sinner's fresher legs. It's not a mental issue or even a decision, he just couldn't attack anymore.
Totally agree. If Meddy could maintain that type of attacking plays effectively in the whole BO5 match, he would already be the number 1 in the world, and would have multiple slams under his belt. It's impossible to play that type of tennis for a prolonged period of time (even for Federer in 2017), let alone be short of stamina, and against someone who is that good in defense and offense like Sinner.
Awesome analysis ...new subscriber here ..keeo it up
Excellent analysis! Congrats to Jannik on winning for first GS title! 👏😍
Man your videos are really really good. I’ve been playing tennis since I’m 8 and your analysis make a lot of sense from a viewers and practical perspective. Keep up the great work!
This was one of the most exciting grand slam finals in a while for me. Obviously Alcaraz/Djokovic was great in its own historic, iconic way, but this was a tactical battle and really fascinating one, especially with Sinner being a first time finalist. The moment this matchup was official, I was exciting. Also great showing for the “lost next gen” in Medvedev and Zverev. They showed off their endurance and veteran presence on tour in making the semis and producing probably the match of the tournament. Sinner is officially a slam champ and his rivalry with Alcaraz is picking up. I hope they play a slam final; perhaps Wimbledon or USO? Can’t really see Jannik getting a final at RG just yet, although his rally tolerance and power is seriously making me consider if he can… Sinner with a beefed up serve right now is scary. He has top 10 if not top 5 groundstrokes on both forehand and backhand, excellent movement, and is one of the best returners in the world. His slice can use a little work but it’s coming along, same with the net game, but they’re good enough. His movement is elite. Now add in this beefed up serve bailing him out in tight positions? And his clutch play lately? I mean, he could be set up for a monster season.
Sinner sinner grand slam winner Winner sinner chicken dinner Congrats to sinner 🥕💪🏽💯
Sinner disadvantage: first ever major final and the pressure that would be there. Medvedev disadvantage: the amount of time on court. Had Medvedev been fresher, he wins imo. I don't say that thinking he is the better player overall, but that Sinner hadn't ever faced that type of pressure before, and Medvedev having done so numerous times.
You nailed it alright. Top thought
Props & Kudos to Yannk for coming back from 2 sets down and take out Meddy in (ironically enough) in Meddy style! The way Danil outlasted Sasha seems like the Premonitional match for the Final! Yannik's legs held up. HIs bulking up and tactics and serving and baeline play all solid, potent & lethal! Thanx Gill. Cheers, Milan
Great analysis Gill. Sinner was a well-deserved champion, beating 4 Top 15 seeds, 3 top 5 seeds (1, 3 and 5), including the World No 1 and 10-time champion - to win his first GS.
Really the best tennis analysis i have seen, i wish you could do a commentary on live broadcast as most of the commentators on the live broadcast do not give any interesting insights
Between Alcaraz, Sinner, and Rune, the next gen inside-out forehands are absolutely beautiful… Alcaraz and Rune both do that thing where they wiggle around their backhand, pacing backwards powerfully before jumping into a huge forehand. Sinner’s is just brute power; almost Federer-like. These three are so refreshing to watch, and I’m glad Alcaraz and Sinner have picked up grand slams at such young ages. Shoutout to Rune who has made QFs at RG and Wimbledon already; he reminds me a bit of young Sinner right now. A top 10 player but with a lot of holes to iron out, especially durability.
"Shoutout to Rune who has made QFs at RG and Wimbledon already; he reminds me a bit of young Sinner right now." With all due respect, maybe the way they play, but very different in every other way.
@@joyrichards1419I clarified that in the next sentence. Their play styles really aren’t similar, but the point is Rune has the same durability issues and holes in his game to iron out, but is already top 10. That shows how dangerous he will be when he irons those kinks out just like Sinner has.
“we don’t have to be history books, we can be analysts” 🎉🎉🎉
A-M-A-Z-I-N-G!!!!! Forza Jannik!!!!
