The eruption from the Svartsengi system on the Reykjanes peninsula in Iceland is over after a 54-day-long eruption.
Since magma accumulation has been ongoing during the eruption, and volume is now well over the level needed to cause eruptions previously, it seems like another eruption might be just around the corner.
But, since this is geology, there are some different predictions floating around from our experts with some saying the next eruption will occur in a few days while others in a few weeks.
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Music:
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"Art of Silence - by Uniq" is under a Creative Commons license (Creative Commons - International Recognition 4.0 - CC BY 4.0)
"CO.AG Music"
• Futuristic Sci-fi Bac...
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Timestamps:
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News: 00:00
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Data and Details: 0:55
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Speculations and Predictions: Not in this video
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Sources:
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Vedur: www.vedur.is/
Mbl: www.mbl.is/frettir/
Vísir: www.visir.is/
Ruv: www.ruv.is/
Earthquake map: skjalftalisa.vedur.is/#/page/map
Vísindavefurinn: www.visindavefur.is/
I think all viewers are waiting and watching these days for the "next eruption!" And the next one after, and the one after that one, and on it goes..but your perspective and your video is wonderful at this moment. Thanks so much for your work and perspective! xo
Thanks for your awesome comment Wendy, means a lot.😁
@@Hliarmenn And you and your work means a lot, to myself and others, but thanks so much for your gracious comment in reply! 🥰
It is insane the amount of accumulated lava that has occurred regardless of 54-day eruption. Thanks for the update
Yeah, such a strange situation, this system takes no brakes.
Zero speculation from me. I thought maybe we were starting to see a pattern until this last eruption. Now I have no idea 😂
hahahaha, same here. This last eruption has set us back to the drawing board, nature is just messing with us
@@Hliarmenn Drawing boards are just that...major drawings, lots of speculation, and sometimes...it turns out to be a head-scratcher about what is really going on..we can go to space, but deep below the earth's surface...it is a whole different ball park for science and those who are earth scientists. LOL...I am happy that no one, anywhere, is counting on me to give credence to a theory! 🤣
Any guess on my part would definately qualify as "totally uneducated". So in for a penny..in for a pound I feel sure that in the medium term the blue lagoon and possibly the power plant will take a hit. I decided to take the outlier route.....
This system seems to raise more questions as the different eruptions happen without providing many answers. I hope that the data provided will help Iceland to handle future challenges. The spirit of Icelanders is inspiring…. Especially the drivers of the bulldozers who built the berms , the drone pilots who have obtained amazing footage (sacrificing drones in some cases) and rockstar geologists! My thoughts are with the families affected and hope they pick up the pieces of their lives and community and create a new future for themselves. You continue to provide insight on the situation in Reykjanes peninsula without hype or sensational headlines. Thank you
Oh yeah, this system loves to mess with us! Thanks for your awesome comment 😁
Sometime soon. That narrows it right down 😉. Mother Nature is running the show.
done well for 54 days, but mad how uplift was starting after 3days of it starting
Yeah, this system takes no brakes
@@Hliarmenn100%, will be keeping any eye on the EQ activity elsewhere to see if some larger plate movements occur
Understatement of today - this is exciting to say the least! As well as unpredictable. Maybe that’s why we get so captivated by volcanoes - because they are not predictable at all.
That's actually a really good point. Makes "tomorrow" exciting as you never know what it has in store 😁
Very clear and so well explained .
Thank you!
Thanks as always for the update. I see this as the beginning of a long cycle. Looking at the geology around the immediate area, these eruptions are the peanut whistles. If this was a concert, these eruptions would be the the speaker warmers. Who knows, it could be ten, or a hundred years of these little eruptions before something makes a another mountain there.
This was a very good update. You brought an interesting angle to us for consideration. I wasn't aware the mama chamber really had far more in it before the last eruption. I've been following Shawn, Silki, and Isak since the first Svartsengi eruption. I've been following you, Gylfi, and Reykavik Grapevine since the 2021 eruption. I live in boring, depressing Western NY, I've enjoyed learning about Iceland for the past few years and you have been a great source of info. Thank you.
Ayyy, that's so cool to hear, you're a real volcano watcher😁
@@Hliarmenn I taught Earth Science for many years and I've always loved the topic.🌋🌍🌪️⛰️
Thanks for sharing. This is uncharted terrain as the March 2nd intrusion created the pathway for the March 16th eruption and that did not get all the incoming magma to the surface. The slower uplift might have given the surrounding rocks more time to heat up and stretch with accumulation. I also guess it the next eruption will be in the last week of this month, in roughly the same location as the March 16th but I do think the next one will be bigger regarding volume.
Thanks for the clear graphic summary, it really helps.
Glad you like it!
Thank you for your informative video.
You're welcome, thanks for tuning in!
@Hliarmenn I only watch your videos about the icelandic Volcanos. Your so informative and down to earth. You never hype up the information and never fear monger. Thank you.
Hello Hlidarmenn! Thanks for the update. My thoughts was that the eruption will intensify and I was completely wrong . So I will just wait and see what happens…
This volcanic period loves to prove us wrong 😂. Thanks for tuning in Claudia!
@@Hliarmenn I love your videos.
Thanks for making these videos Hlidarmenn, and especially for the friendly way in which you encourage us to comment.
Ayyyn you're welcome David! Thanks for taking the time to watch and comment 😁
I don't think it's speculation to say the next episode is right around the corner. Thank you for your excellent updates.
