JJ McCarthy is about to fool everybody in the 2024 NFL draft. There is a ton of hype around him as the draft approaches, but when you turn on his film and evaluate him, he does not deserve to be in at the very least the top half of the first round. Why is there so much hype around him? And what are these issues that he struggles with on film? This week’s episode uses the coaches all 22 to analyze Michigan’s Quarterback JJ McCarthy as he prepares for the 2024 NFL draft.
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Music:
🔷 Intro: Cyril Nikitin "Epic Movie Trailer Main"
🔷 Yondo Beats “Morning Sun”
🔷 Outro: OneTone Beats "Deception"
Thanks for watching “JJ McCarthy Is About To Fool EVERYBODY.”
#jjmccarthy #nfldraft #nfl
As of now my QB rankings are: Caleb Williams Michael Penix JJ McCarthy
Maye?
Is this just because you haven’t reviewed the others yet? Because otherwise you’re out on quite a limb. You’ll look like a genius if you’re right though
Do maye
@@Wooden_iguana14 it's because he hasn't reviewed the film for the others yet
Daniels is QB1 in this class, Williams is gonna be a huge bust
The reason JJ is rising is because the offense he ran in college actually translates to the NFL, teams are tired of getting duped by flashy highlights in offenses that don't help you at the next level. Plus the age and upside hes yet to unlock.
but he doesn’t have any upside
Sounds like Jimmy Clausen
bogus rationale - the offense in Michigan was essentially handing the ball off to Corum and Edwards lol He wasn't asked to be the dude in that offense and taking a QB that high in the first round needs to be "the dude" for a long time. I'd take a flyer on him, just not in the top 15
Yes. His processing has been brought up and at the end of the day his coaches said he was able to do everything they asked of him. Makes plays under pressure better than most. I think he can be developed into a good QB.
@@Slaqinidk I think he has more upside than people think. Michigans offense really limited him in what he could show case. Passing in a spread offense like the rest of the prospects is a lot easier than playing under center with a stacked box majority of the game. And tbh Michigans passing offense was pretty ass from a playcalling standpoint. Fact is he has the arm, the accuracy, rarely makes mistakes, and seems to be possibly the most coachable out of all the qbs.
"I just don't see it on his film." Well Alex, hopefully this video about JJ McCarthy goes about as well as your infamous "Justin Herbert is the Next NFL Draft BUST" video which you then had to follow up with a mea culpa "How Justin Herbert Proved Everybody (Me) Absolutely Wrong" video.
Trolls, that know nothing about the quarterback position. If Jim Harbaugh. Who, by the way, Great Coach who played For the Bear's Says he'll be good, you'll be good.
Herbert still has a lot to prove
@@garymartin1045OMG! 😱 An NFL draft prospect's college coach endorsed him?! I've never heard of such a thing.
@@seangarner2687lol fr
the only reason why his stock is going up because gm’s don’t like the next qb draft class where is only quinn ewers,dillon gabriel and shedeur sanders as the only interesting qbs while everyone else look like future backups in that draft class
Shedure sanders is gonna be the best qb in the draft next year
Jalen Milroe might end up having something to say about this….
@@Identify_As_Right bro he hasn’t even played one season as a starter in college yet he’s not even in this conversation
@@derekshirley5543 Yep if he earns how to pass. lol
@@derekshirley5543 He can barely throw in college imagine in the NFL lmao
McCarthy is what every GM is looking for, unlimited talent, super young, room for growth, smart, great leader, humble, coachable. He’s like a bigger Zack Wilson with all the mobility and arm talent without all the character issues and bad leadership. Depending where he goes will determine whether he’s successful or not. He’s not a savior of a bad team with subpar talent and bad coaching. 👌
JJ said he watched a lot of film and knew that defenseman was prone to turning his head and he saw him turn in that tight throw near the end zone. So I guess he DID know because he studied it.
And you know this as a fact?
@@caduexcharles3957 I believe I heard him discuss in an interview or read what he had said in an interview.
@marianneharms5836 so players don't lie? Lol. I have a hard time believing him. He knew exactly when buddy was going to turn and run with that receiver? Stop it lol. Usually QBs don't throw that until they see the back of a guy's head, he threw it when the MLB was still looking at him, buddy had a 2 for awareness on that play lol. JJ got lucky on that play imo.
@@caduexcharles3957 He said the player had a tendency and he saw him turn. Sorry you’re mad he is smart.
Nailed it. This guy attacks JJ because he studied and knew more than he did. This is probably the worst breakdown ever. Someone told me to watch this because this guy is just a troll. He's all about his personal feelings or assumptions and no facts.
Once alex says he won't be good, you know he will be an all time great.
I'm doing the lord's work
I mean how many of the top nfl qbs were even considered top 15 picks?
@@gjfwangmahomes, Allen, burrow, herbert, stroud, all top 10 picks
“He doesn’t exhibit high end accuracy…at all” 5 minutes earlier: rips into maybe the most accurate throw I’ve ever seen
Yeah, and he's only showing his bad reps on film, any QB even the top three can look bad if you just show their bad downs. I've seen throws from Caleb, Drake and Jayden that didn't show good anticipation, doesn't mean that was the whole story.