Meddy just went for the kill his plan was finishing in 3 giving it all then unfortunately he ran out of gas and Sinner took over
Nicyyyyyy ♥️
@@AshleyKarysI'm not happy with the results
@@kingnole4237 Hello King Nole! My heart is broken for Meddy. He’s one of my faves and I really wanted him to win this title. Such a heartbreaking loss for him. I hope he comes back stronger! And has his best season yet!
Sinner put his balls on Meddy's head😂
Looking forward to this deep dive ⚓️🚢 🗣 _Anchor!!!!_
Great analyses as ever, thank you Gill. you are quite some inspiration for me in a way of how to manage, present and go about the youtube video. and not only tennis video, I mean any video. now to the match. some points I want to make that you didn't make, which I feel might had been important. cca half into a second set I said, Jannik didn't arrived yet, but when he does, it is bye bye Medy. Jannik couldn't find his 1st serve, he played for time on court, meaning, not being aggressive, and it didn't worked. plus he was (I believe) quite shocked by the way Medvedev was executing his aggressive style of play. plus the nerves, being in a first Mayor final played a role in my view. 3rd set. I think, at this point Jannik is thinking: "ok, if I go down, and it looks like it, I wanna go down at least with my guns blazing." And those guns showed up for the fist time in this match, and they stayed there blazing 'till the end. 1st. serves back, yeah! Forehand firering, yeah! Jannik arrived and never looked back. It helped that Daniil didn't have much legs at the end ( he was still ok though- amazing), but at the end I think it would not make much of a difference. Once Jannik was in the match, there was no question for me about the outcome. Daniil has a genius tennis mind, but you know what? Jannik's game when it is on, it is like: "you know what? I don't mind your tricks, I got you, and there is nothing you can do about it." It took him a while, yes, but once he found his game, there was no doubt in my mind about the direction of this match. this is also a message to Carlos and Rune and others there, and the message is: I'm here, I arrived, and I'm not going back, only forward! so get ready, because I AM! I don't want to jump ahead of myself too much here, but I have to say it: what we witnessed here in AO 2024 from Jannik, might be the beginning of greatness. Only time will tell, but the signs are there.
Another soul-crushing defeat for Meddy. Guy is already getting used to it. Good for him. Means he wont stop trying.
Daniil said at press conference that he continued to play the same style in 3rd-5th sets. It's quite interesting because in fact he obviously didn't. So maybe fatigue was really too heavy to handle. Maybe he thought he was playing aggresively enough but the body was refusing him and turning to more familiar style.
Great analysis, Gill, it would seem to me that if Medvedev is standing in closer, then he’s having to play at a faster, tempo and rhythm and it’s taking more out of his legs because he’s basically playing faster and therefore he could run out of gas more easily. That could be a problem with his new strategy.
These are fantastic times in tennis. The depth and calibre currently is quite remarkable. You could be forgiven for thinking that the escalator of evolution had reached it's zenith with the relative failing of the next gen and the natural decline of 2 of the big three; but I think the standard now with maybe 4 or 5 players is as high as we have ever seen. That is super refreshing.
Poor Meddy was so unlucky to lose. He totally outplayed Sinner in the first two sets and the latter looked clueless and lost on court. Even in the third set, he was dictating points despite doing more unforced errors. At 4-5 the break happened and that changed the whole complexion of the match. Even then battled hardened Meddy was fighting like a warrior on court, but his bruised and worn out legs deserted him in footwork and he started over hitting a number of balls. You cannot blame him; he had spent 24 hours on court, the longest in men's tennis, six hours more than Sinner. More than Sinner it was the fatigue factor which vanquished Meddy. Now he has made six grand slam finals winning a solitary one. But he can take some comfort from Novak's record making 10 finals at US open winning just 4. 10 finals in Cincinnati winning just three.
