What If Russia Broke Up?
2024 ж. 18 Мам.
887 774 Рет қаралды
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▶ In this video I talk about how Russia's regions are culturally different from each other. And how it isn't completely wrong to discuss the hypothetical situation of the country breaking up.
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*Are there any other countries you think could break up in a near future?* Important note: At <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="460">7:40</a> and <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="490">8:10</a> I accidentally mentioned the percentages of the 1926 census instead of the 2010 ones. My mistake - I'm sorry! I'll be more attentive next time so that I don't make this type of mistakes.
The UK? (Would be sad but tho)
@@nonameuserua 🏴
Spain, Romania (Hungary pumps lots of cash into the Transilvanian zones where hungarians live to get them on Orban's side - I know it's more political but that doesn't change the possibility), UK
@@Sahaib3005 really mixed feelings, buddy/sis
ok I understand
You made a mistake regarding Karelia, only 7,4% are ethnic Karelians. You used the figure from 1926 rather than the census of 2010. Seems unlikely that such a small minority could force separation
same with sakha
And in 2022 it could be more less then 7,4%
If it was made independent perhaps Karelians in Finland may want to return? Also Finish Karelia could be ceded to them making Karelia less Russian. Plus there may be many who just put Russian in the census but may be Karelians that are culturally Russian or people who don't know their ancestors were mostly Karelians and so identify as Russian. Additionally some ethnic Russians with no connections to the region may wish to move to Russia Proper in such a scenario.
Fun fact: There are more Belarussians in Karelia than actual Karelians. OMEGALUL.
Maybe only Karelian speakers could be given citizenship and others could be "convinced" to leave.
Tannu Tuva: *becomes independent* Hoi4 players ready to complete ,,Siberian Tiger" irl: ,,My time has come"
Tannu Tuva is communist Tuva, which is unlikely. It'd probably just be Tuva.
Tannu what?
@@saulgoodmanKAZAKH Chairman Xi approves.
@@saulgoodmanKAZAKH Tannu means "mountainous". In USSR it was Tuva Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic, today in Russia it's just Tuva Republic
Siberian Tiger IRL: dies from bombardments/economical collapse
Fascinating; I knew of some of these cultures,, but had no idea it was so complex and diverse. Thanks for posting! New sub here!
It isn't a beneficial for any country to be ethnically diverse, as can be seen from Russia.
@@herptek The US seems to have benefitted tremendously from diversity, proving countries are only imaginary constructs. In reality there is only one country and one ethnicity; Earth and humanity.
@@herptek wtf are you on about 🤡
@@herptek clearly you know nothing about Putin's politics
@@I-Nex Educate me about Putins politics, oh wise one. Russia is a carcass of revolutionary communist tyranny that inherited a gigantic multi-ethnic and multi-cultural, continent spanning empire.
Thanks for spending the time to create and share this content
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="31">0:31</a> It was a federation in Soviet times too, the Russian socialist FEDERATIVE soviet republic, RSFSR. It didn’t have to reinvent itself at all.
If a break up in Russia happens, Chechnya would most likely be the first to go. They fought 2 independence wars against Russia previously. They won the first war but in the peace agreements for it all discussions about Chechen Independence or autonomy where put on hold, and in exchange Russia withdrew troops from Chechnya. However they lost the second war, and Russia with the aid of Akhmat Kadyrov’s forces crushed the Chechen independence forces. Update: In the Summer of 2022, Ukraine became the First UN Member State to recognize Chechen Independence.
And now Chechnya takes lots of subsidies from the Moscow. That's the important case too
You mean the radical islamiats who tried to turn chechnya into afghanistan, those ,,freedom fighters" you are talking about right ?
Tatarstan will be first
@Kr. Zsófia chances are USA will not let Russian to be separated, as well as EU. It's good for them to have Russia as it is
@Kr. Zsófia I think they have what u called carte blanch
I don't want to see Russia broken up. I want to see it start to make the most of its peoples' potential and to stay the hell inside its own more than ample borders.
I feel as though Russia has a chance of splitting into east and west russia. Moscow and St Petersburg are litterally DIFFERENT WORLDS compared to how 90% of the rest of russia lives. Alot of russians outside of moscow and st petersburg complain about how these cities take all the tax money and never invest it anywhere else
One contradicts the other. The British empire was the last one to break up, partially due to complexity management challenges that hold development back.
Excellent. Our aspirations completely coincide with you. We, Russians, also want to stay within our own borders, and forget like a terrible dream about how whole huge chunks of territories that historically belonged to us are falling off from our country. Like Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan.
Fact. It was only when Russia started doing this in 1917 that the whole world turned away from it.
@@BarmaglotBatkovich Russians have been magnificently failing in the aspiration to stay within their current borders for a long time, maybe focus on that.
Я если честно, почему-то хочу заметить такой момент. Если сравнивать горожанина из Новосибирска и из Москвы, можно заметить, насколько более религиозным является Москвич. Есть несколько регионов, где нерелигиозных людей больше половины. Например вышеупомянутый Новосибирск имеет 25% атеистов, и 35% деистов, и всего-лишь 25% православных. Есть даже мнение такое, что большинство православных России - православные атеисты, что-то вроде культурного патриотизма.
Москваболее дремучая чем мы в Сибири, мы всегда надеемсятолько на свои силы
Што. В Москве религиозные? Каждый первый отвечает не на вопрос "Верите ли вы в Бога как православный?" а на вопрос "Вы православный, мусульманин или католик?" Даже будучи убежденным атеизмом, я отвечу что православный.
@@whythefuckineedhandle Там опрос был про православие и воцерковлённость. Формулировка опроса оч точная. Москва реально более религиозна, чем некоторые области в сибири и дальнем востоке. Вообще вроде самый нерелигиозный регион где-то на дальнем востоке находится. Вспомнить только, ситуацию, когда бизнесмен из Новосиба приехал в Москву с парикмахерской под названием "Детская пыточная", в которой что-то сатанинское обнаружилось только когда чел приехал в Москву, и когда к нему завалилась группа православных активистов с бабками. Тем временем в родном городе всем было либо плевать, либо все понимали юмор, что дети не любят стричься, потому "ха-ха-ха". Это конечно не особо выборка, но яркая штука, что в столице вообще существуют такие организации, и для кого-то сатанизм - не какой-то прикол, а что-то звучащее угрожающе.
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="490">8:10</a> you're looking on population of 1926 instead of 2010. Same with Karelia.
yeah, that was cringe
don't let facts stand in the way of the wet dream of "dEcOLoNiZiNg rUsSiA"
@@sodinc Cringe, lol
I think after napoleon and German unification broke the idea of city-states. Not entirely but in a modern world its extremely hard to survive if trying to be diplomatic to outside powers or economic conditions. You'd either need to be on the coastline like Venice or survive for so long it's impossible to imagine a world without them like Vatican was or the city of London is today
the vatican and city of london are sucking the world dry
I think that some could exist for example if Istanbul seceded from turkey it could work on its own
Yeah, Singapore is basically the closest equivalent to modern-day Venice. Other than them, other city-states are basically almost irrelevant and exist under the mercy of the regional powers around them, like Vatican, Monaco, Liechstenstein or Hongkong. But they are quite prosperous tho.
i mean they still exist just look at singapore, monaco, macau or hongkong. I actually think that they could become far more common in the future in a world which is moving away from the free market. Trading leagues and tax havens make for a good recipie for city states to thrive.