@@ancapgrandscribe9546that’s the same for a highlight film lmao. It’s nfl so you have to nitpick to separate the players and what he pointed out is still true
He's not consistent enough making those type of throws
@@Doublegd3 Yeah which is why I don’t take either at face value, I take the accomplishments, and other abilities of said QB into consideration.
@@Doublegd3 Also JJ isn’t top three yeah, but he’s someone who could be a franchise QB if given the proper development and given a good Coach and system
Jj doesn't display high-end accuracy? He is innacurate? Lack of arm strength? Incredible completion percentage with average recievers and 1mph off Milton's fastball both say otherwise. He also very fast and throws well on the run.
This guy doesn’t know football. JJ has one of the better arms in a long time.
"Incredible completion percentage" id fucking hope so he threw 8 times against penn state
@@ralphgoblue No he doesn’t. Nix, Penix, and Caleb all have better arms than him. And think of someone like dak. When he was at State he could straight up run through any defense and was the qb. He gets to the league and becomes strictly a pocket passer. JJ will not be in the nfl outrunning anyone.
@@ralphgoblue Matter fact. Ewers, Nix, Caleb, Daniels, and Penix all showed they had better arms than him
Yeah JJ does not have the arm this why he isn't letting it rip when he should
He fits the McVey Shannahan system… Alex that’s 13 of the 32 teams now. And most of the QB hungry teams.
Mitch McConnell and freezes up 🤣
Okay this clip at 2:00 is really subjective. JJ claimed in a post game interview that he watched a lot of film of Hartford and noticed that when Hartford drops into coverage he always turns and runs with the receiver so he looked him off and then ripped it when he noticed he started running with the receiver so if you believe what JJ is saying there then that is an ELITE level of QB play and clearly you don’t which is fair so then it’s just a throw where he just risked it, it’s really up to whatever you want to believe. Great video btw, you’re clearly not a huge fan but I can respect how you broke it down and I don’t disagree with a lot your takes the only one I disagree with is I believe he has all the tools to be successful.
he undeniably struggles in structure and ima michigan fan, the offense legit couldn't ever rely on his in-structure ability
@@kylegabriel5794what if they said aight new play everyone just go do something, if they dont know what they gonna do how the DC gonna know , u heard
@@archsys307 lmao aight bro that was some genius analysis I’m not gonna lie
sureeee. that's some 354983021573875 IQ shit, and i dont buy that for a fuckin second from JJ's tape
You must be a UM fanboy if you really knew McCarthy's response to the play in question.
Videos that cherry pick only good highlights are annoying. But isn't this video just cherry picking bad plays?
No, it's showing successful plays that this guy tries to hyperanalyse into bad plays. 27-1 don't lie.
The bad plays are literally good plays too 😂
Worse. He's taking plays that we're successful and trying to explain why they're actually bad. He totally loses the plot when he says McCarthy "definitely doesn't have the arm strength" while showing him throwing a 40+ yard completion under pressure. That false narrative comes completely apart when you go look at the combine results and see that he threw at 61 mph, which by the way is just 1 mph under the record set by Josh Allen. But ya, he's a noodle-arm. Then you look at this guy's other videos and he's "completely out" on Penix. Is there a QB in this draft that he actually likes? In any draft??? Dude's just tearing down these kids for his own attention. I'm "completely out" on this guy and his videos.
Was thinking the same thing... But then again, we live in polarizing online world.. gone are the days of expecting anyone to to accurately represent an issue.. and anything will be made into an issue... So the onus is on viewers to find each side of an issue and weigh the best arguments, and also to turn down the amplifier on "issues"
@@paulday5722 27-1 isn't a skill set.. If that was the case then their is a long list of Qb's with great records and Championships in college but isn't even a draftable player.
I've never seen a blogger present so much video showing completions over 20 yeards downfield as exhibits proving the QB is not very good, showing a 20-yd run dodging four defenders as proof "he isn't althletic or an above-average runner", and a 50 yd near TD completion as proof of his "weak arm". I would have thought his radar gun 61 mph toss, only one mph behind Joe Milton, who everybody thinks has a ridiculously strong arm, would have made you pull back from the oft-stated lie that J.J. "has a weak arm", and his triple cone drill time, 5th best among all players invited to the combine, might have convinced you he's just as athletic, if not more so, than Williams or Daniels. Methinks you are trying very, very hard to get J.J. to drop down to where your NFL fave team can snap him up on draft day.
McCarthy also played travel hockey and high level lacrosse. Only a dummy would try to question his athleticism.
@@paulday5722high end traits in the NFL look like mahomes, Allen, Herbert, love, Anthony Richardson ,Lamar. That is high end athleticism at the QB position. JJ having quick feet does not put him in that category. At the next level he’s not that special
Clearly you didn't actually watch the video closely, because on the very play you're talking about he said "He shows off his athleticism."
Thats the difference bt the NFL and college. The video is showing you why good college plays can be disastrous NFL plays. Instead of that crazy conspiracy theory that a YT video plans to cause a prospect to fall in the NFL draft, you should listen to what's being said bc it's pretty insightful
You think an NfL team would choose not to draft him based off a random KZhead video? Lmao
JJ McCarthy definitely needs to sit a year, but it is a fantastic sign that he is very good when blitzed. Hopefully, he goes to a team like the Steelers where he can sit behind a vet and understand the game better when he is a sophomore.