Fantastic analysis, honestly the best there is amongst tennis commentators. I also thought it weird that Daniil would cite fatigue as the reason for reverting to his more normal patterns of play when the more aggressive style had worked so well in previous matches when he was tired. I wonder if it simply felt too tiring to him because, as you say Gill, it's not his natural game. He is going to be very formidable if he can start to incorporate the more aggressive style of play more often. I was a nervous wreck for this match and could not feel more proud of Jannik and excited to watch the continuous improvement he is so clearly committed to. Get some well deserved rest Gill 🙂
Gill, I have a question for you: how would you describe the color of the shirt that Sinner was wearing in this match? (The front part)
When it was 5-1 in the second set actually they told Sinner to move back when returning serve.
yes Vagnozzi told him to move back
Cynical Sinner vs Miracle Medvedev is a rivalry ILL NEVER FORGET
I agree with your assessment of Medwedew feeling the pressure and therefore not being able to execute his attacking game. You could see it when he tried, he lacked conviction. I think it was a combination of both - tightness and diminishing quickness - that led to his lower groundstroke speed. That diminishing quickness was also apparent in his running game and reaction to Sinner's winners.
Playing all those sets cost Medvedev big time! It was a pretty much a miracle that he made to the second week, let alone the final. Sinner was the best player throughout the tournament - which paid off for him. I had Sinner as the key person to alter the usual outcome of the tournament. Thank goodness it came to fruition! So I had Sinner winning the AO, regardless who would be in the final. Congrats to Sinner, and Meddy, great effort! He was so close again...Fair analysis, Gill.
On the "tired vs pressure" controversy for Meddy....what is more demanding? Running from corner to corner or hit hard and stay aggressive? Well I would say it is the hardest to do both at the same time :). Anyway, great analysis! Forza Sinner!!:)
I love Sinner's game and I'm over the moon that he won the title, but he does have to focus on that forehand (and even to an extent the backhand) drop-shot. A lot of the time it's a gimme for the opponent because it doesn't land short or low enough and should be an easy put-away for opponents. I love this kid and I hope genuinely that he plays top tier tennis for years to come.
So happy for jannik sinner congratulations for the winner🇮🇹👏🏆✨️✨️
Happened exactly what i thought would happen. Meddy went on a flying start,as agressive as he ever was ,servibg big. He stunned Sinner. But he couldnt do it all 3 sets to finish the story. All these hours on court in previous rounds cost Meddy too much. Again lost a final being 2 sets up,well, not goof for Meddy,but he will recover. Well done Sinner,i said he would win this tournament and he did.
Daniil played an amazing game today, the best out of any other match this tournament. This entire tournament it felt like he was showing his worst performance ever compared to his finals on other grand slams and spent the most amount of hours and sets ever in the history of grand slams. But this time, despite his gruelling and taxing matches, it was different: he adjusted his game, started being more aggressive, was dominating in every aspect of the game (you can’t just say Yannik was playing bad, because Daniil made more unforced errors and his 2 set first serve was 15% less consistent than Yannik’s). Then he just misses a plenty of opportunities to earn a break in the next sets off of Yannik’s second serve by making tons of unforced errors off of neutral positions. It was painful to watch. He eventually loses both sets in the same fashion: both sets are pretty tight with chances from both sides, but he gets broken at the exact same score at 5:4 on his serve with him literally failing to make first serves and making unforced errors. The difference between the first two sets won by Meddy and 2 next sets won by Yannik is that Daniil was dominating, while Yannik just won with Daniil’s poor performance on his serve. Both sets he lost were super tight. Medvedev just failed to stay clutch throughout the whole match and gives it to Yannik, who wasn’t playing his best tennis in any of the sets. Another great opportunity missed by Meddy to win a grand slam. This time, it might hurt even more than on AO 2022. Hope he recovers fast. But to me, he proved that he’s still able to compete with the best players in the world and cling big titles
Great analysis as always! Gill, can you compare Zverev's loss in semis to this Medvedev's loss? I read many comments that Zverev chocked, but Medvedev's loss wasn't as well ? Both had come out playing aggressive tennis in 1st 2 sets, both looked tired in a 5th, neither had a lead in a 5th. Thanks
When are u guys going to record for three? Can't wait to hear what Amy and Joel have got to say
Fantastic analysis Gill, but I’m going to slightly push back on one thing. Not saying I disagree with you, I think you likely are correct that Daniil reverted to his usual gameplan because of tightness rather than fatigue. However, I have to say, I’m a defensive grinder, I’m super fit…when I do start to fatigue in that third or fourth hour of tennis, I find it easier to move side to side than to explode forwards or consistently prepare earlier and hit bigger. When it comes to moving side to side, you always get that little half second of rest just before split stepping that helps recovery. But when coming forward or trying to stay on your toes while aggressively volleying, I find that’s a more anaerobic activity that strains me past my fatigued limit. But again, I think you’re more correct, he probably got nervous and went to his bread and butter. Just wanted to give the opinion of a defensive player that can move side to side all day long.