If they are inside polical/economic block like the EU, a city state should work because they would have the legal/economic/military protection of the rest of the members in case of abuse from an external power.
Wow, what a time to release this video. While still quite improbable, certain other improbable developments which influence the odds a put this question on some minds sure unfolded quickly right after this was published.
It's not a coincidence, the United States wants Russia to break up. It's easier to steal to smaller and weaker countries.
This will also put the fear and trigger to unite )
So, as a person living in Russia, I can say that the probability of the collapse of Russia is very small. Separatism has been minimal in our country since the end of 2000. But in the nineties, under Yeltsin, the situation was bad. There was a so-called "parade of sovereignties". This is a phenomenon when some subjects of Russia began to demand more autonomy. For example, Tatarstan or the Ural Republic. These "states" could hardly gain real independence, since they had no borders with anyone except Russia and did not even have access to the sea. Also, you probably heard about Chechnya, two wars took place there, it tried to separate from Russia. But after Putin's arrival, the centralization of power began, Chechnya returned to Russia, and the "parade of sovereignties" was over. This was probably done thanks to the privileges and guarantees of the elites of these subjects. Now the separation of these entities is unlikely, since they have a more or less good economic situation. (Not everywhere). For example, Chechnya was restored after devastating wars and now it is a fairly developed region of Russia. The peoples living in the republics are not infringed, but on the contrary, they are given various benefits. In all republics, in addition to the Russian language, there is a second regional language. For example, there are three languages in Crimea: Russian, Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar. And although less than a percent of the Crimean Tatar population uses Crimean Tatar, citizens have the right to speak and study in this language and no one will forbid it. Therefore, it is absolutely unprofitable for the republics to separate for whatever cultural reasons. The preservation of the culture of small nations is a distinctive feature of Russia's expansion. The Russians did not exterminate the indigenous peoples, like the Spaniards or the British, who exterminated the Indians. Joining was something like this: "Guys, we are joining you. You will pay us taxes. But we will not destroy your culture. Believe in your gods and speak your own language." But still there were clashes with the locals, but they did not acquire the character of genocide, as in America. An interesting fact: when serfdom was in Russia (this was when peasants were exploited at about the level of slavery), it spread mainly in central Russia and did not affect indigenous peoples. To sum up, we can imagine the following variant of the collapse of Russia: we are losing to Ukraine in the war and it reaches the borders of 1991. Because of this, Russia is becoming weaker. The conditional pro-Western Yeltsin 2.0 comes to power and a new "parade of sovereignties" begins. Chechnya as the most unstable region and probably some other republics of the Caucasus are dissatisfied with what is happening and decide to secede from Russia. Japan is given the Kuriles and probably Sakhalin. Kaliningrad could theoretically be given under the protection of Poland, Germany or the Baltic States, although due to the fact that the communists resettled many Russians there, it would be difficult, so instead of being directly incorporated into some European country, Kaliningrad could become a fourth Baltic country. Some small disputed territories may be ceded to Finland and China. It is unlikely to imagine that Russia will break up into more countries than I have described. It is likely that the remaining republics will require more autonomy and the Russian Federation will turn into a confederation without part of the Caucasus, Kaliningrad and some other territories.
What a load of propaganda bullshit!! You have a very twisted view of history. Stalin exterminated thousands of indigenous people. War criminal Putin is responsible for the deaths of 260,000 men, most of them from ethnic minority groups. Russia already had a low birth rate now there is NO future for any kind of "Russian Federation". The Russian Federation is a terrorist state and will be disarmed, dismantled and be held responsible to rebuild Ukraine for many, many, many years to come.
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="167">2:47</a> My hometown was mentioned in General Knowledge My day is saved
Thank you for creating such an interesting, informative video. I enjoyed a lot.
I suspect far east can't exactly separate that easily, considering the vast majority of farmland and other kind of food supply are located in the westernmost regions. Even if all those regions separated they're still kinda would be dependent.
My family is from the Far East. While the soil is not the best where we come from, my family grew everything themselves for generations, food was never an issue. So it is possible to grow food enough for the Far East there. Plus, we have plenty of fish and seafood. Seperation from Moscow for the Far East is possible and hopefully will happen one day🙏
@@nicazhu6131 one family or maybe even a small village is incomparable to an entire population sadly. Who's gonna feed those who live in industrial cities with no own land? With all due respect, i doubt you guys only eat frozen fish. A separation isn't gonna be a fun experience. Look how Britain feels about brexit now.
The problem with this video is that the ratio of indigenous peoples and visitors is taken a hundred years ago, I have a national region at my side, with a second state national language, with benefits and quotas for the indigenous population. What do you think how many of this indigenous population? Less than 10%. Will they revolt and secede? Firstly, there are few of them, and secondly, they will lose all benefits. This will never happen.
the problem of video is that it is focusing only on minorities, but not takes into account that some Russian would also want independence from Moscow for economical reasons. Most of the regions are treated like colonies, when federal government takes all the resources and gives back a little amount just to survive. Also Russians constantly living in ethnic Republic are more or less culturally closer to the minority, often they know the language, traditions and this makes them distant from Russians of `Russia proper`.
@@nikolaia.9573 They don’t know, there are not so many minorities even in national regions, and even these minorities already have little knowledge of their language and traditions, they maintain minority status in order to receive benefits, this is noticeable in schools for minorities, there is no attendance, but according to surveys, indigenous people.
@@nikolaia.9573 The problem with you is that you don't know History well. Russia will break up only if giant Asteroid hits
@@nikolaia.9573 Не всех длббов война ещё убила.
So you are confirming the ethnic abuses committed against indigenous minorities in Russia, where they have been decimated & oppressed to a minority status with tattered cultural heritage?
The Asian part of Russia is huge but virtually empty, except for a thin strech of land in the south along the borders with Kazakhstan, Mongolia and China. It could literally house the entire human population on Earth and not be overpopulated.
good point! one issue though... the Asian part of Russia is mostly uninhabitable!!! You literally can't produce food there. edible plants don't grow there and it's also too cold for cows, pigs and chicken. Although... I guess the climate change can make it habitable....
@@deus8546 In fact.... the land in Siberia is becoming more arable by the day.
@@deus8546 not really, go read a bit more about siberian agraculture its very interesting
@@deus8546 They say that Mars is uninhabitable but people seems to want to live there. Compared to Mars it's not cold at all there
@Lalleland Maybe huge scale Greenhouses could work, but that be overly expensive and not worth the effort.
Thanks so much for providing this informative video :)
I'm from "Permskyi kryai". The Permian period was also named as the city near which the first fossils from that era were found.
Do you want to separate from RF and live in Ural Republic?