I disagree. JJ’s flaws require reps in the nfl not sitting. If his problems were mechanics/accuracy I’d agree but those look very solid he just needs to play quarterback more
@@JohnAC4 Alright but if he somehow gets to the Broncos and gets absolutely murdered and Stidham is the one starting, remember the comment you made
JJ said that OSU’s safety would always turn his head in that coverage from his film study in an interview after the game. He got tricked the second time when they switched coverages but still made a play. Also, OSU has a better defense than any of the other QBs played and he has consistently played tougher defenses than any of the other QBs, and it’s not close.
Penn State (he might have been injured), Ohio State, Iowa, and BAMA all in a row. Penn State was a run game, so take that out and he still faced 3 top-15 defenses in a row. He makes winning plays. GMs think that’s a QB-trait as well. He’s a 1st round pick
@@alberttate8198he’s a no brainer first round pick
Have we ever seen a perfect QB out of college? It always seems like the guys who are labeled as "NFL ready" end up as career backups. Like they've already hit their peak.
Joe burrow.
Yes we have; Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck most notably.
Andrew Luck
@@watchmepop7536 Yeah one of the handful who dominated the college competition and his traits proved to make him a top 10 QB before he got his 2nd contract.
@@dkoda840 Both QBs had ton of ints in their first years but thanks to having great coaching and structure they were able to develop into good QBs... There are lots of teams in todays NFL that would have limited their offense and basically neutered their positive traits before then deciding QBs who throw a ton of ints aren't worth it. PS: IMO teams should always draft qbs for talent and traits never silly college stats or media opinions. Look at how often the best QB in the draft wasn't taken first because according to stats and the media "he's not worth a first round pick or the number 1 overall pick".
As a QB who threw for 10,000 YDS & 76 TDs 111 TTDs in HS & unfortunately I didnt have my real growth spurt physically or mentallly until I was 20 & had quit football. But I did walk-on to a D1 team with a starting QB Ben Roethlisberger a QB I knew from my SO year as I played 1 of the best games of my life with 400 YDs & 5 TDs and still lost by 20 his SR year in the playoffs. My younger Uncle was ESPN 300 #1 FB. We shared a front cover w AJ Hawk & Marcus Freeman but went to rival HS. Me and him did attend a lot of summer camps together. I personally went to FL-Spurrier QB Camp, Joe Tiller Purdue Passing Camp, Boomer Esiason QB Camp & FB camps at Mich St-Saban, Tenn, Pitt, WV, Cincy, Bowling Green(Urban Meyer) being the only D1 school recruiting me but he left for Utah. I competed in 7 v 7 vs over a 100 ESPN 300 recruits from 02-04.My older Cousin startrd his final 2 years at Stanford at S thats my Dads side. My moms side was my 2nd cousin who was a AA LB at Wisconsin and played for the 49ers before retiring infamously for CTC reasons. All of us from Dayton, OH. Ive also gone on to play competitive 7 v 7 playing the best teams from all over Florida for 5 years in a row and have worked in the betting industry as a handicapper. This is 1 of the most bias misleading videos Ive seen in the last couple drafts. I will play you Josh Allens tape at Wyoming or Burrow at LSU in 2018 where he was already older than JJ is now. Go watch Lamar Jackson in the bowl game. Go watch Jayden Daniels or Caleb Williams in a college offense you can pick those guys apart in college schemes. JJ is special I promise you in a NFL offense hes literally better than Brock Purdy who ran a similiar offense at everything literally everything. There is a reason why JJ in a possible historic QB draft hes shooting up draft boards. Its not like 2013 where teams are reaching for bad QBs.
Slow down bro, we don't need to learn about your life story 😂
4 minutes in you show tape of the tight window throw against Ohio State as his number one receiver flashes across the back side of a freshman safety and call it a bad read. He then makes the correct call to not choose to throw to his covered Tight End who was covered by the #1 safety out of high scool in 2022. Your scouting is making a lot of assumptions on what McCarthy did and did not see, and also completely ignoring the personel and match up differences on the two plays.
I'm a retired scout... It's obvious he hand picked plays to pick the kid apart... What he failed to do is show how the kid always makes big plays, in big moments when it counts. The kid won 3 big 10 championships and a natty with his best wr being a 3rd round pick and his best olineman will go in the 4th round. The rest will be lucky to go in the 7th... When grading a QB you have to base it on who he was playing with... This kid has the ability to make ridiculous throws off platform, while on the move..... He is very smart.... Every year I see the media hyped guys get in to the league and fail... You can't coach the way JJ drops those dimes in to tight windows while on the move and off platform. Not just dink and dunk stuff either. Deep balls as well... I'm just going to say it: JJ will prove to be the best QB in this class... My God he's only a Jr and is nowhere close to reaching his ceiling... Look where the best to ever do it were drafted and who was drafted ahead of them... I digress...The media controls the draft... Too many times, GM's don't listen to the scouts. They base it on media hype. Why? The primary objective is to put fans in the stands and sell merch... Flash sells tickets... Unfortunately, a majority of the time, we say I told you so...
I came to say the same thing. Lol
@@YDCFF_what’s your opinion on Bo Nix
I truly believe that you can pick him up in the first and let him sit for a year maybe he can prosper as an elite qb.