Literally! Exciting and a bit scary to think it can just pop up at any moment now without much warning. Thanks for tuning in Pete!
I'm with you, sometimes in the next week or so. That would fit with how full the magma chamber would be. It refilling a little more each time because the rock around the inside is getting softer and stretching some, that's why were not seeing larger earthquakes. Im excited! Im keeping an eye on the tremor charts and the eq maps.
Thank you for the update. Indeed, the barriers did wonders protecting Grindavik from further damage and new ones are already in the making. If the unrest goes on for years, as predicted, the expertise will be very useful. I guess the next eruption will be in a few days, but of course it's impossible to be sure.
Yeah, it's so cool how good they've gotten at constructing and designing these barriers, definitely something which can be implemented elsewhere in the world.
Thank you for the footage and update! 😊
You're welcome 😁
Your update is greatly appreciated. Thank you!!
I think the so called Mar 2nd intrusion was in fact an extension east of the magma sill, because all the quakes happened at depths of around 4km. So the sill is now bigger than 8 to 13 million cubic meters. Given that I expect an eruption in late May before it hits 20 million probably in the Sundhnukur row. Keep up the good work, I am a big fan of your channel.
That's a really interesting idea and makes a lot of sense. Will be interesting to see if the volume reaches these numbers! Thanks for tuning and leaving a comment 😁
My guess is the 21st because it’s truly anyone’s guess like you said. Thank you for the update.
Thank you for the update. I agree with you I think that the next explosion of lava will be sooner rather than later.
🌱🌏💚 🙋🏻♀️ KiaOra. Hellooooo Hlidarmenn! Well, anything can happen & it usually does! Will definitely be watching to see how this event continues to evolve. The eruption has been occurring since 2021, theoretically could be decades of increased activity on the Reykjaness Peninsula. Gtsy, thank you for reporting.
Hello Amelia! Yeah, crazy to think this could go on for years. We're so lucky to have all the live cameras in the area, makes this so much more exciting. Thanks for tuning in!
Considering there is only one vent left to push up terrain, there may be even more magma accumulated already. I am not concerned about Grindavik, lava will flow towards road to power plant but not earlier than 14. May.
Thanks for the update
You're welcome 😁
If confirmed then the 1,200 cubic meters during the early stages of the eruption is insane. That woule make it the largest in terms of putput. As for the next one, it could happen at any moment
Yeah, insane numbers, I would've never thought I'd see that on the peninsula after the first eruptions from Fagradalsfjall.
@@Hliarmenn Same here. The highest I've seen so far we're the 2014 to 2015 Holohraun and 2018 Leilani eruptions. They had volumes roughly 350 to 200 cubic meters per second.
A nice summary. Thanks
You're welcome 😁
Thank you so much for your brilliant summary. It has helped me to keep perspective on what has happened so far. It was exciting to see you in one of the Iceland live streams a little while back. I hope I will see you there again at some point.
Ayyy thank you! I'll try to make myself present sometime soon when the chat opens at the Live from Iceland stream 😁
Hmm... I predict the next eruption will be in the next 3 days to 3 weeks.. 😅 ... but I'm leaning days rather than weeks. ...however the eruption may be dependent on the number of "IMMINENT!!!" or "URGENT!!!" clickbait videos posted on the youtubes to the power of the number of exclamation marks used in the title !!!!!!! Not that we watch those. Nope. We come here for quality content!
Thanks for this summation of this latest eruption! I was going to say the next will be within the next 19 days, but ……. Who knows? Maybe Pele does😆
😂
Another possible way to look at the data you presented is to compare the total volume of lava erupted in the last 54 days to the magma chamber volume. If 38 million cubic meters was erupted then it could take another 80 days to reach that volume in the magma chamber. That assumes that the lava volume is the same as the magma at depth, which is not quite true as the lava has a lot of gas bubbles that reduce the density and increase the volume.
Yeah, it would probably make sense to explain it that way but, basically during the entire uplift, the magma chamber was actually "filling" up and when the eruption was over, 4 days ago, the magma chamber was already considered full.
Thank you for your update. I know that the magma usually takes the path of least resistance, and I wonder with all of the new earthquakes in the area if there will be a new fissure opened. Then again, there is that new crater, but if the eruptions have stopped, I would think that it has been sealed up by it's own lava, but is that still the weakest area?
There will most likely be a new fissure but in the same overall area as the previous ones. After an eruption ends, the path is sealed up and won't necessarily be the least resistance anymore.
Thank you for the great update, much appreciated. I've notice today that the area around the last eruptive cone and close by to the north for a large area that de-gassing has increased significantly, does that mean it is biding time taking some of the gas pressure off before erupting again ?
The amount of visible de-gassing over the lava field is mostly weather related as, in some weather conditions, the gas becomes more visible. It could also be due to some collapses in that area of the lava field. It's not related to the magma chamber a few kilometres below the surface.
I think it would go up to 19 million cubic meter before erupting, then it would surprise everyone by its sudden output.
That's definitely a possibility and I bet the eruption following that intrusion would be the largest we've seen.
Thank you Waiting for next time. We really need the 'Entrance to Hell' open would be best so somehow we can direct people where to go and Get In! Just my deepest desire. I am already There and can't swim fast enough to get OUT.
I wish it was possible to predict anything about volcanics. And earthquakes. I dont think we can predict any behaviors. Anything.
Exactly, it's so strange how complex geology is and that after all the years us humans have studied it, we still can't predict anything with accuracy.
aliens did this i know