@@rabbitatsa Personally, I don't. There doesn't seem to be any unrest in Perm.
it would be nice to unite Chelyabinsk, Sverdlovsk and Perm into the Ural province. Tired of maintaining the Caucasus regions
@@bakomz О Пермяк привет👋🏻
@@user-fi9yu9ui2p Привет я точнее из поселка Звездный немного южнее Перми.
Thank you for the great video! A little correction if I may: Turkic is pronounced “Tur-kick”, not “Tur-kich”, and Daghestan’s “gh” is a hard g as in garden.
I was thinking he's saying _Digestan_
@@ITentrepreneur Digestion
My family is half daghestani it is originally called "Dağıstan", with Turkish soft g. Means land of mountains. So your correction "Tur-kick" is right, but g is a soft g in Daghestan.
@@AB-ni8cv I know exactly how the g is pronounced in Dagestani or Turkish. But that soft g sound does not exist in English. I was only talking about the standard English pronunciation of the word Dagestan. In English, it’s pronounced with a hard g, where as in the video it was pronounced as j like Dojestan which is incorrect. BTW, as you also mentioned, the -ic in Turkic is pronounced like ick which is the same prefix for a variety of adjectives denoting broad ethnic or cultural groups such as Germanic, Italic, Slavic, etc.
@@johnsarkissian5519 if you can (physically) pronounce it according to it's original name, you should do it It is a big trend in English language nowadays
An interesting detail about Dagestan - it is a multinational region itself. Just google Dagestan ethnicities map. There are more than 10 nationalities living there, besides the ethnic Russians, who are a minority there. These nationalities also have some tensions between them for centuries. Chechnya and Ingushetia even had an armed territorial dispute between them, even though they belong to the same Vainakh people. Trust me guys, when it comes down to multiculturalism, Russia is a true rabbit hole. But somehow all these peoples manage to get along with each other. Historically infrastructure and economy is so tightly tied together, that breaking up these chains would be extremely painful for all sides involved. Russia is like a living symbiotic organism, where all sides need each other to survive. Like an ecosystem in the forest. All those fantasies about some region going independent will be crushed under the harsh reality of economy and logistics.
Very well prepared presentation... thank you
Amazing you finally made it! I was waiting for this one for months if not years :) thank you!
I would have appreciated one or two extra maps. You covered the political and cultural realities. A map of the petroleum resources and a map of mineral resources would have been nice. You covered where natural fissures might occur, so identifying obvious lines for resisting fissure would have been nice. I understand that it was not in the scope of this project, but the lack of that information limits the value of what you did present.
Exactly
Yeah, those are the real map that show the posibility to break up.
Is it possible to add a drag & drop feature? Then we could combine different maps that you present. Also a zoom feature. I am really asking for an " INFINATE CARTOGRAPHY " button/feature. We could then use it to display gerrymandering, possible solutions &...
Neat analysis with an exception of lacking information of existing/existed projects of autonomous republics like Idel-Ural state, Ingria, Confederation of Mountain Peoples of the Caucasus etc
interesting stuff ! i for one would be interested in a city states video - whether its the history of, why they arent common anymore, or just modern ones that have stuck around !
Yeah, he sparked my curiosity about that, too. I've never studied much human geography, just physical. But after following politics a few years, well... got interested in the people stuff, too.
This has been a long time dream of westerners to divide Russian Federation, but I am expert in this issue and can assure you that none of national Republics would break away in near pair hundreds of years. My expertise derives from my origin: my father is Yakut and my mother is Altai, I was born and lived in Yakutia (Sakha Republic), I studied in Yekaterinburg in Ural in university and now I live in Republic of Altai. Since 2000 I have researched and studied opinions on national separatism in Russia and my conclusion is that nowadays there is no separatist movements and wont be for a long time. People here understand that the moment separation occurs - that would be the end for nations, since there are own elites inside regions, many neighbouring nations with their own interests, aversions towards each other, cultural and religious differences. The only way to live in peace and survive is to be gathered together by strong undisputable center, such as ethnical Russians (who are mostly mixed and having different nationalities heritage, btw). Usually people of different nationalities call themselves Russians meaning that they belong to one country - Russia, and only after that they differentiate into nationalities. If we take Yakutia as an example and try to imagine what happens in the case of separation that would be a complete disaster: the only steps needed to send Yakutia into stoneage is to shut down heating producing plant and stop fuel transporation to that region. And civilization disappears. Moreover to the south is Buryatia, and they are completely different nation with own religion, culture, interests and elites. And conflict starts. As an another example are Altai and Tyva, the same picture. So I have to conclude that separation seems impossible for me in near future and long-term. P.S. Also you have to understand that Russians did not act towards local nations same as Americans towards indians, or British towards indians, or Europeans and Americans towards Africans. Local nations in Russia are on the same level with ethnical Russians having all freedoms and rights such as using own language, keeping traditions and culture, even having own constitutions, etc.
Your P.S. is really funny (I got your sarcasm). Also yeah I agree that there is unfortunately no real chance to divide Russia and a lot of enslaved people will continue suffering. It's such a pity
@@aaademed Your sarcasm is much funnier, bro :) Why Ukrainians are so obsessed with slavery and slaves? Seems like kind of complex :)
@@aaademed Yeah... unless the Russian Federation was forced to break up into several (or even many) independent sovereign nations by Western nations because of Russia in invading neighbouring countries like Ukraine.
@@aaademed its not sarcasm, he's right
Let's hoppe it breaks up as soon as possible
tell me why?
@@user-un2ng3pz5b well obviously because if this happens a gigantic amount of people would get poor, many of objects won't be able to leave sepated from Russia, which also will bring poorness, deaths and immigrants. he is just an idiot who doesn't understand anything, he just watched some youtube and decided that "eeh, Russia is bad"
@@arkline9937 omg fr people these days have like 1 braincell
@@arkline9937 yea you are speaking facts
It won't and imagine making 5 accounts to like your own comment
As a Russian from south Siberia (Novosibirsk region), I don’t think that some of the republics will become independent. Cause putin’s government has been building strong financial dependence of all regions from the capital. And there are not many separatists in the Russia. People have been living in this prison regime for 20 years. They got used to it. I know that it’s all hypothetical. And it was interesting to watch. Thx.
I never clicked on a video so quick. Ironically I was watching another GK video when I got the notification. 😅
I love your idea of a video about city states. I’ll be taking notes to help Lancaster break away from the UK right now.
City states were made obsolete with the advent of modern nations. There's no logical reason for them to exist today. And "because I want to" is not a valid reason.
I live in the autonomous region (Ugra). By nationality, I have Russian and Ukrainian-Polish roots. I have an Azerbaijani friend, he is in a large family and he never spoke about the disunity of Russia, in some ways he is even a patriot of Russia. In the school where I study there are many children who are not Russian or have mixed roots (30-40% of the school students) and they are in excellent contact with me. The government of the region is focused on partnership and creation of all conditions for the development of the small indigenous people of Khanty. Even the city itself, the capital of the region, is called Khanty-Mansiysk. You might think that assimilation is bad, but in America such a society has already been built.