The Jordan Love approach is ideal Idk if he will get to sit though. Might start right away
Haven’t commented in a real long time thanks to some life stuff, but just wanted to say it’s really great seeing your videos do well, Alex. I always thought your knowledge and editing was top tier, but it’s a real treat to see you’re still striving to learn more and your editing is improving as well! Got some vids to catch up on now. Hope all has been good with you in 2024, brother. Appreciate ya!
Aye thank you brother!! Appreciate the love. I hope your life stuff is good, drop me a line on twitter if you ever need some support
Idk man all those deep post routes were all not open lol
The guy's evaluation is missing Key aspects of certain plays,..
“This play shows JJ McCarthys typical processing errors” Proceeds to show a 20 yard rush😂
If 5 guys come open but you run the ball, is that good processing
@@AlexRollinsNFL if you contradict yourself trying to support a contrarian analysis, is that a good video?
My biggest issue watching JJs film was the leverage misunderstanding. It felt like he misread body language of defenders more than anyone talked about at the top of the draft. But then I heard top 10 and top 5 and I was like?? This guy does NOT have those big time tools to overcome that. He may develop into a starting qb but this idea that he’s dripping with big time traits is such a myth
Michigan fan here, he should not be a top 10 pick. He has potential but he wasn't asked to do much though it was a run heavy offense
Then you weren't paying attention. He wasn't able to throw in rhythm which can fuck with a qb. His arm was cold and he could still throw darts.
@@ferretsmiles .... just no lol "his arm was cold" is the wildest excuse I've heard yet
@@nittyg190 .. imagine being 20 years old, midway through an intense college football game on the highest stage, and not being able to throw b/c your arm is cold.... "I can't coach, my arm isn't warmed up yet"
That's true but like you said if he goes outside the top 10 and gets into a good situation with weapons he can win
@@nittyg190 did I say it was an excuse. Learn to read. It's just a fact that it's easier to throw once you get into rhythm.
I'm sorry, but it's pretty stupid to show ultra-accurate touchdown throws and improvised rollout-left throws for 1st downs into the red zone as examples of McCarthy doing the "wrong" thing. This is just empty hyperanalysis.
Zach Wilson is a BUST for one trait of every pro QB needs, the ability to have no fear when delivering throwing motions of knowing the hit is coming. Wilson has much FEAR in NFL of throwing the ball away to avoid getting hit in the most vulnerable position of the RELEASE of the throwing motion ( this hit is reason many young QBs fail in NFL ) as long as McCarthy have courage and enthusiasm of such moments that make or break a NFL QB, he will go far in NFL.
Wilson also didn't have the eyes to play dink and dunk when the defense was wiling to give up the underneath stuff. Only recent prospect that combined the audacity to grip it and rip it when he saw his receiver to win his rep and improve the ball placement was CJ Stroud. And his Texans film even to week 8 showed a lot of that all while his O-line was struggling to stay healthy.
JJ was a hockey player. He's not afraid of contact.
This is only a small part of the NFL Film Study. If you did the full film study - You would know that JJ McCarthy has more skills that could translate to the NFL Level than any other QB in this draft class. One example is his leadership skiil. (Which is by far 2nd to none) It gets results by motivating and bringing out the best in players. QBs like that can bring out the best in an offense.
Which games should I watch that would qualify as the full film study
C Tune. Carr Bagent. Kenny Pick it M Rypien. Wac Jones O'Connell. DanielTurnovers E.Stick. D. ridder ,Pj walker B Hoyer. W Levis. TanneBUM G minshew. Z Wilson T Devito. T. Seimien M. Trusbiscut. T.Browning T. Heinickie...... T. Boyle
If Michigan didn’t win a national championship you wouldn’t be talking about him
But they did, and they wouldn’t have won it without him. Who was the Rose Bowl MVP?
Michigan doesn’t win without him
One counterpoint JJ defenders will have in their back pocket is his youth. He’s not a finished product. He’s still so damn young and theoretically can have these tough edges polished up. He has some things in his game that are difficult to teach - if he goes to the right spot, he could reach a pretty high ceiling
Thats it. Thats all it is. He’s young with ‘potential’. -His physical size? Meh. -Physical tools? Unimpressive. -Athleticism? Better than you’d think. -Accuracy? Unimpressive. -Decision making? Yikes.
If that's the case he should stay in college. He isn't ready for the NFL
@@avery465 Right, because every QB coming out in the draft is a finished product…
@@dabbingtoast7743me when I just straight up lie lmao
@@isaacs3822 Its more like the QB that bad teams want picking in the top 5~10 are not finished products, but have traits that help give them a high floor in NFL. Hell Mac Jones was picked 15th and seemed like a great high floor value QB. But his skillset required better talent around him to play his game and when shit hit the fan, he didn't have great mobility or other traits to fall back on. Dude peaked by his rookie year and in a league where top 10 QBs are great athletes with an arm and some high form of being able to read coverages, Mac proved he's just a journeyman or bridge QB to some team looking to find their franchise QB.
This guy and Brett Coleman truly show the nature of and capability of up and coming players. They’ve helped me understand the game exponentially
Thanks brother! Brett is the goat
Daniel jones basically can’t read the field
Slow processing
JJ McCarthy: 72% completion rate. Alex: "Is not accurate and just throws the ball wherever."