Just like 2022, i went to sleep after meddy bagged two sets and then woke up in the morning to get a shock. 😅
Noticed the bh errors, but cudnt see what brought it on - Gill noticed Meddy not getting down into it in the same/usual way. Re serve return position, curious why any receiver wud alert the server in this way (unless to confuse/intimidate). Why not adjust just as the server looks up for the ball toss. Its still a guessing game, but at least you havent signalled which way you are thinking. But what do I know about receiving serves😅.
While fully appreciating Gill’s meticulous & candid commentary- I wonder if there is a good reason he avoided even a brief reference to the extraordinary women’s’ final in Madrid. Even if he is only focused on men’s’ tennis- any tennis aficionado must acknowledge the 125mph serves & 78mph FHs displayed by Ariana & Iga. Their 3 hour match equaled any of the men’s’ matches.
Sinner is an inspiration
Thanks Gill, loved the match, but for Meddy reverting to habit & then losing the 5th, but Sinner stepped it up and kind of forced his hand - the tiredness was probably more mental & coincides with the pressure exerted by Jannik, so you & Meddy can both be right😊. Next time Meddy!! And a well deserved new Champion! Played amazng, loving the new form & fitness we've see since the back end of '23, he stood up to all the pressures on him, so Thank you Jannik!
When is the three tennis coming out ?
Darren is not Sinner's coach, he oversees the team and brings a wealth of experience as a coach of other successful players. I have the utmost respect for him as he comes from my hometown of Adelaide but you need to give credit to Simone.
Yeah Darren said he is responsible for the mental side, but when it comes to actually training on court Simone is the main man.
I agree. Simone needs more credit. Darren is usually the one speaking with the media (at least in English) so when I share quotes or insights from "Sinner's team" it's usually Darren.
Rublev being 0-10 in Major Quarter Finals needs to be studied.
Does it? He loses to better player every time. He is like Taylor Fritz, one dimensional. Fritz benefited from wide open draws and Rublev hasn’t
@@vivahernando1Rublev lost to Tiafoe at USO2022 and Cilic at RG2022 (Cilic is in his mid-30s and has never been good on clay). Those two, especially the latter, are huge missed opportunities and opponents I feel like Rublev would’ve beaten had it not been the QFs. The other 8 matches have been tough opponents, but at the same time, you’re in the QFs! You should expect to be playing Djokovic, Medvedev, Nadal, Sinner, Tsitsipas. The issue is also that Rublev has barely even won sets off these guys. He lost to all of them easily. So it’s a mix of what you say. He’s lost to better players often, yes, but he also does underperform significantly in QFs. It’s kinda amazing he made 10 QFs though.