Please, take some time (it won't consume much, by the way) to travel around the region and see what the land around the oil fields really looks like and listen to what the indigenous peoples actually have to say. Study the statistics on how the life has changed there during the last century. Go to the library and request for the documents on the process of the region's land development. It's not all fairytails and ponies as you're trying to describe it here. As far as I see, education in Yugra is extremely bad even by this time if you find your argumentation to be valid or reasonable.
A resident of Hanty-Manty! The RF will endure. Videos like this are just wishful thinking.
@@Dungshoveleux It always amazed me how us, the Western Siberians, have been keeping loyalty to the muscovites regarding the fact that they call us offensive slurs such as 'churkas' and 'deerkeepers'. Look around you and see what has been happening to the region for the last 17 years since the tax flows changed. There's nothing to add.
@@paulineisakova7618 полную чушь несешь, прими таблетки
@@I-Nex А по существу есть, что сказать? Или вы владеете только аргументацией ad hominem?
I had never really thought about the end game of a Russian collapse. This was a super eye opener for me.
Absolutely
It’s a Ukrainian dreams, not more
Love these videos! It shows that a lot of work was put in it.
your pronunciation of slavic words is really good dude. great videos.
He is Portuguese and Portuguese language sounds like a Slavic language
Our (Slavic) languages was invented by Byzantines Kirill and Mephodiy (Мефодий), who spokes Latin. Portugal is the direct heir of Latin. We have several sounds, but different structures. It’s kinda interesting @@quandovoceleroscomentarios5243
I'm impressed how both high-quality and low-quality the video is. From one hand the author did a great job researching all these maps. On the other hand he didn't cover the topics that are obvious for every Russian: - existing separatism movements. Firstly, it's Caucasus, especially Chechnya that had 2 wars 20 years ago. Secondly, it's Turkic areas like Tatarstan, Bashkiria and so on: relatively rich area with the biggest minority in Russia divided from Kazakhstan with Orenburg corridor only - poorly connected far-east areas that sometimes have more economic relations with neighbours (China, Mongolia, Japan) than with Moscow, especially Khabarovsk and Vladivostok - territorial claims from the other countries. Russia has conquered too much in the past so you have somewhat implicitly contested territories with Finland, Estonia, Ukraine (especially now), Kazakhstan, Japan - current economical model. Considering it, Moscow is never interested in being independent, haha While having the mentioned above listening to Jewish Autonomous Oblast (that's not Jewish, not Autonomous, and not Oblast - like HRE) to be separated... That's hilarious
I would have liked to see a map of what you think is the most likely way they could split up based on the other maps
You would need a pallett of 300+ colors!
Do a video on what if Czechoslovakia reunited. What the current ethnic group make up would be? The nation's GDP? What their biggest imports and exports would be? Etc.
Good idea!
@@General.Knowledge Thanks
Hmm, but which version of Czechoslovakia? With or without Carpathian Ruthenia?
@@MrToradragon Always go for the maximum size of the country. Also, he should do Yugoslavia too. I'm sure there are a bunch others to do too.
Problem is Moravia. Around 1 million of inhabitants of Czechia declares as Moravians, not as Czechs.
Congrats, very interesting video.
Idk if someone mentioned it, but the only reason you don't want Russia to break up, at least completely is due to the fact that nuclear arsenal will also split between "states". As of this day, as I see it, under circumstances of break up the states are too prone to end up with autocratic regimes which would result in even worse scenario than if the russia remain "united". Russia needs much stronger federalism with lots of taxes staying in the parts where they've been gathered
I dont think that is the only reason.
Maybe you should think how your own country can break up
Exactly!
Okay, at this point you've broken up Russia and China despite all the horrific consequences, you now need to break up the other modern empire-the United States.
It's only fair.
USA is not an empire, there is no any national republics inside
It is actualy already devided. After all state IS a country.
The USA is too integrated. The way a country breaks up is part of the country wants to leave. There are no states that want to leave the USA anymore. No matter how hardcore some GOP states are, their economy would be crushed in a second without California and New York. Even states like Texas couldn't leave the USA because cities like Austin and Houston drive the economy in the state. I would love to get into a place where the USA can throw out welfare states like Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming, Kentucky, West Virginia, Alabama and Mississippi...but they would never leave.
@@PeterSedesse I think you're right that no part of the United States is seriously interested in secession. There are small independence movements in Hawaii and Puerta Rico and there are a few Garveyists out there, but by-and-large Americans are satisfied to be Americans and any attempts to break away would be quickly and determinedly suppressed. The same could be said about both Russia and China, but they made "What-if" videos about their dissolution. I don't think either one of those countries is likely to fall apart. But if the exercise in speculation is legitimate for China and Russia, it's equally legitimate for the United States.
If read the map on <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="260">4:20</a> correctly, most regions have more than 50% Russians. Tuva and the Caucasus are exceptions to the rule.
Well, not only Tuva and the Caucasus. In Tatarstan and Chuvashia, there are more indigenous people than Russians. In Bashkortostan, although there are fewer Bashkirs than Russians, they are still very numerous. Of the Siberian republics, only three can be distinguished, where the indigenous people surpass the Russians, or the second in number: Tyva, Yakutia (Sakha) and Buryatia. In other parts of Russia, Russians are 50% or more. There are of course regions where they are less than 10%, but this is mostly Well, not only Tuva and the Caucasus. In Tatarstan and Chuvashia, there are more indigenous people than Russians. In Bashkortostan, although there are fewer Bashkirs than Russians, they are still very numerous. Of the Siberian republics, only three can be distinguished, where the indigenous people surpass the Russians, or the second in number: Tyva, Yakutia (Sakha) and Buryatia. In other parts of Russia, Russians are 50% or more. There are, of course, regions where they are less than 10%, but these are mostly very backward regions: Chukotka, far north, etc.
In Russia there is the saying "you are dividing fur of alive bear". I think this is the most accurate description of this.
Half of the bear was already skinned
@@unilajamuha91 AG source:SUN and CNN
@@user-db5zc1nf4b Tf is AG source?
@@unilajamuha91 the bear has already taken off half of the pig's skin*
@Imaginary Unicorn hahahahaha, where did you see a fucking goat there?
You forgot one very important factor. Regions with large amount of natural resources (for example Yamalo-Nenetskiy autonomy district), like oil and gas have more chances for economical independence and consequently have more chances for real independence
Are you a teenager? Regions with lots of riches but no ability to defend themselves /no ability to make it into a business are going to be indeoendent😅. Yeah!!! I love unicorns too
@@user-dr8xv5wu4s They will grow strong while Muscovite Fascist-Republic will shrink. You are afraid of the loss of an imperialist Russia thats all
@@user-dr8xv5wu4s If they become independent, then in 2-3 months they will either return to Russia, or they will be captured by Kazakhstan XD
@@user-dr8xv5wu4s russia couldnt defend itself and it exist. Most of nations couldnt defend themselves from major nations like USA and exist.
On the city-state thing, I think it already exists as metropolitan areas, but with common rights and laws and a collective defense.
It would never happen. Imagine all the tiny republics with left over Russian nukes. It’s in Americas , chinas , and europes best interest to not Balkanize Russia
that did not stop them last time
Screw the west. Think about the people of Russia, not the people of the USA, they'll be far from the mess.