That’s not accuracy. That’s completion. A receiver catches a go route behind him but that same receiver catches another one in Stride. That’s the problem, where is the ball landing because both those throws count as a completion but one is accurate and one isn’t. Cj stroud had a 67 percent completion percentage in college but would you consider JJ more accurate since he has a better completion percentage? No. How many times did he throw, what routes was he throwing to, how does he protect the receiver with his balls, all these have to factor in evaluation.
Oh shut it you don't make sense with the garbage you just typed.........
I never thought he was that good, but people keep trying to convince me he is.
Imo he was carried by his defense and Blake corum
Why don't you think he's good?
Probably because you only saw him a play a few times
@@rorybannonhe's solid. He has the opportunity to become great. He's not there now. I don't see it now. Not saying he won't succeed up to him. He wasn't the focal point of his college offense. Not saying he can't improve. He's not a top 10 pick tho now. Once again he can improve ... I'm not seeing the top tier QB so far
I feel the same about Jaden Daniels, Bo Nix, and Penix. None of them are actually impressive.
2:44 he has said in an interview that he saw on film that the linebacker turns his head when receivers get behind him, and that's why he threw it
That's exactly the context this play was missing. How could he know? Because he studied, that's what coaches want
Yeah right 😂
Yea. An athletic 6’3” 220 lb qb with a rocket arm, excellent athleticism reads defenses to get his team into the best play because he doesn’t care who gets the credit. Those guys fail in the NFL. And did you really say the OSU throw to Wilson as a negative? McCarthy literally said he watched film and that player had a tendency to turn his back on the QB to cover the cross. Can’t push the ball downfield? Analysis is null and void after that.
Interesting take, agree that all these bad habits did happen in those games, but out of all the games he’s played, you are showing 4 ? There’s a counter to those highlights in the other 20+ games he was in over 2 years. Analysis over such a small sample size is incomplete, but he’s got something. Joe Klatt is the only analysts who saw him live the most, he probably has the best take on JJM.
@7:35 "At all"? Seriously? He made some insanely tight window throws all season. I'm not sure how you can say "at all". Another thing. JJ is 20 years old. Now imagine him as a 24 yo like Penix or a 25 yo like Nix. I'd like to see you break down tape from their Year 3 seasons as a comparison.
“His struggles” … Translated to a 27-1 record and a National title.
😅😅 you act like he did anything... dude threw the ball 8 times
Every time UM needed a critical throw he made it. The top 3 QBs haven’t made a critical throw in the CFB careers
@@ambrogi1982 Lol. Threw the ball 8 times. Clueless on how Michigan went 15-0. I’ll clue you in… with a top, smash-mouth defense, a highly successful run game, an excellent game manager QB, and “The Team” mentality.
So his run game and defense weren't the best in the nation ? 😂
@@ambrogi1982 He completed 7 of the 8... Also, there were other throws in the game that don't show up because of penalties.
Love the vids I was wondering what you have thought of my Vikings off-season and so you think we will land McCarthy Love the videos keep up the Work
Would've loved to see JJ come back for one more year because he's so young and Michigan could've put a lot on his plate to prepare him even further for the NFL. But the offense is going to take a big dip this year, so leaving now is probably the right move. The thing that stands out to me about JJ is his ability to make the right plays to win games. Scrambles. Completions on 3rd and 4th down (check his completion stats on 3rd down, his completion stats under pressure). Yeah, he doesn't take that many downfield shots... I think that is more winning football (and coaching) than it is ability. And anyone who says he doesn't have elite arm strength is a fool.
Vikings fan here need to hear your take on Maye for obvious reasons
doesn’t matter he won’t make it past washington
Same
@@SlaqinWashingtons getting Daniels.
@@solomonrodriguez9187 no they arnt
My hope is the Giants are not fooled and try to draft at 6. He is not worth drafting that high
I’m PRAYING we don’t draft him at 6
Are you really trying to say the deep post at 5:19 is open? Nah unless he throws an absolute perfect cannon the safety will get back to play that.
These coaches act like McCarthy never missed a throw
Giants probably overdraft him
Have you done a breakdown on Bo Nix? I thought he was impressive but I'm a rank amateur at evaluation.
If he does decide to do a breakdown on Bo Nix, please be sure to include some of his tape from Auburn too, not just Oregon.
I have not yet!
Good Luck telling this to the Viking Fan Base. Kwesi is going to get the dammed if I do dammed if I don't treatment. Two of our top media guys recently said McCarthy is a better fit for the Vikings than Daniels. You can't make that stuff up. 🤣
Great video and analysis. Keep the good work up. ❤
Thanks brother!
What I think is not being talked about enough with McCarthy is the positions he was often put in. Michigan is a ground based offense. While other QBs get short check downs and easy timing throws to build a rhythm, Michigan often runs it on first and second down and then relies on McCarthy to make big time plays on third and medium/long. Despite him not being able to build much of a rhythm throughout the game, he still is able to fit the ball in tight windows and make big time plays even in adverse down and distance scenarios. I also think he was coached to play conservatively due to how good the Wolverines defense was. Not saying he's a perfect prospect, but I think taking his offense into context is an important part of the evaluation.