I'm a sinner fan and the moment he broke in set 2 it would be a match. I was thinking "surely medvedev's level will come down" and it did and quite frankly it relieved me
Sorry but since you forgot to activate the subtitles my English doesn't allow me to follow what you're saying well, I hope you notice it for the next videos and why not also for this one here
Hey Gill! Good analysis! I just wanna say that one thing you didn’t completely get is why Medvedev said he didn’t continue playing aggressively in last three sets due to fatigue, I wouldn’t say it’s physical, but mental fatigue. Playing completely different game style than your usual is very mentally draining, as you have to be so much more aware of your court position than doing your usual tactics without too much thought put into it. Also being physically tired makes your mind being more clouded as well. One more thing I wanna add is the importance of the end of the second set, when Jannik broke back from 1-5 down, got back to 3-5 and almost got another break back. From there it was obvious that we got the match going, as Sinner started to pick up on what he has to do to push Medvedev into thinking more and doing less. Anyways, keep up the good work! And get some sleep 😂
Hey Gill, thanks for the vid as always :) I'm not sure if I interpreted what you were saying correctly - haters giving you a hard time about your prediction? I hope that's not the case - to me, your vids are about excellent analysis and expert knowledge, and that's why I watch them. Not for the predictions (although it's always fascinating to hear them!) I assume there are people watching your vids so they can place bets on them. The thing is, this is sport. Rafa says this all the time. This is sport - it's unpredictable! Even the best analysts get it wrong at times. I've been following (and playing, and coaching) tennis for almost 30 years... I consider myself very knowledgeable, and yet I still regularly get the results wrong! Haters gonna hate - I'm here for the high quality content. Cheers :)
Agree 100% on Medvedev. This final performance was impressive. It will go down in the books as a defeat but we don’t have to treat it like that. He lost the match but he won my love and respect.
Jannik has definitely improved in all areas. Before Cahill’s appointment, I thought he was good at keeping the ball on the court but struggled to hit past the best players in the world. Then in 2022, he began slapping the ball hard from both wings but didn’t have the best consistency - hitting many more UEs than before. Now, I think he’s able to slap the ball hard without making UEs. I also believe that to become potentially the best player in the world, you gotta be different from any tennis player from the past and Jannik is definitely unique (I wouldn’t have said this back in 2021) in the same way that Alcaraz and Medvedev are or Rafa and Novak were in the 2000s.
i feel so bad for medvedev
Medvedev was looking like Federer in the first set. I thought sinners adjustment to move back on the serve and in rallies bothered mevedev enough to fall back to habits
meddy played far more tennis than sinner so he ran out of gas mid-match and lost
I feel that the way Meddy played in the first two sets, it would be impossible to beat him in 3 set hard court tournaments.
Surprise comeback!!
I broadly agree with Gill that part of what went wrong for Daniel Medvedev was he became too conservative in the 3rd set & even late in the 2nd set when he went 5-1 up probably because he started thinking about winning & the end result. Jannik getting that break back from 5-1 down in the 2nd, was the beginning of Jannik's comeback even though he lost that set. Then it became harder for Daniel to execute his successful tactics thereafter as he did get tired & nerves became an even greater factor. It became a two way street for Daniel as Jannik's level just got better and better from 3-3 in the 4th set & at that point Jannik just outhit him from the back of the court. To execute Daniel's shorter point style he needed to maintain that high level & at least match Jannik from the back of the court. That is what Gill perhaps has missed here. To beat Jannik Sinner & probably any other player in the modern men's game you have to at least match them from the back of the court & in that sense Daniel was being honest in his interview. Plus Sinner's serve improved to the extent that Daniel just could not execute that strategy any longer. Against Hurkacz Daniel could still match him in the 5th set & outmatch Zverev from the back of the court as well, but Jannik's level was simply too high in the middle of the 4th and all of the 5th set for Daniel to be able to return to this strategy. Another way of looking at this match is once Jannik started to believe he was a chance & then started to win Daniel was not able to contain the unstoppable force that Sinner became.
Welp - when Medvedev was able to play like Djokovic in the year end championship and dictate points and keep Sinner on D - he stayed out front. When he fell back to counterpunch mode and stop dictating he didn’t have much chance other than hanging in with his serve because when Sinner can step in and dictate you don’t have much chance other than trying to get balls back. All the 5 setters didn’t help. Looking forward to a Sinner Alcaraz major final
Not to take the win of Sinner, I can say in behalf of Medvedev, that he was physically exhausted by the 3 set. Remember he had to fight in 5 sets twice or thrice, and surely that was so exhausting for the body. Sinner had a better part in this tournament. He conquered all his opponents in 3 sets except Novak.
Congrats to Sinner and Cahill.
Hi Gill, did you notice that both the match points against Nole and Daniil come form identical shots? Probably the ball ended in very similar spots too. I thought this was kind of freaky 🙂
Reminds me of Nadal at RG2022 beating Djokovic and Ruud with backhand down the line winners on match point