Why so
Karelia would probably be chill (pun intended)
the problem is that the same Americans, Europeans and Chinese underestimate the number of sick Russians, they all tend to see Russia, where 70 percent of people are the so-called "good Russians" and as soon as Putin is gone, they will heal peacefully, but in fact, at least half of all Russians are sick of imperialism, and when Russia loses the war with Ukraine, all these sick imperialists will storm Moscow with Molotov cocktails, demanding an explanation from Putin, why we lost, it is during such revolutions that regions are separated, as defeat in World War I collapsed the Russian Empire, and how defeat in Afghanistan collapsed the Soviet Union
looking forward to see that
Keep dreaming. Also imagine liking your own comment
Interesting concept
Keep doing more breaking up series like these
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 ha ha ha wishful thinking
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 are You indian?
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 you like dictatorships?
@Madhur Kumar Chugh_021 troll
I saw a documentary about Dagestan a while ago. It's a beautiful place.
truly is! It's shores in the Caspian Sea are gorgeous and its mountains are stunning. Plus the local culture is beautiful. It's an Islamic province in Russia and has a unique culture
The 2 main divisions are Russian conservatives vs Moscow liberals (just like US but not as splitting as geographically splitting as in US) and Russians vs Caucuses- ethnic tension there.
A reverse process of this is happening right now
How about you do one on the United States? There are a lot of ways you could slice it should the country utterly collapse, but I'm interested in where you'd put the lines.
I made one a while back about the scenario of each state becoming its own country, but I think it's more realistic that some other type of division could happen, I can make a new one!
Speaking as a Californian, there have been times when I'd like to see CA as its own country, or as part of a Greater Cascadia or Pacifica with Oregon and Washington (maybe also British Columbia and Baja California)
Я не знаю как будут распадаться США, но я точно знаю кому достанется Аляска :))
@@Mikhail_Utkin I study Native American history here in the US, and interestingly there are still a large number of Indigenous Alaskans who are Russian Orthodox Christians. Also, about two hours north of San Francisco is a historic site called Fort Ross. It was a Russian trading post in the 1830s-1840s ("Ross" is an English adaptation of Rus') and the local Pomo people have many words of Russian origin in their language, mostly for trade goods like glass, furniture, farm equipment, utensils, etc. There are also words of Aleut origin because the Russians brought Aleut traders down with them from Alaska.
@@aaronmarks9366 Я знаю о русской колонии в Калифорнии. Таких колоний было не мало и на островах в Тихом Океане. Как не мало островов имеют русское название. Но время идет и его не вернешь.
Industrial society (either communist or capitalist) strongly compels integration of complementary areas. Commodities of daily life are largely imported to the "ethnic" areas. Current population would be decimated. Another approach is to turn back the clock to before the Russian empire integrated all these territories/populations/cultural groups. Viable subdivisions of RF would have to center on distribution points that can support life, or on extant neighboring countries that can nurse these proto-states along. E.g. Chechnya et al, western Siberia, Mongolia/Baikal region, the far east and northeast, the far north and Novgorod, the Caspian steppes/Volga basin, pskov, Moscow, st Petersburg. But the thing is--we don't know if there is any regional identity among the overwhelming Russian majority that can outweigh the centuries of integration and dependency. Contrast with provinces of western Canada, which do have strong identity, global integration, and are in dialog with their First Nations minorities.
Some edge states are more likely to unify with their neighbors outside Russia than become independent.
@@nathanlowry3764 because culturally and historically, they are closer to their neighbors than to the russians. What do buryats and chechens have in common?
@@user-rj1cp7eq8y Nah, I don't think culture is a major part here. Does Buryat think of themselves more like a Russian or more like a Chinese/Kazakh/Mongol? I bet 99 to 1 that as a Russian. What really matters here is economy and military power. Kaliningrad has no chance staying with Russia. I can see how Orenburg, for instance, can go to Kazakhstan (although Orenburg Oblast is heavily militarized).
@@nathanlowry3764 surely they will join us and uk😂😂😂
@@nathanlowry3764 Yeah... oblasts such as Buryat, Tuva and the Lake Baikal region, which *_may/could_* become part of Mongolia in the future because of the cultural similarity between them.
Missed the most important factor: Economics. Money. My understanding is that it is these outlying areas that have the natural resources but are kept poor and dependent while the money all flows to Moscow to fight Pootin's wars.
If russia breaks up, I'll be hosting a celebratory booze up 🤣🍺
What about prediction of economic potential of Korea, if it was united (non the mater by which one side, yet north one was close to it)? In time when it was separated by two sides, North were much more industrialized than South, while it had a low of cheap workforce. All together they may be pretty quick growing economy.
As a South Korean, that would be a very big disaster. For political reasons, we are taught in school that unification would be beneficial, but most of us know that North Korea is a poor country with nothing, and that unification would cost enormous resources for its sake. The wealth that would go to the individual South Korean would vanish into space for the North.
@@biszumnachstenmal6344 only instant reunification would be bad. It won't hurt South Koreans if spread the process for 20-30-50 years. Make a confederation and slowly invest to the North while steadily changing it's politics, then fully incorporate the North. And North having good birth rates and many young people can provide childless and getting old South with necessary workforce to keep its economy away from degradation. And also importing fellow Koreans to work is much better than importing aliens and lose the nation and its culture.
I think if North Korea becomes democratic and agrees to unification it would take decades. Germany unified with much smaller gap in wealth and you can still see the east is poorer. The difference between the two Koreas is astronomical now.
As a Russian, in my opinion, separatist divison not only (an not as much) by ethnicity, there is more tension between Russian oblast's and Moscow that intensively tries to control them. As the most recent example is Khabarovsk where FSB (Federal Security Service) removed a popular governor or Ekaterinburg where elections of mayor were cancelled also largely because of Moscow and now former popular mayor is under investigations. Worth mentioning that ideas of Ural Republic (which was a project of reforming Ural Federal district) are still alive. If Kaliningrad sees tht Russia is under heavy crisis, it can probably also show desire to return to Germany. Division by ethnicity is prominent in very certain republics and the most prominent to separate are Chechnya and Tatarstan, because they already showed a will to separate in the 90s. To the lesser extent are probably Dagestan and Buryatia, because they donated most of the soldiers to "specopertion" and can be pretty frustrated with the outcome.
It's always sad to see countries break up, but the way Moscow threats their Republics, Oblasts, Crais and other territories is ridiculous. Basically, Moscow accumulates all of country's money inside itself and wastes it on "special operation". There are lots of oil and gas deposits in Komi Republic and Komi Republic fuels Russia's economy almost entirely by itself. So why should it be under Moscow's control when it can be a new "oil supercountry" like Azerbaijan or UAE. Money that is being spent by Moscow could be spend in Komi Republic for building schools, healthcare centers, universities, roads, gas and electricity infrastructure, social financial aid and so on. Why should a "Russian" from the Far East go to Ukraine to kill innocent people for hopes of repaying his micro-loans. He could go to university and get a decent education that could provide him with a well-paid job. Moscow have been keeping Russians in control by using police and army for far too long. It's about time to say goodbye to Moscow and it's party.