Every other draft several QB's get over hyped and just turn into busts
Yikes 😅 Some mocks have him going top 10 in the Draft. I have seen JJ go to a team like Denver to be their savior, and then even trading up to get him. This sort of stuff gets people fired.
He's going top 5 or 6 lmao
JJ was talking to the media early the week after the OSU game. And he was asked to talk about the TD verse robber. He said that they new from tape that 1) the robber can be moved by the QBs eyes, and 2) always turned his head like he did here. So, JJ briefly looked to the right to pull him out of the robber zone just enough to have a window and threw it knowing the safety wouldnt ever get eyes on the ball. Since JJ was always very open with the media and would acknowledge when he made mistakes, got lucky or would like to have a decision back, i think that play is actually one of his better reps of his career.
He has a 70% completion percentage in an offense where all the other recent qbs Joe Milton, Shea Patterson and Cade Mcnamera were at 50-60%. He was a 5 star out of HS, won 27 of 28 starts in college, had crazy good efficiency numbers, was 20 years old last season. And I mean a few of those bad processing examples weren’t clear winner plays, receivers didn’t come open or he has pressure coming quick.
Not sure what y'all see in him.
Kirk cousins. That is what I see a way younger kirk cousins. Not that impressive, but not bad. Needs a team around him and be that field general that can read the defense and get the ball to his guy. Probably still needs a couple years to develop with a veteran qb to develop his accuracy and ability to read nfl defenses
@@jessemontgomery8987exactly I have been saying this all year he might turn out well if he sits a year or 2 but his ceiling is just Kirk and that is not worthy of a top 10 pick
@@jessemontgomery8987He doesn't have kirks processing or accuracy 😂
@@wariowang2049 I don't know, a lot of teams would kill for a Kirk Cousins
@@kingDrAgOnZoRdS I mean Kirk didn't have all that either when he was a pro bowler with Washington when McVay was his OC. Much of Kirk's improvement has been noted from his 2019 performance and onwards. As well as his blunders that were still on display for MNF.
Are you an OSU fan ?
I saw someone say that JJ is rising exactly because he’s not an obvious pick-every scout wants to pick him because if he works out then that is a career-defining scouting/drafting decision for them, whereas picking a more “obvious” quarterback is less impressive. And, if they don’t work out, you won’t be there to deal with the consequences anyway!
What really, do scouts get promotions or something when a prospect works out in the NFL???
@@mitchweber7868rarely, but it does happen from time to time. Veach is a notable one. He spent over a decade on Reid's staff in various front office roles. His last one before his promotion to GM was KC's scout in the Southeast. He badgered Reid and Dorsey to draft Mahomes, but he also worked numerous positions previously, had a great relationship with Reid, communicates with the players, etc. All things Dorsey was terrible at. Like any job, it's really all about how successful and ambitious you are.
@@brandonwilliams8685 Wait I just realized how little NFL scouts make, why don't they get paid more or is it more the head coach and GM that scout players can you tell me???? I always thought scouts did all the evaluation, but why do they get paid so little to do that???
@@mitchweber7868 scouts are the bottom of the totem pole in the organization. They cover different regions and work their way up if they're successful. The head of the scouting department looks at all the regions. The GM looks at every prospect, handles trades, contracts, has final say in the draft, etc.
I think Tom Brady has a lot more to do with his hype. People just want him to be great.
Oh that was cathartic. I thought I was taking crazy pills with the film people were sharing that was supposed to be positive just being wildly unimpressive. I get that he’s coming out in a year where there are 6+ teams that need a QB and next year looks like a barren wasteland at the position but this “He might go as early as 3” thing thats been floating around has been driving me insane.
He’s literally garropollo with a better arm
He has a lot of upside. He played in a system that didn’t show case him. The rest of the qbs in the draft all played against soft defenses minus Daniels and in a spread offense where it is easy to throw the ball and get crazy numbers. Playing under center in a stacked box is a lot harder. I honestly think he might turn out to be one of the better qbs out of this class because he’ll get drafted to probably the best team since he isn’t gonna be top 5. If you put any of the other top qbs in the Michigan system they wouldn’t have looked any better, if not worse 🤷♂️
@@lancey8366 that’s why I said garoppolo, you just defined his career
@@lancey8366 By your own admission he played in a system that didn’t showcase his talents. Add that onto the fact that a lot of his tape is underwhelming, how can you even begin to say that he has a lot of upside? Your making assumptions off of things that have no basis in tangible on field production.
@@Apollo_____ and faster...and better off-platform...but he is white and a QB just like Garropollo...so you got that right. Brilliant!
he was 18, 19 and 20 in those films. and he came is 219lb, and shown a great leadership when you meet him and feel his aura. players can get better. there's a lot of positives.
You felt his aura ?
@@CentseiSamI'm somewhat partial since I'm very close to the players and the football program in general. You can find JJ from South quad almost every day. He exudes that alpha QB confidence that you can't teach. He's not cocky, just confident. He's very polite, the kind of young man you'd want your daughter to marry. I feel JJ will do just fine in the NFL, but again I'm biased, a die hard wolverine since late 80s.