I doubt Kaliningrad would want to join Germany. The people there are mostly Russian. It wouldn't be a bad thing to have a Russian land independent of Moscow located in Europe.
@@tw25rw yeah that is also possible outcome, hard to predict what would they do
наврятли Калининград который в основном населён русскими, захочет в определенный момент вернуться к Германии
@@tochanenko республике Коми нет сепаратистов из-за того, что много русских, коренного населения почти нету, или оно ассимилировалось и считает себя русскими
Maybe citystates aren’t so popular anymore since modern inventions have made travel much much easier than in the past??? I dunno, that was just my first thought but I’d love to look into that too.
You should make that City-State video because that sounds super interesting
There is multiple issues witht his video, nowadays if the ethnicity represent minorities in Russie is because of mixity. Actually it's not that simple to find 100% russians, if you ask anyone who is his grandparents, you will usually find 2 to 4 different ethnicities, and maybe more. So talking about minority or majority is somehow not usefull in Russia in terms of culture. The governement is trying to keep the different cultures through tradition. I, myself , am from Tomsk, a city in the Tomsk Oblast, Siberia, and I'm a mixity of russian , belorus, crimean, jewish, and even african. My father is muslim while my mom is orthodoxe. Cultural differences won't affect Russia as it is now, except the European part, as we see with ukrain. There are separatists, but there are way more imperialists, and even more communists. You also forgot other ethnicities that came long ago to Russie, greeks, romans (byzantinians), turks etc...The unity of Russia is quite important is our country. Transport: well there is the transiberian. Infrastructure, I can't see how it could lead to separatism, as even non independant oblasts deal itself with local problematics. Separation of a Krai is the most unlikely to happen, as it will end up isolated, and won't have enough rresources to be autonomnius, due to population density.
You make good points but the reason for the mixing is due to in large part from the USSR and its policies. USSR was trying to be cunning by doing this to suppress the likelihood of rebellion. So the people of Russia were being controlled. To get around this, even though you may have mixing of the blood/ethnicities, you have to look at the percentages of who identifies as Russian by ethnicity and also look at the political situation in regions like Dagestan, Chechnya, and Tuva/Tyva Republics. If the vast majority does not identify as Russian and want out, then they should be allowed independence. Otherwise, Russia is forcing their power onto these groups of people. Unity is good for Russia but that isn't unity when you are controlling those who don't want to identify as Russian.
@@JTBCOOL1 Nowp, actually the USSR politics was quite the opposite, there is one man actually that went beyond all of that, Staline, through deportation, and actually that's how my crimean grandmother met my russian grandfather at Tomsk. Russia is not about being ethnical russian: in russian language we have 2 different words, ruski for ethnical russian and rossiyanin for the passport. The identity problem actually is more relevent in Europe and US, due to ethnical diversity through immigration. That's the thing, you take western point of views and copy paste it into eastern ways. It doesn't work like that.
The idea of a large county is superficially attractive, but after hundreds of years of dysfunction, corruption, famine, war, and tyrannical abuses... why would anyone want to be part of such a country? This latest gross aggression by the Kremlin Russia is increasingly accumulating hatred against the term Russian, even in propaganda infused third world country's they are recognizing the suffering from global dysfunction that accompanies this conflict...
@@oranaro9000 So by mixing tribes or ethnic backgrounds, understandably, you create one peoples. Uniting, I get it. That makes sense. But Stalin didn't do it for the benefit of the people but the state. It makes sense because that is what happens. The issue here is, there are regions in Russia even after multiple decades of unification still do not identify as Russians and want to be independent. At this point, you have to think and acknowledge that maybe some regions should be independent. Especially if there have been wars waged like in Grozny. Let the people speak and declare their freedom. This is democracy. This is the correct way. Not communism where the state wants to at times forcibly unite under the guise of unification.
@@oranaro9000, as an Italian living in Russia, I can just confirm your words. When I lived in Amsterdam or Antwerpen, there was a neighborhood where everybody was Jewish, with typical Jewish costume; suddenly you crossed the road and everybody was Muslim; then, in the following neighborhood everybody was African, and so on. These community do not visibly interact with each other. In saint Petersburg there is nothing such as a Jewish neighorhood or a Muslim or Uzbek or Tatar neighborhood. My father-in-law has Germans roots, my mother-in-law has Polish, Armenian and Lithuanian ancestry, the uncle of my wife is a muslim Tatar and her wife is half Jewish. When I came to their place, he had a green scarf with the Muslim faith profession in Arabic, wrapped around a Lenin statue; then, he started to prepare dinner: sausages, vodka and thing I did not expect from a Muslim. In the end, there is the idea that everybody share the same fate. Nobody showed me any hostility because I was Italian, even if my country invaded Russia in WW2 and now is taking part in sanctions. I felt far more racism in the Netherlands, they treated me as a savage just because the place I came from.
Please do a why city-states are rare today ? This idea is very interesting
i think you forgot to account the economic and political value of some states and their neighboring countries , dont think china will necesarily absorb the close ones but it would determine their dependace or breaking off
Im extremely skeptical of "what if" in political questions due to the inevitable complexity of variables. However, this show was very well done. I see it presenting the logical, and at times pressing, lines of division. A logical solution to an ethnic-political is unlikely anywhere and most improbable in a land monopolozed by despots since the iron age.
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="460">7:40</a> Man, are you serious? These are a CENTURY old data. There are 30% of Burats in Buratia, and only 49% of Sakhas(or Yakuts) in Skha(Yakutia). You are relying on extremely outdated statistics.
Nobody cares about reality. They think that they can construct everything.
@Imaginary Unicorn What do you derive your last statement from? As far as I'm aware, every developed country suffers from declining birth rates.
@Imaginary Unicorn There's probably a lot less now since it seems Russia took all their indigenous Asians and threw them at Ukraine for cannon fodder.
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="460">7:40</a> its funny how Karelians prosentage started dropping after 1939, because most of them moved into Finland after Russian and Finnish wars.
Karelian population has already been shrinking due to ethnic cleansing and Russification of Karelian-speaking population by the Kremlin
@@hentehoo27 Source?
Those censuses don't include the people from the lost Finnish lands, except in the 1959 one when a lot of lost Finnish lands had been incorporated into the Karelo-Finnish SSR and later Karelian ASSR, which were mostly settled by Russians anyway since literally everyone had left. The 400 000 Finnish Karelian refugees who fled to Finland in WW2 were Lutheran Finns speaking southeastern Finnish dialects and not Orthodox practicing eastern Karelians who inhabited and still inhabit eastern Karelia AKA the Karelian Republic.
@@indijanacdzon8416 genocide of ingrian finns, russification of finland, and I also suggest looking into soviet massive deportations chronology - Karelians were expelled (usually to Central Asia) in 30s and 40s. Those territories were then repopulated by Russians and that's in general how "always historically Russian" territories like Crimea are born. Russia, being an empire, was (and keep on) always destroying ethnic minorities. You shouldn't be surprised by such facts in history of any land occupied by Moscow since 1450. But it's not Moscow thing, it's true for any empire, it's just the nature of imperialism. England did that while they were empire, France, Spain, etc. It's in a human nature when it comes down to empire. I'd rather be surprised to hear and asked for sources if it was about empire that didn't do it.
@@YaPinGYouTu The one nation Russian Empire didn't russify was Finnish. They were better off with Russia than Sweden.
Was this uploaded in the wrong resolution? Part of the video is cut off for me
Who are you Americans to decide how a foreign country should be, divided or united!!! Haven't you had enough dividing countries creating more crises and chaos all around the world?
Cry
Right
@@alecgurney9305 yes
in most of the territories that you have marked as possible for separation, this cannot be. The same Altai Kray, where many Russians live. I'm from there myself and I know what I'm saying. Many indigenous peoples of Siberia treat Russians very well. I personally know representatives of these peoples who, as they say, "beat their chest with their fist", that they are Russians, but at the same time do not lose their culture
@Imaginary Unicorn you pretty much summed up the mentality of americans aswell
@@qwertyuiop17632 This American has a different point of view. After all, if the United States broke up along ethnic lines we'd have a hundred little pissant countries. People are fine until western agitators start promoting nationalism to every idiot who wants to plant a flag and declare himself free. It works for us though. If every other country is small and weak, we get to tell them what to do.
@Imaginary Unicorn You are simply misunderstanding roots of Georgian conflict: 1. Georgia functioned as de facto nation state during the Soviet Union with it`s own socialist party comprised of ethnic Georgians. 2. During the Soviet Union Georgia received tremendous amounts of subsidies from RSFSR, some sources estimate it to be four times as big as the actual production output of Georgia itself. Many of the heavy industry enterprises were built in Georgia by direct Stalin`s order, eventhough it was economically inefficient to do so. 3. When the Soviet Union broke up it quickly became clear that most of Georgian industry can`t compete on a free market and they went bankrupt. 4. After the economy collapsed Zviad Gamsakhurdia, who was a Gerogian ultranationalist, came into power and launched ethnic cleansings on Abkhazs and South Osetians, that eventually led to seceding Abkhazia and South Osetia. 5. Saakashvili, 15 years after that, decided to restore Georgian rule of these territories and launched a military invasion. He was not provoked to do so, he made a speech several months prior to the invasion in which he made it clear that he doesn`t expect Russia to intervene (region15.ru/mihail-saakashvili-poobeschal-vernut-yuzhnuyu-osetiyu-uzhe-v-2008-godu/).
This is intensely interesting, not just the original comment, but also the replies. Something I heard years ago and stuck with me was Russia being a "dark mirror" to the US. The more I hear about Russia, the more similarities I see, even if I'm still left wondering just how much more grim that reflection really is.
Oh, I'm from Altai Krai too! Many people I've seen confuse us with nagorny-altay, and think we'd like to be independent because of the name...
Is there a similar video about the U.S. breaking apart? :)
Be quiet
There is a video: What If Every U.S. State Became Independent?
there is also a video: The 11 Nations Inside The USA ...if you are actually interested in the topic
FBI: So, you have chosen... *DEATH!*
@@JaKingScomez What was the meaning of this assessment?
The only actually possible breakups are Chechnya and Dagestan, imo. Maybe taking a few of the nearby ones too.
@@nohcho229 That's why it's a possible breakup. They suffered heavy losses in Ukraine too so they have reasons to break away from Russian foreign policy.
Really interesting
The lack of infrastructure in central and eastern Russia is due to the climate, not lack of money or disorganization. The climate is so extreme that it would destroy the roads fairly quickly or almost anything.
@Imaginary Unicorn Harsher climate in Norway? Are you for real? Lmao Go learn some of the extreme wheather in Russia. I think I watched this on a documentary, it's impossible to build and maintain roads in most of the russian territory because the cost to maintain them would be extremely high due to VERY LOW populated areas which means this maintenance would have to come from very far away, probably thousands of kilometers and just 1 winter would probably be enough to destroy the roads.
@Imaginary Unicorn !??? Did you even read anything what I said? It's impossible to build roads in russian eastern territory because of logistics and extreme wheather!
@Imaginary Unicorn Norway is a very tiny nation compared to Russia, much, much easier to maintain anything.
@Imaginary Unicorn You only talk garbage, I'm done here.
@Imaginary Unicorn Try seeing things in the way you were not instructed to see, you might unlearn lies and learn something good as well as trainning your critical thinking.
What if usa broke up? What if the english returned Northern ireland to Irish? What if they let Scotland and Wales go? What if france broke up? What if italy broke up? What if Kurdistan was formed? What if romanians returned hungarian territory?
Italy broke up? The phenomenon of separatism was folklore in Italy.
Most majority Hungarian territory in Romania would be an enclave , it's far from the border with Hungary. There are areas in the NW, between Oradea and Satu Mare, that have a Hungarian majority, that would be about 200 thousand people. Why bother, it's either an enclave or a too small area. Kind of like the majority Romanian area in Ukraine, though that's more like 400 thousand people.
@@Italian-Royalist or just 2 parts, north and south
@@lucianboar3489 yh, that would be a whole other can of worms
@@Italian-Royalist yes, esp. b-cuz many in the south wanted a return to the old Kingdom of Two Sicilys monarchy instead of central/northern dominated republic.
OMG, you speak so fast, sometimes I think I already x2 speed but in fact it is the normal speed of yours
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="34">0:34</a> It was the Russian Soviet FEDERATIVE Socialist Rebublic (Russian SFSR) so it didn't really change
Several arguments are presented why the bulk of the Russian Federation is unlikely to break up. One argument not presented is the risk of becoming a client state, if not being fully absorbed by an increasingly powerful and expansionist China.
China haven't conquered any of it's neighbours
You should do "What if Croatia broke up(into dalmatia and slavonia)"
Now thats pathetic, why would they? Ridiculous How about one on Australia then?
@@powderskier5547 "What if"
This video focuses a lot on numbers but doesn't describe a likely break-up scenario... For example, Chechnya might separate first, then this might embolden a neighbouring republic to do the same etc.
The numbers at kzhead.info/sun/gadsZ9J5r4JulJs/bejne.html don't add up. The list adds up to 83. To obtain 85 you need to count in the territories of Crimea ad Sevastopol, occupied since 2014. I guess that's what the star near "85" is there for, but I guess that could have been made more explicit
the thing is that in the end those will simply become tiny states that would find it exceedingly difficult to sustain themselves without the help from the federal budget and will end-up having to rely on foreign aid anyway becoming ether chinese puppet states or broke backwaters, even the ones who have alot of natural resources, like sakha due to their low population and vast territory will end-up being "colonised" by foreign companies, be it russian, western or chinese in the end its always the same story, u grab all ya can without a single care for the natives. there is no good future for those tiny states wether they will stay with russia or leave it.
I think they a far better now-in the Russian Federation- than seperated, main reason why virtually no one wants to brake away over there.
@Imaginary Unicorn yea... How unfortunate for them to them to still be sitting in prison... Very sad yea. I still think my country is much much better of as a federation though and I'm glad it won't brake away
@Imaginary Unicorn So? US literally massacre 90% of Native American..