These clips are all from last year
@@AlexRollinsNFL My argument remains valid. He is the youngest among the top quarterbacks, and he hasn't been required to demonstrate his full skills yet. The TCU game is a good example of what he can achieve when given the opportunity to showcase his abilities. When you meet this young man, you'll understand why his value is skyrocketing. He possesses intangible qualities that can't be taught. You feel his alpha energy from 100 feet away. People just gravitate toward him and he doesn't even talk much. Never seen anything like that. I've been around Wolverines forever. He will be successful in football and in life.
This Kat is an exact identical QB in his former HC Jim Harbaugh , especially when Harbaugh was a Bear in the late 80s. I mean, dam! Same style , same motions and same enthusiasm or demeanor of his approach to the game of persona. WOW!!! No wonder he is a Wolverine, guy is a clone of his former HC in Harbaugh. Scrappy GOOD and GUTSY.
Love it just great work ❤️😁
Thanks brother!
That first Minnesota clip... LOVELAND DROPPED THE BALL🤣. HE PUT IT RIGHT INTO HIS SHOULDER/CHEST AREA. YOURE A HATER WHEN IT COMES DOWN TO IT🤣. GO BLUE
He's showing the receipts if you're willing to listen, but guys like you have your mind made up before any film is shown
I been saying this all. He isn’t a guy who will change the destiny of a team that needs him to be average or above average at 2 min drill,end of half, 3rd and 7 plus, situations where you need to “go get points” EI the other team scored back to back drives. And I am a Michigan fan… been watching UM back when Bo was the coach with Tony Boles and Leroy Hord running the rock. When pro McCarthy views are expressed it is all about 27-1 record and being a winner. His team was 27-1 and that team isn’t walking into your locker room for training camp. I could say that about Tommy Frazier and Tony Rice. When the conversation shifts to a break down of skill sets and abilities this video break down is fairly close to what I see. This imho is one of the most overrated QB prospects in a decade of drafting… I don’t believe he has the Nuanced instinct skill sets to be a high level or even average starter. And will likely get his coach and GM fired. Especially if the Vikings trade up to get him… imagine them trading Justin Jefferson for him. I can see the Vikings drafting him and by week 8 Justin Jefferson is asking for a trade
Honestly not the first time a QB has been hot shotted as a top 15 prospect in the pre draft and then teams ultimately change their tune when draft day comes. Its less about JJs overall perceived value on the consensus board rather than which team has him very high in their draft board. Which is exactly how Kenny Pickett's story played out. Steelers thought they got a value pick for him who is a good 'fit' for the team offense (LOL with Matt Canada calling the offense). Before everyone knew it he was shipped to the Eagles for a day 3 pick. There is also Will Levis' story where he fell all the way down to a day 2 pick. But the Titans overhauled their staff and offense so Levis still has a shot to be the Titans starter with a 2nd contract ready for him.
At 2:35 JJ said himself that the reason he threw that ball was because when he studied film, he knew that the safety has a tendency to not look backwards toward the ball when it’s released.
It's funny but I've seen videos and heard reasons why teams should not draft any of the QBs, I've also heard "his arm isn't great" about them all too. The coaches willhave a good idea what they can and can't develop... Just have too have good coaches, who make good choices
It’s funny arm the McCarthy weak arm when his arm strength is objectively elite 😂 these guys are clueless.
Christian ponder 2.0. “I’m not really sure what he excels at” handing the ball off and doing nothing like the bowling green, maryland and Penn state games.
You can always find flaws in every QB. But I'm going to trust the scouting departments and GMs that get paid to do this.
😂
@@classicviewRight?! LOL I'm going to trust a random commentor on KZhead over those dumb professional scouts and GMs.
The same ones that let Brock Purdy get picked last and picked Bryce Young first? LOL. Makes you wonder how many other guys are getting screwed.
I get what you’re saying but you do realize those same professionals fail countless times. Look st just the past 2 decades and see all the misses.
Because according to you the NFL scouts/GMs never get it wrong. Only difference is if they get it wrong, they can still buy your broke ass out.
Your comment at the end of your analysis about his TD to Wilson against OSU was hilarious. It was his film study that allowed him to make that throw because he knew the defender was going to do that 😂 he talked about it in his postgame interview. Also he doesn’t move that well? His 3 cone drill was super elite. He was 5th or 6th best among all players at the combine. It’s funny how you make a video about him, and you’re just objectively wrong about his abilities 😂 lack of arm strength? He threw 61 mph 😂 also elite
Can’t say this enough. You are my favorite Football analysis channel period. Cause even if you get something wrong you will gladly self correct. Need more like you keep the fire coming.
Thank you brother!!! Much appreciated
He can’t fool me. He’s got talent, but he’s a second round pick at best
Making Saturdays Great Again lol. My G Alex Rollins for the win!
Hahaha thanks brother! I got you
Excellent analysis. This is why I love this channel. Objective analysis 100% of the time
Thanks brother! I'm just gonna talk about what I see
9:49 "...I'm genuinely curious" It's funny how his cadence and tone is able to make indictment sound so cute and nice🤣🤣🤣🤣
Excellent, fair breakdown.
8:20 I feel like you are right about being a rhythm passer but his offense never let him showcase this
The play you talked about at 2:45 was already discussed by JJ. He said he threw the ball as he was turning around. You can see JJ looking at him on the film.