@Imaginary Unicorn Russians massacred most of the natives? Huh ok. But what your country did to your natives in US? Tell us about that now bcs you love to preach about history of others.
@Imaginary Unicorn all i can see is the monopoly of natural resources through the corrupt hands of small weak countries, this bullshit plan is not pursuing a better life for the people there but trying to steal resources without any problem. it is better to be one strong Big Unit than to be hundreds of Small Parts full of Ego and Despair.
Hey there. I am a quarter ethnic Koryak and I am fluent. I just want to say that there is a lot of dispute in Kamchatka related to Russian rule however our Duma has been representing the natives well and helping and aiding with things
And you will best survive in Russia, westerners killed all native people 😉 There is no democracy for native people in America Australia...
wow youre from the far corner of the far east russia? mind telling me what its like living in such wilderness? :)
@@ibnu9969 I live in a town outside of a big city. Near the airport. It is very nice because I walk a few kilometers and then I can fish for trout and salmon. Also lot of Brown bear
@@luoravetla wow seems like pristine nature, are you guys feeling comfortable living under Russia? Or is there any separatist tendency?
@@ibnu9969 they are not living "under" Russia, they are an inseparable part of it
From what I see here, it seems that the most likely scenario would be a number of the areas, such as Armenia and others especially mentioned in a few comments below, would leave especially in the southwest. It seems as if the low population areas of the east would find it more beneficial to stay Russian.
It would only happen if the politics were favorable. Many questions. How are Russian assets divided up. Who provides defense if there is to be any defense? The current map is very complex and was put together by conquest. It could be divided up by conquest again. Conquest does not have to be military, it could be by some international organization.
The break up of France would be interesting especially with their overseas regions linked French Guiana, New Caledonia, Réunion, etc.
It's not a big loss economically, but geo-strategic it's a real disaster. This is in the overseas region that France has the second largest EEZ on the planet. The French overseas regions have no raw material, low demographics, nothing thrilling in the event of separation.
New Caledonia seems to always have an independence referendum and they always vote to stay. Reunion, French Guiana and others aren't a dependent territory, they're part of France and the EU. Then again, Algeria was too.
@@lucianboar3489 Algeria was a colonial apartheid state were a small minority of French and Jews ruled over a disenfranchised majority.
@@cehaem2 yeah, there's that
Such a remote "Jewish" automous region nested up against North Korea and China is amazing.
You can thank Stalin for that, he wanted credit for being 1930s woke by making a Jewish homeland, but he also wanted it as far away as possible from the centers of Soviet power.
Yeah, there is nothing Jewish about it any more. They just don't bother to change the name and rearrange administrations in case it were to be absorbed into surrounding territory. It's a failed Soviet project.
Yeah, well, it's just randomly drawn on the map and it was never in no way Jewish tbh. I'm surprised how channel author don't even talk about Pskov, Novhorod and other regions with independent history and history of (lost) fights with Moscow for independence but sees a potential in that completely randomly made up enclave to be 2nd Israel :D
@@aaronmarks9366 Further proof stalin was the OG grifter
This was Stalin's plan to create Israel btw
Less likely Moscow releases just a small piece of territory with their own independence. Its all about resources and minerals - oil, gas, rare earth, and Moscow keeps that in hands. Also a contol over the whole north seaside is important
What is the point of living poor on the earth rich in mineral, beautiful nature land when all the benefits are ripped by majority of white people of Moscow?
Thats very interesting
SWOT ANALYSIS categories to consider by region beyond language/culture: economic activities, economic trading partners, economic stability if independent, military bases, (air/sea)ports, power/utilities/water grid/generation, infrastructure (road/rail/waterways), etc.
SWOT is useless. The only thing that matters is the opinion of Chairman Xi.
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="166">2:46</a> It's KraSNOyarsk, not KraNOSyarsk. The root krasn- means red and -yar means cliff. So the city name is Red Cliff.
@@yyyy12344 * Яр - обрывистый крутой и высокий берег реки, озера, склон оврага, обрыв * Cliff - a steep rock face, especially at the edge of the sea. Если вы знаете более подходящее слово на английском, то сообщите.
as a Russian who lives in Siberia, it's hard for me to look at this map of Russia. On your map, some cities and republics are in a completely different place... it's all in the public domain, why are you showing the wrong information. In addition, completely incorrect information about the population and ethnic peoples ...
I think a video on Indonesia breaking up could be interesting. As for city-states - I think Brussels would become a city-state if Belgium split up. It could potentially thrive if it was able to maintain a reputation of being the European Union's political capital. With the breaking up of Russia, I could totally see something happen if Russia lost a devastating war and was made to split by an alliance of other countries. We saw that happen already with previous world wars. And in doing so, there would probably be a committee that collected all of Russia's nuclear weapons for disarmament.
Russia has nukes, it is very unlikely than anyone will ever try to invade the country. A collapse of the Russian State would only ever be internal.
Ya same Could be Possible with the United States also.
A possible scenario is EU consolidating into a unified country with Brussels as capital. Every country in EU becoming a state, then the Belgian state dividing into two separate states.
@@gouthamsudheer2080 That would be impossible.
You do realize that the nuclear arsenal of the USSR was not taken not just because the West was careless? If you force someone to the very point of dissolving their state AND taking their nuclear sovereignty guarantee, they will simply have no choice and start a nuclear war.
we have 3 federal cities: Moscow, Petersburg and Sevastopol
For now. Soon it will be only Moscow and Saint Petersburg
@@B1GK1NG in your dreams
@@B1GK1NG more likely there will be 4: Moscow, Saint PEtersburg, Sevastopol and Kiev
@@user-xh7wg6yn5o highly doubt it. Russia army don’t have the logistics since they rely on railroads to transport their equipment. All I see is Ukraine retaking back most of their lands. Russia being weaken because of this war and China attacking Russia to reclaim Vladivostok:)
@@kamilw1507 a dream that is a major reality. Wait to October when the lend least program goes into full effect. you think Ukraine now is kicking Russia ass. Wait to then. I have my popcorn eating and enjoying the entertainment of Russia getting their asses kicked.
You forgot the economic and resources maps. Thoses are maybe the most important ones.
and this is what america dreamed of- a divided and weakened russia
At the end of last century, there was a North Asia independence page on the web with a white over green bi-colour flag.
hey great video.. PLS SO INDIA as its many states as each state is divided into various ethno linguistic groups it would be very interesting
India then would be Uttar Pradesh.
@Xam deKiller bla bla bla....kuch bhi.
@Xam deKiller Lmao. Sanskrit is more famous than filthy language of black Tamils. Cry about it. Aryan culture is far more popular than Dravidian. You all might be rich but your Communist government will soon bootlick China and become Sri Lanka 2.0. Moreover let's see how your commie countries will prosper once there is no more Central Government. Only Karnataka and Telangana- Proud Hindu places- will prosper.
@Xam deKiller North will starve? Punjab, Haryana, Himachal, Uttarakhand are rich. Only UP Bihar are poor mainly because of lower Dravidian castes.
@Xam deKiller I can smell the hate from here.