Oh ok good to know!
@@AlexRollinsNFL questioning arm strength is also hilarious. Dude has the 2nd best arm in the entire draft class. He has a cannon 😂
@@martinmartins7703No he doesn't. Drake and Caleb have much stronger arms. He has the 5th best arm in the draft.
@@solomonrodriguez9187 that is blatantly false. He will also have a better NFL career than either of them. Keep ignoring reality and I'm sure you'll go far in life
@@martinmartins7703 You're a delusional Michigan fanboy.
He has also never been asked to carry his team like Williams , Daniels , Penix and even Drake Maye. I’m not saying he can’t do it but there is very little evidence that he can
You are missing where he is looking, rewatch look where the wing are pointing. he sees the guys you don't think he sees.
It's a total crap shoot. For every championship QB who pans out, it seems like there are 10 who don't. Look at Rick Mirer. He showed a lot more than McCarthy in college and never seemed able to adapt to the NFL. NFL franchises would be wise to trade down and play the percentages. Justin Fields, a high first round pick, was just traded to Pittsburgh to backup Russell Wilson, a former 3rd rounder. McCarthy wasn't asked to do much because of Michigan's superior run game so he's being drafted off of the combine and an undefeated season.
So JJ makes plays on what he can see makes him horrible. Check So JJ makes plays with his legs when shit gets real. Check So JJ makes plays on the run and it's a 75% comp. Check So JJ makes plays by running and is not afraid of contact Check So JJ can make big game plays without fear check Just hate on him more. Hope he lands on a good team.
This is one of the best breakdowns I’ve seen on JJ McCarthy, and very similar to what I saw. There’s one key thing I keep looking for, but I can’t find the stats on it.
He’s definitely a first round pick for sure but top 5 is insane like cmon now
Lol the most valuable handoff player in the game. But in all seriousness no. If anybody should’ve shot up the draft boards was Spencer Rattler. Who will be the best qb in the draft.
I am very afriad of My Giants taking him, i would cry if we do. He needs a good team around him and that is not us
What Qb doesn’t need a good team around them tho Lol
He is a second round pick to me. Good arm talent, good athleticism, but so much of his evaluation is a gigantic projection of things he very very rarely proved he could do in college. Michigan did a great job putting him in advantageous game scripts, but someone who averaged less than 200 passing yards a game going top 5 is kind of insane any way you slice It. I think a lot of his reads over the middle of the field were pre-determined and he was inaccurate throwing outside the numbers a lot. I think he could be a solid NFL qb in some circumstances but I see a lot more bust potential than star potential.
Spot on. My comp for him was alex smith KC version. A guy who can make a few pro bowls and will have a good career but will never be int aht elite group
I'll say it again for the algo. Your channel is super underrated. Great breakdown
Thanks Drew!
Freezing up like Mitch Lol lol love your videos and breakdowns
😂😂 thanks brother!
Would McCarthy be better in an inside zone (shotgun) system?
If MN gets this guy, Addison is gonna have his best year.
if hartford wasn’t a true freshman making his second or third start, he would’ve picked the pass off
You’re the Same guy that said Zach Wilson checked off every single trait in the book. “ You want a savior, a franchise qb draft Zach Wilson”- Alex Rollins
So u pick the very few passes where he was very slightly off to say he isn't accurate. But his school record 72.3% completion would say otherwise.
JJ does not throw a ball throw a window. How many games did he lead his team back from defeat with his arm? He got a lot of receptions on crossing routes near the boundary or wide-open blown coverages. Good luck drafting him. He is a solid QB. 😎
JJ reminds me a lot of Mitch Trubisky. Big, athletic kid who had a good year but ultimately never had the amount of reps needed to translate well at the next level. I think he can succeed if he goes to the Vikings and gets to sit or to a team like the Giants where he won’t get pressured into playing right away, but a team like the Commanders or the Bears can’t take him without him getting to properly sit behind a vet.
thank you for this, not sure why he’s a first round pick and guys like ian book (who had very similar tape) went in the 5th-undrafted range
As a Broncos fan, I can see Payton blindly falling in love with JJ. Sad to see another 8 years go by if we go draft him
Before watching the video to see if Alex is high or low on JJ, I'll just say that I'm higher on him than Bo Nix or Penix. Both of these dudes seem maxed out to me. There's very little left of the orange to be squeezed. What you see is what you get. JJ is my 4th qb in the draft. Lowkey Spencer Rattler is a dark horse candidate of mine to be a good QB in the league. Edit: Daniels is technically my third qb but he’s my boom or bust prospect. His Sack percentage scares me way too much but he has some special qualities to him. I can equally see him being good or also flaming out.
Agreed!
At 6:32 it looks like the corner covering the outside receiver bites on the throw. Man, if JJ pump fakes to receiver he threw to he’d have an open GO right down the sideline for an easy TD. So I think you are right that J.J. throws out when the receiver properly settles but the DBs screwed up too on this play. And in reality I think that corner really gambled by doubling the receiver who J.J. threw to becsuse that DB seemed to forget his responsibility.
As you said, certain nuances about film are subjective. I think he will be a really solid qb if put in the right situation
Your criticisms are almost exactly identical to what I heard about Mahomes coming out of Texas Tech. 👌